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Trainer profile

J G Cosgrave

302 runners in the lifetime window · 83 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 76 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
23–302
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=302
64 (21%)
Placed
1.28
n=302 · 1.00 incl. margin
−112.52
£1 level stake
n=302 at SP · −37.3%
£259k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.28). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (197 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 302 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Mr N McParlan: 18% from 61 Claiming riders: 9.1%
The read

It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=61, Fair A/E 0.65). Mr N McParlan rides 20% of the entries and beats the yard's average (18% vs 7.6%, A/E 1.84) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (11.5%, n=61). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.8% over 36 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Foxrock Handicap Chase at Navan (Dec 2014, £19,500). The stable star of the record: Mount Colah (IRE) — 9 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.3%−4.3
n=61 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −49.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.6
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Debutants · first career start
5%−2.6
n=60 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.3%−2.3
n=19 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
50%
n=12 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +4.48
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.1%+1.5
n=197 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −46.42
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
22.2%+14.6
n=9 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +2.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr N McParlan 18% vs 7.6% · n=61
At Fairyhouse 0% vs 7.6% · n=30
Off a break of 180+ days 2.8% vs 7.6% · n=36
In Flat races 3% vs 7.6% · n=33
In Chase races 11.5% vs 7.6% · n=61
With horses switching code 11.5% vs 7.6% · n=52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 145 8 5.5% −94.00
NH Flat 63 7 11.1% +14.08
Chase 61 7 11.5% −8.60
Flat 33 1 3% −24.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 115 9 7.8% −47.50
Good 88 6 6.8% −23.00
Heavy 49 5 10.2% −31.02
Good to Soft 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Good to Firm 17 1 5.9% −4.00
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 67 5 7.5% +3.00
Down Royal 66 4 6.1% −47.75
Punchestown 31 1 3.2% −25.00
Fairyhouse 30 0 0% −30.00
Navan 24 2 8.3% −9.00
Naas 14 1 7.1% +7.00
Kilbeggan 9 0 0% −9.00
Dundalk (AW) 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Thurles 7 3 42.9% +2.90
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 4 2 50% +4.33
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 1 25% +3.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% −4.10
Class 4 2 1 50% +4.50
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 1 100% +14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 6 46.2% 1.57 +3.48
2nd–3rd fav 44 9 20.5% 1.54 +12.00
4th–6th fav 72 6 8.3% 1.47 −2.00
7th+ in betting 173 2 1.2% 0.47 −126.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.4% completed · 206 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 61 77% 2 2 9 1 0
Hurdle 145 89% 0 2 13 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mount Colah (IRE)then S McParlan 31 9 15 14 May 16
Dick Naylor (IRE) 15 2 6 6 Apr 10
Big Leg Up (IRE)then Dermot A McLoughlin 10 1 2 25 May 23
Sula Warrior (IRE)from S R B Crawford 9 1 2 26 Jul 24
Getupthemstairs (IRE) 8 0 1 26 Dec 21
I Am Great (IRE) 8 0 2 30 Aug 13
Seaneen Mac Ri (IRE) 8 1 2 2 Nov 12
Ryans Princess (IRE) 8 0 0 5 Nov 11
No Trouble (IRE)from Stuart Williams · then Noel C Kelly 7 1 3 17 Jan 20
Clondaw Frisby (IRE) 7 1 3 18 May 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 83 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C A McBratney (2) and J Woods (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for Gavin Cromwell (3) and C A McBratney (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3101602391000910
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr N McParlan
20% of all rides
18% SR · A/E 1.84
RiderRWSR£1
Mr N McParlan 61 11 18% −7.35
Mr M J O'Hare 32 3 9.4% −3.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
23
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£269k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mount Colah (IRE) — Foxrock Handicap Chase (grade C) Navan · Dec 2014 · Grade C
£19,500
Mount Colah (IRE) — Thurles Racecourse Supporters Club Chase (listed) Thurles · Jan 2015 · Listed
£16,900
Mount Colah (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Novice Chase Leopardstown · Mar 2014
£13,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 25% · 9–36
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Winged Love (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Humbel (USA) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 7.1% of 562 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.7% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
King's Theatre (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Un Desperado (FR) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8% of 377 runs since 2008 (51 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 106.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 348 · newest first

The latest 50 of 348 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2005 to 28 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 May 23 Limerick Big Leg Up (IRE)J: Liam McKenna CUBE Handicap Chase (0-95)19.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J G Cosgrave's strike rate?
J G Cosgrave has won 23 of 302 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J G Cosgrave do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 67 runners (7.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J G Cosgrave?
Mr N McParlan, with 61 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (18%).
What is J G Cosgrave's Fair A/E?
1.28, from 302 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).