What is Jeremy Scott's strike rate?

Jeremy Scott has won 404 of 3,075 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jeremy Scott do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 23 wins from 147 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jeremy Scott?

Nick Scholfield, with 831 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 124 (14.9%).

Is Jeremy Scott in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jeremy Scott's Fair A/E?

1.14, from 3,074 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jeremy Scott

3,075 runners in the lifetime window · 295 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

404–3,075

Wins / Runs

13.1%

Strike rate

n=3,075

995 (32%)

Placed

1.14

Fair A/E

n=3,074 · 0.98 incl. margin

−345.50

£1 level stake

n=3,075 at SP · −11.2%

£4.72m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (703 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,075 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 38.1% when favourite Nick Scholfield: 14.9% from 831 Claiming riders: 14.8% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=129, Fair A/E 0.52). Debutants are the standout value angle: 7.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +17.38 to a £1 stake over 192 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Nick Scholfield rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.9%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (33.3%, n=42). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £255,006). The stable star of the record: Dashel Drasher (GB) — 12 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.9%−1.2

n=742 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −63.36

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.9%−4.2

n=101 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −55.42

Debutants · first career start

7.8%−5.3

n=192 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +17.38

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.7%−8.4

n=129 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −84.37

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.3%−0.8

n=65 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +20.45

When favourite

38.1%

n=349 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +39.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.8%+1.7

n=703 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −21.58

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.4%−2.7

n=115 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −21.86

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 33.3% vs 13.1% · n=42

On last-time-out winners 25.1% vs 13.1% · n=395

With first-time headgear 4.7% vs 13.1% · n=129

With William Kennedy 2.4% vs 13.1% · n=42

With C&D winners 19.8% vs 13.1% · n=328

With Liam Heard 4% vs 13.1% · n=50

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 82.9% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,824 221 12.1% −384.50

Chase 883 143 16.2% +45.17

NH Flat 243 24 9.9% +7.04

Flat 125 16 12.8% −13.21

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,040 151 14.5% −7.76

Good to Soft 793 91 11.5% −167.11

Soft 727 92 12.7% −98.33

Heavy 307 41 13.4% −79.59

Good to Firm 149 20 13.4% +10.50

Standard (AW) 59 9 15.3% −3.21

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 403 53 13.2% −93.70

Wincanton 371 51 13.7% +76.75

Taunton 250 38 15.2% −4.82

Chepstow 219 23 10.5% −84.05

Newton Abbot 205 29 14.1% −25.65

Fontwell 147 23 15.6% +9.23

Uttoxeter 129 18 14% −20.12

Warwick 127 18 14.2% +12.68

Stratford 116 14 12.1% +17.64

Newbury 102 13 12.7% −41.12

Worcester 94 14 14.9% −6.55

Cheltenham 87 6 6.9% −37.43

Kempton 80 7 8.8% −29.00

Ludlow 80 11 13.8% −23.71

Ffos Las 73 6 8.2% −21.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,438 181 12.6% −262.26

Class 5 676 100 14.8% +40.33

Class 3 530 67 12.6% −108.24

Class 2 163 26 16% +17.88

Class 1 133 15 11.3% −26.36

Class 6 132 15 11.4% −3.85

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 419 149 35.6% 1.24 +36.73

2nd–3rd fav 759 143 18.8% 1.14 +28.27

4th–6th fav 1,009 82 8.1% 1.03 −160.50

7th+ in betting 888 30 3.4% 1.02 −250.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,006 136 13.5% −155.45

2m5f – 3m 991 137 13.8% −134.55

1m5f – 2m 723 88 12.2% +29.57

Over 3m 264 33 12.5% −63.78

1m2f – 1m4f 68 6 8.8% −26.67

1m – 1m1f 14 4 28.6% +14.38

6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 62 7 11.3% −25.59

2009 81 10 12.3% +10.41

2010 81 5 6.2% −49.62

2011 117 23 19.7% +58.14

2012 187 31 16.6% −7.77

2013 222 25 11.3% −54.34

2014 185 25 13.5% −25.93

2015 203 24 11.8% −55.54

2016 205 27 13.2% −36.34

2017 175 20 11.4% −17.05

2018 216 35 16.2% +45.69

2019 202 35 17.3% −36.24

2020 161 15 9.3% −71.82

2021 193 18 9.3% −36.50

2022 157 26 16.6% +85.92

2023 185 18 9.7% −79.35

2024 159 22 13.8% −61.73

2025 162 28 17.3% +85.32

2026 122 10 8.2% −73.16

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,043 298 14.6% −84.65

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 953 126 13.2% −182.01

11-13 runners 804 86 10.7% −179.26

5-7 runners 629 116 18.4% +43.12

14-16 runners 425 40 9.4% −1.67

17+ runners 175 12 6.9% −38.71

2-4 runners 89 24 27% +13.03

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85% completed · 2,707 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 883 79.4% 23 23 131 4 1

Hurdle 1,824 87.7% 27 15 172 5 6

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tikkinthebox (IRE) 47 7 13 25 Sep 23

Native Robin (IRE)from Dan Skelton 44 11 18 5 Apr 23

Notarfbad (IRE) 44 6 14 15 Jun 18

Moorlands Jack (GB)from John Flint 41 8 14 9 Nov 18

Champagne Court (IRE)then A J Kennedy 40 6 17 31 Aug 24

Decimus (IRE) 40 7 14 23 Jul 17

Stormy Flight (IRE) 39 5 18 24 Apr 25

Best Boy Barney (IRE) 39 6 14 7 Jul 17

Dashel Drasher (GB) 37 12 22 16 Apr 25

Kilmurvy (IRE) 37 5 18 9 Nov 18

On The Bridge (IRE)from Linda Blackford 37 10 16 10 Nov 16

Unison (IRE)from Peter Makin 34 11 16 17 Apr 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 295 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Hughie Morrison (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131316151214141417111013

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNick Scholfield

27% of all rides
14.9% SR · A/E 1.17

RiderRWSR£1

Nick Scholfield 831 124 14.9% −14.11

Matt Griffiths 613 80 13.1% −83.69

Rex Dingle 376 49 13% −21.20

Lorcan Williams 342 48 14% −16.97

Bryan Carver 83 10 12% −29.25

Liam Heard 50 2 4% −18.00

David Prichard 50 4 8% −31.17

Mr Robert Hawker 45 5 11.1% −4.00

William Kennedy 42 1 2.4% −34.50

Ian Popham 40 3 7.5% −30.74

Tom O'Brien 38 6 15.8% +14.50

David Noonan 38 7 18.4% +34.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

409

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.76m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 35 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Golden Ace (GB) — Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Grade 1

£255,006

Golden Ace (GB) — BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Newcastle · Nov 2025 · Grade 1

£69,669

Dashel Drasher (GB) — Betfair Ascot Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Ascot · Feb 2021 · Grade 1

£59,620

Notable horses

Dashel Drasher (GB) Native Robin (IRE) Unison (IRE) On The Bridge (IRE) Moorlands Jack (GB) Celtic Art (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alderbrook (GB) 10.8% · 10–93

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).

Cloudings (IRE) 15.7% · 13–83

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,888 runs since 2008 (310 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 816.

Milan (GB) 19.8% · 16–81

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,884 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

Tikkanen (USA) 11.3% · 9–80

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,014 runs since 2009 (170 horses).

Jeremy (USA) 23.4% · 18–77

Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.

Shantou (USA) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,842 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,108 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,108 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 February 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Newbury Coolnav (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 17/2

05 Nov 26 Newbury King Of The Lake (GB)J: Bryan Carver Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 25/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Princess Day (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 13/8F

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Fair Dinkum (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Topsham Tide (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 20/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Champagne Chic (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 8th 12/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Golden Ace (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Panoramic Hurdle Race (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/4F

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Lakeview Lass (GB)J: Lorcan Williams tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 40/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Border Gem (GB)J: Rex Dingle BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 7/2

19 Oct 26 Bath Sub Thirteen (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 9/2

11 Oct 26 Chepstow King Of The Lake (GB)J: Chad Bament Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 9/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Fair Dinkum (IRE)J: Harry Kimber Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Midnight Doyen (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 22/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Princess Day (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Dragonbet / Ebf Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Ebf Mares' Nh Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 4/6F

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Saint Canary Rock (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 20/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Coolnav (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Dragonbet Backing Welsh Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 80/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Clear Sky (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Alan Bushell Racing Remembers Alan Davies Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Phoenix Risen (GB)J: Chad Bament Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 18/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Detroit Bay (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 250/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Lakeview Lass (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Free Tips On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jeremy Scott's strike rate?: Jeremy Scott has won 404 of 3,075 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jeremy Scott do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 23 wins from 147 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jeremy Scott?: Nick Scholfield, with 831 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 124 (14.9%).
Is Jeremy Scott in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jeremy Scott's Fair A/E?: 1.14, from 3,074 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.