What is Jimmy Frost's strike rate?

Jimmy Frost has won 87 of 1,642 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jimmy Frost do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 6 wins from 59 runners (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jimmy Frost?

Hadden Frost, with 441 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (6.6%).

What is Jimmy Frost's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 1,638 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jimmy Frost

1,642 runners in the lifetime window · 207 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 57 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

87–1,642

Wins / Runs

5.3%

Strike rate

n=1,642

270 (16%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=1,638 · 0.73 incl. margin

−825.19

£1 level stake

n=1,639 at SP · −50.3%

£678k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,642 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 27.8% when favourite Hadden Frost: 6.6% from 441 Sends off the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (10.2%, n=59), clear of the yard's 5.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=90, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −248.00 to a £1 stake over 477 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Hadden Frost rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.6%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (8.6%, n=479). The stable star of the record: Oscar Bay (IRE) — 7 wins from 25 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.6%−1.7

n=477 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −248.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.1%−2.2

n=96 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −72.25

Debutants · first career start

0%−5.3

n=90 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −89.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.5%−1.8

n=57 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −21.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.3%−1.0

n=47 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −25.00

When favourite

27.8%

n=36 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −5.19

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.6%−0.7

n=825 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −508.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.3

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 14.4% vs 5.3% · n=90

With Harry Cobden 11.9% vs 5.3% · n=42

With debutants 0% vs 5.3% · n=90

With Angus Cheleda 0% vs 5.3% · n=47

Off a 15-30-day break 8.6% vs 5.3% · n=479

At Stratford 10.2% vs 5.3% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,059 56 5.3% −571.07

Chase 478 30 6.3% −166.12

NH Flat 76 1 1.3% −59.00

Flat 29 0 0% −29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 570 37 6.5% −251.37

Good to Soft 367 15 4.1% −213.75

Soft 319 12 3.8% −184.00

Good to Firm 190 16 8.4% −43.52

Heavy 174 6 3.4% −111.75

Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Firm 8 1 12.5% −6.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 495 29 5.9% −231.24

Exeter 351 17 4.8% −165.55

Taunton 234 8 3.4% −174.00

Wincanton 108 4 3.7% −75.50

Chepstow 69 4 5.8% −41.50

Fontwell 60 6 10% −11.00

Stratford 59 6 10.2% −12.00

Worcester 47 3 6.4% −20.00

Hereford 41 2 4.9% −32.40

Uttoxeter 34 2 5.9% +3.50

Ffos Las 18 0 0% −18.00

Leicester 14 2 14.3% +21.50

Lingfield 13 0 0% −13.00

Warwick 11 0 0% −11.00

Fakenham 11 1 9.1% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 726 44 6.1% −337.89

Class 4 719 33 4.6% −397.80

Class 3 136 9 6.6% −37.50

Class 6 40 0 0% −40.00

Class 2 12 1 8.3% −6.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 50 10 20% 0.80 −19.19

2nd–3rd fav 220 30 13.6% 0.88 −60.00

4th–6th fav 495 35 7.1% 1.02 −140.00

7th+ in betting 874 12 1.4% 0.57 −606.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 742 37 5% −455.82

2m5f – 3m 418 21 5% −186.37

1m5f – 2m 344 18 5.2% −142.50

Over 3m 118 11 9.3% −20.50

1m2f – 1m4f 16 0 0% −16.00

6f – 7f 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 176 12 6.8% −76.75

2009 154 11 7.1% −83.02

2010 129 6 4.7% −80.00

2011 93 6 6.5% −53.30

2012 73 1 1.4% −36.00

2013 57 6 10.5% +28.50

2014 69 5 7.2% −46.37

2015 115 5 4.3% −80.00

2016 108 5 4.6% −51.00

2017 86 4 4.7% −54.50

2018 86 3 3.5% −65.50

2019 113 9 8% −26.00

2020 66 4 6.1% +6.50

2021 87 2 2.3% −77.00

2022 64 0 0% −64.00

2023 52 3 5.8% +9.75

2024 47 4 8.5% −16.50

2025 32 0 0% −32.00

2026 35 1 2.9% −28.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,030 67 6.5% −347.92

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 468 15 3.2% −299.50

8-10 runners 461 31 6.7% −174.40

5-7 runners 305 23 7.5% −131.24

14-16 runners 290 12 4.1% −169.75

17+ runners 79 3 3.8% −26.50

2-4 runners 39 3 7.7% −23.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.9% completed · 1,537 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 478 69.7% 17 9 118 1 0

Hurdle 1,059 80.2% 11 14 178 6 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Findusatgorcombe (GB)then Robert Walford 45 6 14 4 Jan 23

Captain Becket (GB) 42 5 11 7 Apr 12

Ice Konig (FR)from J Van Handenhove 37 1 8 5 Jun 19

Quinto (GB)from John Quinn 33 1 11 21 Sep 20

Silver Quay (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 31 2 4 20 Jun 21

Union Saint (FR)from G Macaire 31 4 9 14 May 16

Triple Chief (IRE)from Chris Down · then Chris Honour 27 2 12 15 Mar 21

Firefly Lane (IRE) 25 1 5 4 Apr 26

Rolanta (FR) 25 3 3 24 Jul 13

Gilly Grace (GB) 24 1 1 21 Jul 19

Whatcanisay (GB) 24 0 5 21 Mar 11

Oscar Bay (IRE) 23 7 8 15 Mar 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 207 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Moore (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Chris Honour (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

168577849553

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHadden Frost

27% of all rides
6.6% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Hadden Frost 441 29 6.6% −177.07

Bryony Frost 416 29 7% −125.00

Tom O'Connor 92 5 5.4% −44.00

Angus Cheleda 47 0 0% −47.00

Harry Cobden 42 5 11.9% +0.75

Paul O'Brien 38 1 2.6% −32.50

William Kennedy 32 0 0% −32.00

James Best 32 1 3.1% −28.50

Harry Skelton 31 2 6.5% −15.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

138

Archived wins

£966k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 22 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Oscar Bay (IRE) — toteexacta Beginners' Chase Haydock · May 2008 · Class 2

£13,010

Findusatgorcombe (GB) — Close Brothers Handicap Chase Exeter · Dec 2020 · Class 3

£12,996

Oscar Bay (IRE) — totetentofollow.co.uk Handicap Chase Stratford · Oct 2009 · Class 3

£11,313

Notable horses

Oscar Bay (IRE) Critical Stage (IRE) Findusatgorcombe (GB) Captain Becket (GB) Share My Dream (IRE) Union Saint (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Morpeth (GB) 2.1% · 4–190

Progeny have won 5.7% of 298 runs since 2008 (43 horses).

Milan (GB) 3.8% · 2–53

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Access Ski (GB) 10.9% · 5–46

Progeny have won 11.7% of 94 runs since 2008 (8 horses).

Tobougg (IRE) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 18.2% · 8–44

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Dark Angel (IRE) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,189 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,189 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 18 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Warfleet (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 9th 14/1

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Vengeance (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 4th 22/1

19 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Senor Diaz (IRE)J: James Best Dick Oliver At Newton Abbot Races Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 11/1

03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Bee's Kiss (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell St. Austell Brewery Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 33/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Warfleet (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell EBCS Hideout Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Keep Off The Sugar (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Happy Birthday June O'Dwyer Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 200/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Warfleet (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Westcountry Food Supplies Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Bee's Kiss (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Par Inn Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran PU 14/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Vengeance (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Edmundson Electrical Torquay Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 5/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Keep Off The Sugar (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Sun Racing Free Tickets With Sun Club Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 200/1

27 May 26 Newton Abbot Senor Diaz (IRE)J: James Best Totnes And Bridgetown Races Company Ltd. Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 33/1

13 May 26 Newton Abbot Keep Off The Sugar (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Classic Car Show On 9th June Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 200/1

22 Apr 26 Taunton Bee's Kiss (IRE)J: James Best Royal Ascot Lunch Saturday 20 June Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 7th 50/1

22 Apr 26 Taunton Warfleet (GB)J: James Davies Best Dressed Competitions Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 6th 150/1

17 Apr 26 Exeter Senor Diaz (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey Heart Of Oak, Pinhoe, Exeter Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 28/1

17 Apr 26 Exeter Vengeance (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Half Moon, Clyst St Mary Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 4th 16/1

17 Apr 26 Exeter Asian Spice (GB)J: Beau Morgan New Inn, Alphington, Exeter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 14/1

17 Apr 26 Exeter Oscar Jack (GB)J: Ben Godfrey Sandygate Inn, Kingsteignton 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 125/1

07 Apr 26 Exeter Senor Diaz (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey It Pays To Buy Irish Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 10 ran PU 22/1

07 Apr 26 Exeter Vengeance (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Happy Birthday Fiona Walker Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 13 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jimmy Frost's strike rate?: Jimmy Frost has won 87 of 1,642 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jimmy Frost do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 6 wins from 59 runners (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jimmy Frost?: Hadden Frost, with 441 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (6.6%).
What is Jimmy Frost's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 1,638 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.