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Trainer profile

Jonathan Sweeney

244 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 12 days ago 95% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
43–244
Wins / Runs
17.6%
Strike rate
n=244
111 (46%)
Placed
1.32
n=244 · 1.08 incl. margin
−50.20
£1 level stake
n=244 at SP · −20.6%
£728k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
29.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.32).

Deterministic profile computed from 244 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 48.7% when favourite Claiming riders: 18.6% Sends off the favourite in 16% of races
The read

It is weakest at Cork (6.3% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 10.9% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (23%, n=74) and on Good to Soft going (22.7%, n=44). The market has also underrated the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 1.54 across 70 runners (21.4% strike, +4.86 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 7.5% over 40 runners, 10.1pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Chase Final at Navan (Mar 2026, £35,340).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.9%−6.7
n=64 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −43.09
New recruits · first run for the yard
40%+22.4
n=5 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +1.62
Debutants · first career start
17.5%−0.1
n=40 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −1.95
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.3%−12.3
n=19 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−17.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
48.7%
n=39 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +9.07
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
18.6%+1.0
n=97 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −5.79
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.6%−3.0
n=48 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −13.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Cork 6.3% vs 17.6% · n=32
Off a break of 180+ days 7.5% vs 17.6% · n=40
Over 2m5f – 3m 23% vs 17.6% · n=74
On Good to Soft going 22.7% vs 17.6% · n=44
Off a 31-60-day break 21.4% vs 17.6% · n=70
On Soft going 14.1% vs 17.6% · n=99
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 126 21 16.7% −31.25
NH Flat 57 9 15.8% −8.32
Chase 49 7 14.3% −23.70
Flat 12 6 50% +13.07

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 99 14 14.1% −21.70
Heavy 56 12 21.4% −2.55
Good to Soft 44 10 22.7% −7.60
Good 42 6 14.3% −17.97
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +0.62
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 34 5 14.7% −8.13
Cork 32 2 6.3% −15.50
Fairyhouse 24 4 16.7% −5.38
Thurles 21 7 33.3% −2.41
Leopardstown 19 3 15.8% +7.00
Ballinrobe 15 4 26.7% +2.25
Limerick 12 3 25% +2.00
Navan 11 4 36.4% +0.54
Wexford 10 3 30% +5.82
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Tipperary 8 1 12.5% −6.70
Galway 7 0 0% −7.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 5 1 20% −1.75
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 50 7 14% −15.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 39 19 48.7% 1.45 +9.07
2nd–3rd fav 77 17 22.1% 1.30 +5.23
4th–6th fav 64 7 10.9% 1.62 −0.50
7th+ in betting 64 0 0% 0.00 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.3% completed · 175 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 49 75.5% 4 4 4 0 0
Hurdle 126 96% 0 1 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Roseys Hollow (IRE) 19 4 7 13 Jan 24
Churchstonewarrior (IRE)then Cian Collins 18 4 11 2 May 24
Western Walk (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 14 2 4 6 Apr 26
Jisco Du Brem (FR) 13 2 5 4 Jul 26
Rushmount (IRE) 13 3 5 6 Apr 26
Battling Spirit (IRE)from Terence O'Brien 13 3 6 14 Sep 19
Barnahash Rose (IRE) 13 2 7 28 Dec 16
Showurappreciation (IRE) 12 4 7 6 Apr 26
Champagne Pat (IRE) 12 1 4 10 Apr 18
Reine Machine (IRE) 9 1 4 17 Jul 22
Lighthouse Warrier (IRE) 9 1 5 3 Aug 20
Early Bird (IRE) 8 1 2 10 Jul 26
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
15393314183013013181011
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr A P Ryan 22 4 18.2% −9.36
Michael O'Sullivan 21 4 19% −9.39
Ambrose McCurtin 18 3 16.7% +7.50
Mr R W Barron 15 3 20% −6.38
Mr J J Codd 15 4 26.7% +9.75
Denis O'Regan 14 2 14.3% −8.90
Mr Derek O'Connor 14 3 21.4% +0.62
Mark Walsh 14 4 28.6% +3.08
Alan O'Sullivan 12 2 16.7% +6.50
Katie O'Farrell 11 2 18.2% −4.87
Philip Donovan 9 2 22.2% −1.25
Simon Torrens 8 1 12.5% −6.70
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
43
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£728k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
Showurappreciation (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Chase Final (Listed) Navan · Mar 2026 · Listed
£35,340
Western Walk (IRE) — I.n.h. Stallion Owners Ebf Novice Handicap Hurdle Series Final (grade B) Fairyhouse · Apr 2023 · Grade B
£29,500
Minutestomidnight (IRE) — Weatherbys General Stud Book E.B.F. Mares Flat Race (Grade 3) Punchestown · Apr 2017 · Grade 3
£29,500

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shirocco (GER) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,174 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Mahler (GB) 17.2% · 5–29
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,853 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Beat Hollow (GB) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,031 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Vinnie Roe (IRE) 33.3% · 5–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,983 runs since 2008 (697 horses).
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 244 · newest first

The latest 50 of 244 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 April 2013 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jonathan Sweeney's strike rate?
Jonathan Sweeney has won 43 of 244 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jonathan Sweeney do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Jonathan Sweeney in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jonathan Sweeney's Fair A/E?
1.32, from 244 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).