What is M Halford's strike rate?

M Halford has won 625 of 6,127 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Halford do best at?

Dundalk by strike rate: 307 wins from 2,076 runners (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Halford?

Shane Foley, with 1,905 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 235 (12.3%).

What is M Halford's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 6,120 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Halford

6,127 runners in the lifetime window · 743 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2023 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

625–6,127

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=6,127

1,848 (30%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=6,120 · 0.79 incl. margin

−2,247.07

£1 level stake

n=6,127 at SP · −36.7%

£11.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 320 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 6,127 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Mar 33.4% when favourite Shane Foley: 12.3% from 1,905 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (14.8%, n=2,076), clear of the yard's 10.2% baseline. It is weakest at Ballinrobe (1.6% over 61 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.9% (n=597, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −81.50 to a £1 stake over 151 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Shane Foley rides 31% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 53 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster (Oct 2010, £140,790). The stable star of the record: Surrounding (IRE) — 11 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%−2.3

n=1,014 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −493.77

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−3.1

n=85 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −32.85

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−6.3

n=597 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −317.08

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+0.9

n=341 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −117.41

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6%−4.2

n=151 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −81.50

When favourite

33.4%

n=653 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −29.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.1%−2.1

n=1,583 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −591.57

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.8%−1.4

n=431 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −233.04

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Pat Smullen 20.2% vs 10.2% · n=104

With Mikey Sheehy 20.8% vs 10.2% · n=48

With debutants 3.9% vs 10.2% · n=597

With Declan McDonogh 20.5% vs 10.2% · n=44

At Ballinrobe 1.6% vs 10.2% · n=61

At Dundalk 14.8% vs 10.2% · n=2,076

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,843 608 10.4% −2,069.81

Hurdle 212 11 5.2% −132.14

NH Flat 57 3 5.3% −42.62

Chase 15 3 20% −2.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,097 307 14.6% −390.31

Good 1,239 92 7.4% −660.06

Soft 1,146 79 6.9% −540.83

Good to Firm 823 90 10.9% −229.31

Good to Soft 450 34 7.6% −244.37

Heavy 334 20 6% −152.42

Firm 38 3 7.9% −29.77

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 2,076 307 14.8% −369.31

Curragh 881 69 7.8% −231.83

Leopardstown 511 40 7.8% −266.47

Naas 410 19 4.6% −295.51

Gowran Park 324 21 6.5% −214.01

Navan 264 15 5.7% −160.38

Fairyhouse 218 22 10.1% −83.00

Cork 187 14 7.5% −57.04

Tipperary 174 13 7.5% −122.60

Roscommon 137 12 8.8% −53.00

Killarney 132 15 11.4% −61.41

Limerick 106 11 10.4% −10.49

Galway 102 7 6.9% −53.92

Listowel 87 10 11.5% −43.27

Bellewstown 83 10 12% −36.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 433 38 8.8% −235.04

Class 2 15 2 13.3% +2.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 784 253 32.3% 1.22 −6.78

2nd–3rd fav 1,417 202 14.3% 0.96 −374.29

4th–6th fav 1,738 120 6.9% 0.91 −591.00

7th+ in betting 2,188 50 2.3% 0.63 −1,275.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,016 213 10.6% −566.73

1m – 1m1f 1,773 204 11.5% −648.01

1m2f – 1m4f 1,538 156 10.1% −559.17

1m5f – 2m 383 20 5.2% −255.73

Under 6f 306 25 8.2% −140.69

2m1f – 2m4f 103 7 6.8% −68.74

2m5f – 3m 7 0 0% −7.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 598 38 6.4% −337.77

2009 544 36 6.6% −248.14

2010 367 37 10.1% −96.88

2011 432 32 7.4% −198.10

2012 388 54 13.9% −103.66

2013 403 55 13.6% −86.72

2014 462 53 11.5% −192.11

2015 466 52 11.2% −176.52

2016 463 55 11.9% −168.43

2017 363 44 12.1% −122.88

2018 327 38 11.6% −96.99

2019 329 44 13.4% −18.55

2020 347 30 8.6% −115.59

2021 353 30 8.5% −140.85

2022 263 24 9.1% −136.88

2023 22 3 13.6% −7.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,215 309 9.6% −1,055.61

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 2,149 191 8.9% −808.57

11-13 runners 1,449 158 10.9% −417.85

8-10 runners 988 139 14.1% −284.74

17+ runners 987 35 3.5% −597.12

5-7 runners 500 88 17.6% −120.20

2-4 runners 54 14 25.9% −18.59

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lord Kenmare (USA)then Ms Debbie Hartnett 74 5 20 16 Jan 15

Russian Soul (IRE) 62 9 25 16 Mar 18

Castle Guest (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy 61 7 23 20 Oct 19

Arcanears (IRE)then M Halford & T Collins 60 6 17 10 Feb 23

Rummaging (IRE) 59 8 22 16 Mar 18

Paddy The Celeb (IRE) 58 6 16 18 Jan 19

Katiymann (IRE) 50 5 14 29 Jun 21

Shadagann (IRE)from John M Oxx 50 5 15 25 Oct 18

Lady De Vesci (IRE) 48 5 15 10 Aug 22

Hujaylea (IRE) 48 7 20 18 Aug 13

Banna Boirche (IRE) 46 9 19 5 Dec 14

Trotting Weasel (IRE) 46 2 13 3 Feb 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 743 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 21 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for John Joseph Hanlon (2) and M Halford & T Collins (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1517147991099101415

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderShane Foley

31% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Foley 1,905 235 12.3% −589.19

Ronan Whelan 853 91 10.7% −282.04

Conor Hoban 696 65 9.3% −223.09

Rory Cleary 447 22 4.9% −269.63

Gary Carroll 358 29 8.1% −142.29

N G McCullagh 179 8 4.5% −93.25

Johnny Murtagh 175 28 16% −49.45

Conor McGovern 106 14 13.2% −11.75

Pat Smullen 104 21 20.2% −6.18

Fran Berry 80 9 11.3% −22.50

Adam Farragher 76 5 6.6% −36.59

Sean Corby 69 5 7.2% −27.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

780

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£14.6m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 62 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Casamento (IRE) — Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Str) Doncaster · Oct 2010 · Group 1

£140,790

Portage (IRE) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2016 · Class 2

£108,938

Quinmaster (USA) — Tote Galway Mile EBF Handicap Galway · Aug 2006

£90,800

Notable horses

Surrounding (IRE) Russian Soul (IRE) Banna Boirche (IRE) Rummaging (IRE) Snaefell (IRE) Invincible Ash (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 11.2% · 29–260

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,854 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Shamardal (USA) 17.4% · 29–167

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 9.8% · 15–153

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,566 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 12.2% · 14–115

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 14.2% · 16–113

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,208 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 6.3% · 7–112

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,629 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,629 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 February 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) One Aim (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 28/1

15 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Elzaamsan (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan DKITSU Race Day Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 16/5F

15 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Doctor Grace (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 10/3

15 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Barney's Joy (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)6f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 12/1

10 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Arcanears (IRE)J: Sam Ewing DundalkStadium.com Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1F

03 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Cherry Pink (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 33/1

03 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Doctor Grace (IRE)J: W J Lee Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 5/2

03 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Rhythm And Tyne (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 11/1

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Arcanears (IRE)J: W J Lee Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 11/8F

27 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Jazz Forever (IRE)J: W J Lee Book Online At Dundalkstadium.com Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 3/1F

27 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Havana Pearl (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (47-80)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 12/1

27 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Elzaamsan (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (47-80)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 11/1

18 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Ninth Life (USA)J: Rory Cleary Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Race7f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 2/1

18 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Arcanears (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 15/2

18 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Havana Pearl (IRE)J: W J Lee Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 11/2

13 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Jazz Forever (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 18/1

13 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Rhythm And Tyne (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 17/2

13 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Barney's Joy (IRE)J: Jake Coen View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 18/1

13 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Doctor Grace (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 8/1

06 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Cherry Pink (IRE)J: N G McCullagh DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Halford's strike rate?: M Halford has won 625 of 6,127 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Halford do best at?: Dundalk by strike rate: 307 wins from 2,076 runners (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Halford?: Shane Foley, with 1,905 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 235 (12.3%).
What is M Halford's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 6,120 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.