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Trainer profile

Mark Pattinson

580 runners in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
29–580
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=580
105 (18%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=578 · 0.76 incl. margin
−194.38
£1 level stake
n=580 at SP · −33.5%
£254k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 580 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Joshua Bryan: 4.7% from 64
The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (10%, n=40) and Sandown (10%, n=30) — all clear of the yard's 5% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (2% over 98 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −53.00 to a £1 stake over 153 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joshua Bryan rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.80). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (9%, n=67). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.3% over 77 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Perfect Symphony (IRE) — 5 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.2%−3.8
n=82 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −69.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3.8%−1.2
n=26 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −21.50
When favourite
6.7%
n=15 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −12.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−0.4
n=153 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −53.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Brighton 10% vs 5% · n=40
At Sandown 10% vs 5% · n=30
With Luke Morris 10% vs 5% · n=30
Off a 8-14-day break 9% vs 5% · n=67
Off a 61-180-day break 1.3% vs 5% · n=77
At Kempton (AW) 2% vs 5% · n=98
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 541 27 5% −192.38
Hurdle 35 2 5.7% +2.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 366 17 4.6% −109.00
Good to Firm 77 4 5.2% −46.00
Good 70 3 4.3% −38.00
Good to Soft 29 2 6.9% +1.00
Soft 28 1 3.6% −21.00
Heavy 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Firm 2 1 50% +0.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 150 8 5.3% −18.00
Kempton (AW) 98 2 2% −81.50
Chelmsford (AW) 87 5 5.7% −25.50
Brighton 40 4 10% −7.50
Sandown 30 3 10% +11.50
Windsor 25 2 8% +5.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 1 5.3% +15.00
Lingfield 15 0 0% −15.00
Bath 15 1 6.7% −4.00
Epsom 13 0 0% −13.00
Southwell (AW) 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Fontwell 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Salisbury 10 1 10% −7.38
Plumpton 10 0 0% −10.00
Yarmouth 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 361 21 5.8% −69.88
Class 5 153 6 3.9% −95.50
Class 4 55 1 1.8% −29.00
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 7 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 2 11.1% 0.46 −10.88
2nd–3rd fav 47 4 8.5% 0.59 −23.00
4th–6th fav 164 17 10.4% 1.40 +20.50
7th+ in betting 351 6 1.7% 0.62 −181.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Perfect Symphony (IRE)from Sophie Leech 76 5 19 2 May 24
Rainbow Sign (GB) 69 4 16 15 Oct 26
Nubough (IRE)from Iain Jardine 49 4 17 18 Sep 26
Ray's The One (GB)from Gary Moore 31 2 4 29 Aug 25
Mykindofsunshine (IRE)from Clive Cox 23 0 2 21 Jul 21
Nasim (GB)from Michael Appleby 21 2 5 3 Dec 25
Our Oystercatcher (GB)from Philip Hide 21 2 8 18 Feb 21
Forca Timao (IRE)from Richard Hannon 19 1 2 7 Oct 26
Havergate Island (GB) 19 0 1 30 Jul 22
Briac (FR)from Jim Best · then Tim Vaughan 19 3 6 23 Sep 18
The Organiser (GB)from Edward Bethell 17 1 3 15 Oct 26
Tobacco Road (IRE)from David Pipe 16 1 2 24 Sep 19
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Appleby (2) and Richard Fahey (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
4279622124505
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJoshua Bryan
11% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.80
RiderRWSR£1
Joshua Bryan 64 3 4.7% −42.50
William Carson 48 2 4.2% −26.00
Paddy Bradley 34 1 2.9% −23.00
Luke Morris 30 3 10% +54.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
29
Archived wins
£254k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
Our Oystercatcher (GB) — Betway Handicap Sandown · Aug 2019 · Class 5
£5,175
Ray's The One (GB) — John And Maryanne Birch Memorial Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Dec 2022 · Class 5
£4,684
Briac (FR) — Smarkets Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Sandown · Feb 2018 · Class 4
£4,549
Notable horses
Perfect Symphony (IRE) Rainbow Sign (GB) Nubough (IRE) Briac (FR) Ray's The One (GB) Nasim (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 6.6% · 5–76
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,978 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Adaay (IRE) 5.8% · 4–69
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,966 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.
Kodiac (GB) 8.2% · 4–49
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Coach House (IRE) 2.6% · 1–38
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,480 runs since 2018 (145 horses).
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Mount Nelson (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,280 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 580 · newest first

The latest 50 of 580 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 December 2016 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Newmarket Daring Legend (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 40/1
26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Bubbles Wonky (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 18/1
21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Penfolds Grange (GB)J: Kieren Fox Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 6th 100/30
19 Oct 26 Bath Dalmally (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 6/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton The Organiser (GB)J: Kieren Fox Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 4th 12/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Rainbow Sign (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 1st 9/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Forca Timao (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 20/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton The Organiser (GB)J: Kieren Fox Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 25/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton Rainbow Sign (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 5/1
27 Sep 26 Epsom Bubbles Wonky (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 16/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Penfolds Grange (GB)J: Kieren Fox Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 10/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nubough (IRE)J: Kieren Fox Jjx Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 20/1
10 Sep 26 Epsom Daring Legend (GB)J: Kieren Fox Flat Out Flat Glass Solutions Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 18/1
09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Penfolds Grange (GB)J: Alfie Redman Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 8th 16/1
08 Sep 26 Leicester Forca Timao (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Your Move Estate Agents Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 10/1
01 Sep 26 Brighton Rainbow Sign (GB)J: Tyler Heard Download The Matchbook App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1
29 Aug 26 Windsor Bubbles Wonky (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Play The Matchbook Match 6 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 3/1J
24 Aug 26 Brighton Dalmally (GB)J: Thomas Greatrex Streamline Taxis Always Going The Distance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 9/2
24 Aug 26 Brighton The Organiser (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Ian Carnaby Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 13/2
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Daring Legend (GB)J: Kieren Fox Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mark Pattinson's strike rate?
Mark Pattinson has won 29 of 580 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Pattinson do best at?
Brighton by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mark Pattinson?
Joshua Bryan, with 64 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.7%).
Is Mark Pattinson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark Pattinson's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 578 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).