What is Mervyn Torrens's strike rate?

Mervyn Torrens has won 39 of 544 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mervyn Torrens do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mervyn Torrens?

Michael Darcy, with 77 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.8%).

What is Mervyn Torrens's Fair A/E?

1.23, from 544 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mervyn Torrens

544 runners in the lifetime window · 90 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

39–544

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=544

118 (22%)

Placed

1.23

Fair A/E

n=544 · 0.91 incl. margin

−197.75

£1 level stake

n=544 at SP · −36.4%

£411k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23).

Deterministic profile computed from 544 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Michael Darcy: 7.8% from 77 Claiming riders: 7.7%

The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (13.6%, n=44), clear of the yard's 7.2% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). Michael Darcy rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 1.30) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (19.4%, n=31) and in NH Flat races (14.3%, n=35). The market has also underrated the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 1.77 across 65 runners (12.3% strike, +22.00 to a £1 stake). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Toals Bookmakers Ulster Grand National E.B.F. Handicap Chase at Downpatrick (Mar 2011, £16,250). The stable star of the record: Isabellareine (GER) — 6 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−3.0

n=166 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −108.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.2

n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00

Debutants · first career start

7.5%+0.3

n=40 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −9.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.2%−3.0

n=24 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −20.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.2

n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00

When favourite

16.7%

n=18 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −7.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%+0.5

n=300 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −93.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.1%−4.1

n=32 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −24.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 19.4% vs 7.2% · n=31

With new recruits 0% vs 7.2% · n=40

In NH Flat races 14.3% vs 7.2% · n=35

At Downpatrick 13.6% vs 7.2% · n=44

With Simon Torrens 1.6% vs 7.2% · n=64

Off a 8-14-day break 12.3% vs 7.2% · n=65

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 21.6% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 319 22 6.9% −117.75

Flat 121 9 7.4% −43.00

Chase 69 3 4.3% −48.75

NH Flat 35 5 14.3% +11.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 205 11 5.4% −89.75

Heavy 118 8 6.8% −59.00

Good 105 5 4.8% −60.00

Good to Soft 44 3 6.8% −19.00

Standard (AW) 34 3 8.8% −11.00

Good to Firm 31 6 19.4% +35.00

Firm 7 3 42.9% +6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Down Royal 121 10 8.3% −14.75

Navan 74 4 5.4% −46.00

Fairyhouse 46 2 4.3% −33.75

Downpatrick 44 6 13.6% +4.00

Ballinrobe 37 2 5.4% −3.00

Dundalk (AW) 34 3 8.8% −11.00

Galway 27 1 3.7% −12.00

Punchestown 20 0 0% −20.00

Sligo 18 0 0% −18.00

Kilbeggan 17 3 17.6% +3.00

Leopardstown 15 0 0% −15.00

Thurles 13 0 0% −13.00

Clonmel 11 2 18.2% +3.25

Naas 11 0 0% −11.00

Wexford 10 3 30% +12.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 32 1 3.1% −24.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 4 15.4% 0.91 −8.25

2nd–3rd fav 73 13 17.8% 1.49 +1.50

4th–6th fav 139 15 10.8% 1.59 +18.00

7th+ in betting 306 7 2.3% 0.76 −209.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.9% completed · 388 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 69 78.3% 5 4 6 0 0

Hurdle 319 90% 6 6 18 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Isabellareine (GER) 34 6 11 25 Nov 11

Back To Bataan (IRE) 28 0 5 16 Sep 22

Hughies Grey (IRE)then Garvan Donnelly 23 4 9 11 Mar 12

Quartetto (GER)then T J Taaffe 22 3 6 10 May 12

Askann (IRE) 21 1 11 26 Feb 22

Dancera (GER) 21 4 10 27 Jul 11

Annakrista (GER)from C Von Der Recke · then Zoe Davison 17 1 3 20 May 15

Narima (GER)from C Von Der Recke 16 1 4 16 Mar 13

Canulos (IRE) 15 1 5 4 Sep 12

Macidoni (GER) 15 2 4 24 Oct 10

Major Key (FR)from Mme C Barande-Barbe 15 1 3 5 Sep 10

Hide The Biscuit (IRE)from R McGlinchey · then Tim Vaughan 14 0 4 22 Jun 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 90 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Von Der Recke (4) and Noel C Kelly (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Anthony McCann (2) and Noel C Kelly (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

318632101485377

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMichael Darcy

14% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 1.30

RiderRWSR£1

Michael Darcy 77 6 7.8% −34.75

Andrew P Thornton 68 6 8.8% −24.00

Simon Torrens 64 1 1.6% −49.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£470k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hughies Grey (IRE) — Toals Bookmakers Ulster Grand National E.B.F. Handicap Chase (0-130) Downpatrick · Mar 2011

£16,250

Isabellareine (GER) — Midland Breeders Supporting Kilbeggan E.B.F. Mares Hurdle Kilbeggan · Sep 2010

£10,695

Dancera (GER) — Mullingar Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Kilbeggan · Jun 2010

£10,350

Notable horses

Isabellareine (GER) Hughies Grey (IRE) Dancera (GER) Bella's Baileys (IRE) Arondo (GER) Quartetto (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Johan Cruyff (GB) 16.7% · 6–36

Progeny have won 14.9% of 47 runs since 2008 (7 horses).

Goofalik (USA) 17.6% · 6–34

Progeny have won 15.7% of 127 runs since 2008 (13 horses).

Millenary (GB) 0% · 0–28

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,413 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 233.

Kallisto (GER) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 12% of 241 runs since 2008 (30 horses).

Houmayoun (FR) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 4.2% of 285 runs since 2008 (40 horses).

Tertullian (USA) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,007 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.8% from 251.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 726 · newest first

The latest 50 of 726 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 9 December 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Dec 23 Navan Pretty Soldier (GER)J: Simon Torrens Headfort Arms Hotel Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 25 ran 20th 150/1

08 Sep 23 Down Royal Pretty Soldier (GER)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap (50-80)18f · Good · 14 ran 11th 12/1

28 Jul 23 Down Royal Pretty Soldier (GER)J: Cian Horgan Tote Apprentice Handicap13f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

10 Jul 23 Roscommon Pretty Soldier (GER)J: Simon Torrens Frenchpark Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 10/1

24 Jun 23 Down Royal Pretty Soldier (GER)J: Daniel King New Pravha Suite Handicap (47-70)10.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 16/1

03 May 23 Gowran Park Ballybeg Boy (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Save 33% Buying Tickets Online Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Yielding · 16 ran 10th 125/1

21 Oct 22 Sligo Mister Vic (IRE)J: Mr L T Turner Lough Gill Flat Race18f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 9th 100/1

26 Sep 22 Roscommon Mister Vic (IRE)J: Mr L T Turner Roscommon On-Course Vets Flat Race15.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 50/1

20 Sep 22 Listowel Ballybeg Boy (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial (C & G) Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 125/1

16 Sep 22 Downpatrick Back To Bataan (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase18f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 10th 80/1

05 Sep 22 Galway Back To Bataan (IRE)J: Jennifer Torrens Galway Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 12th 16/1

17 Aug 22 Sligo Back To Bataan (IRE)J: Jennifer Torrens Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 11/1

15 Aug 22 Roscommon Ballybeg Boy (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Eurona Brisknet Maiden7.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 150/1

26 Feb 22 Fairyhouse Askann (IRE)J: Jennifer Torrens Easter Festival 16th - 18th April Handicap Hurdle (80-109)23.5f · Soft · 18 ran 10th 22/1

22 Jan 22 Navan Askann (IRE)J: Jennifer Torrens Ardmulchan Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Yielding · 26 ran 11th 33/1

01 Jan 22 Fairyhouse Askann (IRE)J: Jennifer Torrens Tote+ Pays You More At Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109) (Div 1)24.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 3rd 14/1

11 Dec 21 Fairyhouse Presenting Meghan (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Happy Christmas From Everyone At Fairyhouse Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 28/1

30 Oct 21 Down Royal Aragon (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Tayto Group Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 14/1

09 Oct 21 Fairyhouse Presenting Meghan (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Welcome Back To Fairyhouse Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Good · 12 ran 11th 22/1

17 Sep 21 Downpatrick Back To Bataan (IRE)J: Jennifer Torrens Franco Hughes Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mervyn Torrens's strike rate?: Mervyn Torrens has won 39 of 544 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mervyn Torrens do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mervyn Torrens?: Michael Darcy, with 77 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.8%).
What is Mervyn Torrens's Fair A/E?: 1.23, from 544 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.