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Trainer profile

Miss Katy Brown

480 runners in the lifetime window · 67 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 19 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–480
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=480
65 (14%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=479 · 0.89 incl. margin
−205.42
£1 level stake
n=480 at SP · −42.8%
£291k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 480 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug Adam Short: 4.7% from 64
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). Adam Short rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (16.7%, n=30) and in Class 6 (12.9%, n=31). The market has also underrated the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 1.88 across 76 runners (7.9% strike, +24.25 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 49 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Effernock Fizz (IRE) — 6 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−1.3
n=69 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −54.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.5%+5.3
n=21 · A/E 2.94 · £1 −6.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.2
n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.2
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +0.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%−0.5
n=269 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −117.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 16.7% vs 4.2% · n=30
In Class 6 12.9% vs 4.2% · n=31
Off a 0-7-day break 9.5% vs 4.2% · n=63
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4.2% · n=49
With debutants 0% vs 4.2% · n=48
In Hurdle races 7.9% vs 4.2% · n=76
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 371 14 3.8% −196.67
Hurdle 76 6 7.9% +24.25
Chase 19 0 0% −19.00
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 155 3 1.9% −120.00
Good 121 9 7.4% +23.75
Soft 106 2 1.9% −85.50
Heavy 35 1 2.9% −30.67
Good to Soft 33 0 0% −33.00
Good to Firm 30 5 16.7% +40.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 121 2 1.7% −101.00
Curragh 39 2 5.1% −10.50
Navan 25 1 4% −12.00
Naas 24 0 0% −24.00
Bellewstown 21 4 19% +10.08
Gowran Park 19 0 0% −19.00
Leopardstown 19 1 5.3% −2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 1 5.3% −4.00
Punchestown 15 0 0% −15.00
Wexford 15 1 6.7% −9.00
Tipperary 14 3 21.4% +93.00
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Cork 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 12 0 0% −12.00
Down Royal 11 1 9.1% −5.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 31 4 12.9% +11.00
Class 1 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 5 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 3 30% 1.38 +3.75
2nd–3rd fav 20 5 25% 1.73 +10.83
4th–6th fav 110 7 6.4% 1.06 −29.00
7th+ in betting 340 5 1.5% 0.76 −191.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Effernock Fizz (IRE)then Cian Collins 63 6 16 12 Jul 22
Allora Yeats (IRE)from Peter Maher 33 2 9 15 May 22
Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE) 28 1 4 21 Oct 26
Descendant (GB)from K J Condon 28 1 4 17 Feb 24
Secret Memories (IRE) 28 3 8 16 Aug 18
Persian Lion (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington · then Michael John O'Connor 23 0 3 5 Aug 21
Reinforce (IRE)from Daniel James Murphy 21 2 4 3 Aug 26
On Tick (IRE)then W J Martin 16 1 4 9 Nov 20
Stop On Red (IRE)from J G Coogan 12 1 2 15 Aug 24
Vic's Little Miss (IRE)from Paul W Flynn 11 0 2 10 Jul 21
Mrs Hitchcock (IRE) 11 0 0 31 Aug 18
Da Little Grey Lad (IRE) 10 0 0 19 Jan 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Cian Collins (2) and K J Condon (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Cian Collins (4); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000691080205
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAdam Short
13% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 1.11
RiderRWSR£1
Adam Short 64 3 4.7% +18.00
Mark Gallagher 64 4 6.3% −27.17
Killian Hennessy 40 1 2.5% −23.00
D M Simmonson 39 2 5.1% −20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
20
Archived wins
£291k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 5 wins
Effernock Fizz (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Ragusa' Handicap Curragh · Jun 2021
£29,500
Petrol Head (IRE) — Bia Energy Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle Bellewstown · Jul 2024
£29,500
Effernock Fizz (IRE) — Indaver Bellewstown Bowl Handicap Bellewstown · Aug 2020
£9,145
Notable horses
Effernock Fizz (IRE) Secret Memories (IRE) Allora Yeats (IRE) Reinforce (IRE) Petrol Head (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lovelace (GB) 8.7% · 6–69
Progeny have won 6.5% of 186 runs since 2015 (10 horses).
Yeats (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,855 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Paco Boy (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,451 runs since 2014 (269 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,388 runs since 2020 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2014 (324 horses).
Epaulette (AUS) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 480 · newest first

The latest 50 of 480 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2017 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 150/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 33/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: Killian Leonard 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 21st 125/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 250/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: Killian Leonard M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 200/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 5/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: James Ryan Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden9f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 16th 250/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden9f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 11th 300/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap5f · Good · 18 ran 5th 12/1
04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Brian Barry WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 150/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Hetty Parker (IRE)J: Mr J G Chute WTW Willis Insurance Brokers Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 33/1
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Handicap5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Brian Barry Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 200/1
03 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Reinforce (IRE)J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 40/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 300/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Uno Me I Like My T (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 9th 300/1
11 Jul 26 Navan Reinforce (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Newgrange Hotel Handicap6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 40/1
04 Jul 26 Bellewstown Uno Me I Like My T (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Johnny's Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 150/1
26 Jun 26 Curragh Ballysax Stew (IRE)J: James Ryan McGuinness Maintenance Services Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 300/1
24 Jun 26 Naas Reinforce (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan ARKequine Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 21 ran 15th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Katy Brown's strike rate?
Miss Katy Brown has won 20 of 480 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss Katy Brown do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 2 wins from 39 runners (5.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Miss Katy Brown?
Adam Short, with 64 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.7%).
What is Miss Katy Brown's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 479 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).