Skip to content
Trainer profile

Patrick Leech

162 runners in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2022 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–162
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=162
22 (14%)
Placed
0.66
Fair A/E
n=161 · 0.55 incl. margin
−101.00
£1 level stake
n=162 at SP · −62.3%
£35,894
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (75 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 162 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.7%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 6.7% (n=75, Fair A/E 1.09). The yard also reads well in Class 5 (6.1%, n=49). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.40 across 50 runners (2% strike, −35.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.1
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.1
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+3.6
n=75 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 6.7% vs 3.1% · n=75
In Class 5 6.1% vs 3.1% · n=49
On Standard (AW) going 5.6% vs 3.1% · n=89
Over 6f – 7f 5.1% vs 3.1% · n=59
With a new jockey booking 1.7% vs 3.1% · n=119 · A/E 0.42
Off a 15-30-day break 2% vs 3.1% · n=50 · A/E 0.40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 151 5 3.3% −90.00
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 89 5 5.6% −28.00
Good to Firm 29 0 0% −29.00
Good 20 0 0% −20.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 23 3 13% +29.50
Yarmouth 21 0 0% −21.00
Southwell (AW) 19 2 10.5% −10.50
Lingfield (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Chelmsford (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Newmarket 8 0 0% −8.00
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00
Folkestone 2 0 0% −2.00
Epsom Downs 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 76 2 2.6% −69.50
Class 5 49 3 6.1% +5.50
Class 4 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.28 −0.50
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 41 1 2.4% 0.39 −35.50
7th+ in betting 108 2 1.9% 0.78 −59.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Millfields Dreams (GB)from G C H Chung 19 2 7 30 May 10
Always The Sun (GB) 18 0 1 5 Apr 10
Welcome Releaf (GB)from Giles Bravery 16 2 3 19 Feb 09
Santa Clara (GB)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 9 0 0 19 Dec 08
Toballa (GB)from Hugh Collingridge · then Hugh Collingridge 8 0 0 12 Dec 09
Reformed Character (IRE)from Lydia Pearce · then Martin Dunne 6 0 3 14 May 22
Kings On The Roof (GB) 6 0 0 14 Sep 10
Annakonda (IRE)from Peter Chapple-Hyam 5 0 0 7 Jun 22
Mitigator (GB)from Lydia Pearce · then Jack Jones 5 1 2 18 May 22
Present Story (GB)then Gary Harrison 5 0 1 2 Oct 10
Wild By Nature (GB) 5 0 0 23 Jun 09
Thoughtful Gift (GB)then Jack Jones 4 0 0 7 Jun 22
All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lydia Pearce (4) and Michael Squance (3); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Harrison (4) and Jack Jones (4); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00815001100000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Coumbe 17 4 23.5% +40.50
Stevie Donohoe 9 0 0% −9.00
Luke Morris 7 0 0% −7.00
Daragh O'Donohoe 6 0 0% −6.00
Molly Gunn 6 0 0% −6.00
Micky Fenton 6 0 0% −6.00
Tyler Heard 6 1 16.7% −2.50
Saleem Golam 5 0 0% −5.00
Amy Baker 5 0 0% −5.00
William Carson 5 0 0% −5.00
Toby Atkinson 4 0 0% −4.00
Morgan Cole 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
5
Archived wins
£35,894
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
Welcome Releaf (GB) — Dine In Queen Mother Restaurant Median Auction Maiden Stakes Southwell (AW) · Apr 2008 · Class 5
£3,400
Millfields Dreams (GB) — Weatherbys Printing Apprentice Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jul 2008 · Class 5
£2,590
Mitigator (GB) — Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day Apprentice Handicap (Div 1) Kempton (AW) · Mar 2022 · Class 6
£2,538
Notable horses
Millfields Dreams (GB) Welcome Releaf (GB) Mitigator (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dreams End (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 4.1% of 196 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
Intikhab (USA) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Most Welcome (GB) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 12.3% of 479 runs since 2008 (28 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 19.3% from 145. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.8% from 103.
Night Shift (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
King Charlemagne (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 162 · newest first

The latest 50 of 162 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 February 2008 to 7 June 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Jun 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Thoughtful Gift (GB)J: Molly Gunn CCR Supports Local Unpaid Carers HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 80/1
07 Jun 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Annakonda (IRE)J: Molly Gunn Save My Soul Saturday 9th July Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 100/1
02 Jun 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Louisiana Bay (IRE)J: Molly Gunn EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 150/1
18 May 22 Yarmouth Annakonda (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Cazoo Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 22/1
18 May 22 Yarmouth Mitigator (GB)J: Morgan Cole QuinnBet HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 7/2
14 May 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Reformed Character (IRE)J: Aidan Keeley Show A Tribute To Abba 13th August HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 7/4F
14 May 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Louisiana Bay (IRE)J: Molly Gunn Betsi Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 80/1
25 Apr 22 Southwell (AW) Annakonda (IRE)J: Angus Villiers Join Southwell Golf Club HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 18/1
19 Apr 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Thoughtful Gift (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Cazoo Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 300/1
19 Apr 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Reformed Character (IRE)J: Molly Gunn Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 4/1F
06 Apr 22 Kempton (AW) Top Button (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 20/1
02 Apr 22 Lingfield (AW) Reformed Character (IRE)J: Molly Gunn All Weather Championships Mile Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 14/1
02 Apr 22 Lingfield (AW) Thoughtful Gift (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 100/1
26 Mar 22 Doncaster Mitigator (GB)J: Tyler Heard SBK Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 10/3F
17 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Lynchpin (IRE)J: Grace McEntee AWC Mile Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 14/1
17 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Annakonda (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Read Katie Walsh On Betway Insider Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 50/1
16 Mar 22 Kempton (AW) Indian Pearl (GB)J: William Carson Unibet Support Safe Gambling Median Auction Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 5th 66/1
15 Mar 22 Southwell (AW) Lynchpin (IRE)J: Laura Coughlan MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 20/1
14 Mar 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Dwarf (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Novice StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
12 Mar 22 Kempton (AW) Mitigator (GB)J: Tyler Heard Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 1st 5/2J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Leech's strike rate?
Patrick Leech has won 5 of 162 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick Leech's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 161 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).