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Trainer profile

Paul George

283 runners in the lifetime window · 56 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2022 95% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–283
Wins / Runs
7.8%
Strike rate
n=283
66 (23%)
Placed
1.08
Fair A/E
n=282 · 0.92 incl. margin
−23.30
£1 level stake
n=283 at SP · −8.2%
£152k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 283 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Rhiain Ingram: 11% from 91 Claiming riders: 8.7%
The read

The record is strongest at Bath (16.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 7.8% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (1.8% over 55 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.26). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +18.20 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Rhiain Ingram rides 32% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11% vs 7.8%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (18.5%, n=54) and off a 8-14-day break (16.2%, n=37). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 3.1% over 129 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Princess Way (IRE) — 5 wins from 12 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.8%−6.0
n=57 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −55.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.6%−4.2
n=28 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −19.00
Debutants · first career start
6.7%−1.1
n=30 · A/E 2.72 · £1 +45.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.8
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
37.5%
n=8 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +0.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+0.9
n=127 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +18.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 18.5% vs 7.8% · n=54
Off a 8-14-day break 16.2% vs 7.8% · n=37
At Bath 16.7% vs 7.8% · n=30
At Wolverhampton (AW) 1.8% vs 7.8% · n=55
On Standard (AW) going 3.1% vs 7.8% · n=129
With a new jockey booking 3.6% vs 7.8% · n=139
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 270 20 7.4% −102.30
NH Flat 8 2 25% +84.00
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 129 4 3.1% −108.80
Good to Firm 54 10 18.5% +51.00
Good 44 3 6.8% +9.50
Good to Soft 28 4 14.3% +43.00
Soft 21 1 4.8% −11.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 55 1 1.8% −44.00
Kempton (AW) 35 1 2.9% −30.50
Bath 30 5 16.7% +6.50
Lingfield (AW) 29 2 6.9% −24.30
Windsor 24 1 4.2% −11.00
Chepstow 23 2 8.7% −10.50
Leicester 19 3 15.8% −3.00
Ffos Las 14 2 14.3% +2.50
Lingfield 11 3 27.3% +42.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Newton Abbot 5 1 20% +36.00
Salisbury 5 0 0% −5.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Worcester 4 1 25% +47.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 126 11 8.7% −17.00
Class 5 116 7 6% +1.70
Class 4 30 3 10% −8.00
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 7 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 0.99 −2.80
2nd–3rd fav 44 8 18.2% 1.13 +1.50
4th–6th fav 92 9 9.8% 1.34 +22.00
7th+ in betting 136 2 1.5% 0.57 −44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Accrington Stanley (GB)from George Scott 20 1 8 11 Sep 22
Brinkleys Katie (GB) 15 0 2 4 Feb 20
Halle's Harbour (GB)from Karen George · then Dennis Van Dyck 13 1 4 30 Nov 19
Princess Way (IRE)from Karen George 12 5 7 6 Aug 20
Bug Boy (IRE)from Harry Dunlop · then Tony Newcombe 12 2 6 20 Nov 19
Lippy Lady (IRE)from J S Moore · then Tony Newcombe 12 1 4 5 Nov 19
Knightshayes (GB) 10 1 3 14 Oct 20
Secret Return (IRE)from Karen George · then Karen George 10 2 5 7 Oct 19
Essgee Nics (IRE)then Robyn Brisland 10 0 2 28 Aug 19
Arthalot (IRE)then Victor Dartnall 9 1 2 8 Jul 21
Sherwood Forrester (GB) 8 0 2 30 Apr 21
Full Spectrum (IRE) 7 0 0 17 Jan 20
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Karen George (11) and George Scott (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Victor Dartnall (6) and Grace Harris (3); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6181109108155700
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRhiain Ingram
32% of all rides
11% SR · A/E 1.42
RiderRWSR£1
Rhiain Ingram 91 10 11% +8.20
J F Egan 40 4 10% −21.50
Luke Morris 37 2 5.4% −16.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
22
Archived wins
£152k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 12 wins
Secret Return (IRE) — Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap Windsor · Oct 2018 · Class 4
£5,531
Kodiac Harbour (IRE) — Foxton Handicap Leicester · May 2019 · Class 4
£5,531
Secret Return (IRE) — Samworth Brothers Handicap Bath · Aug 2019 · Class 4
£5,208
Notable horses
Princess Way (IRE) Bug Boy (IRE) Secret Return (IRE) Kodiac Harbour (IRE) Accrington Stanley (GB) Halle's Harbour (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Outstrip (GB) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,287 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 634. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 264.
Harbour Watch (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2016 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 322. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
New Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,792 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.
Roderic O'connor (IRE) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,341 runs since 2015 (166 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.5% from 126. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.7% from 224. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.3% from 143.
Big Bad Bob (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,245 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 283 · newest first

The latest 50 of 283 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 July 2018 to 18 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) Back In Tennessee (IRE)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet Support Safe Gambling NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 4th 66/1
11 Sep 22 Chepstow Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Follow Vickers.Bet On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 11/1
11 Aug 22 Salisbury Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram M J Church HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 11/2
30 Jul 22 Lingfield (AW) Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Lingfield Thai Lounge & Tarana Restaurant Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 6/1
06 Jul 22 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 4th 9/2J
06 Jul 22 Bath Rathagan (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Cazoo HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 50/1
22 Jun 22 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Firm · 7 ran 4th 4/1
03 Jun 22 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 9/2
20 May 22 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram HomeLets 30 Year HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 5th 12/1
28 Apr 22 Chepstow Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Cazoo Search Drive Smile HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 13/2
14 Apr 22 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Neil Callan Showcasing Standing At Whitsbury Manor Stud HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 9/2
07 Mar 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Sympathise (IRE)J: Luke Morris Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 80/1
28 Feb 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Sympathise (IRE)J: Luke Morris Betway Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 200/1
15 Dec 21 Lingfield (AW) Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Luke Morris Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 16/1
04 Dec 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Luke Morris Mansionbet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 12/1
20 Nov 21 Lingfield (AW) Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Luke Morris MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 9/1
20 Nov 21 Lingfield (AW) Sympathise (IRE)J: Luke Morris MansionBet Proud Partners Of The AWC Novice Median Auction StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 66/1
18 Oct 21 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 5th 13/2
11 Sep 21 Bath Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Franny Norton Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Firm · 3 ran 2nd 4/1
19 Aug 21 Chepstow Accrington Stanley (GB)J: Luke Morris Cazoo HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul George's strike rate?
Paul George has won 22 of 283 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul George do best at?
Bath by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul George?
Rhiain Ingram, with 91 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (11%).
What is Paul George's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 282 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).