What is Phillip Makin's strike rate?

Phillip Makin has won 86 of 1,190 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Phillip Makin do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 13 wins from 80 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Phillip Makin?

Rowan Scott, with 385 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (7.5%).

Is Phillip Makin in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Phillip Makin's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 1,181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Phillip Makin

1,190 runners in the lifetime window · 120 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

86–1,190

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=1,190

313 (26%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=1,181 · 0.68 incl. margin

−491.96

£1 level stake

n=1,190 at SP · −41.3%

£1.01m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,190 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 26.9% when favourite Rowan Scott: 7.5% from 385 Claiming riders: 7.3% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (16.3%, n=80) and Musselburgh (13.2%, n=53) — all clear of the yard's 7.2% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −63.50 to a £1 stake over 129 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rowan Scott rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.87). The stable star of the record: Impressor (IRE) — 8 wins from 78 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.7%−2.5

n=129 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −63.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.9%−2.3

n=41 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −25.50

Debutants · first career start

5.1%−2.1

n=79 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −14.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−7.2

n=54 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −54.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+1.9

n=66 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −6.75

When favourite

26.9%

n=78 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −13.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%+0.1

n=178 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −80.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.2

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.9% vs 7.2% · n=83

At Hamilton 16.3% vs 7.2% · n=80

With Ben Curtis 15.4% vs 7.2% · n=52

With first-time headgear 0% vs 7.2% · n=54

With Tony Hamilton 0% vs 7.2% · n=31

At Musselburgh 13.2% vs 7.2% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,183 86 7.3% −484.96

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 489 36 7.4% −173.34

Good 258 23 8.9% −48.51

Good to Firm 185 5 2.7% −128.00

Soft 123 8 6.5% −82.42

Good to Soft 101 10 9.9% −39.69

Heavy 34 4 11.8% −20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 282 22 7.8% −42.62

Thirsk 103 6 5.8% −69.37

Southwell (AW) 96 9 9.4% −51.72

Wolverhampton (AW) 86 4 4.7% −57.25

Hamilton 80 13 16.3% +9.13

Redcar 77 5 6.5% −42.00

Beverley 67 4 6% −36.25

Ayr 60 2 3.3% −47.67

Musselburgh 53 7 13.2% +30.61

York 39 3 7.7% −12.90

Carlisle 37 5 13.5% +3.50

Doncaster 37 1 2.7% −26.00

Catterick 25 1 4% −21.00

Ripon 23 1 4.3% −16.00

Pontefract 22 0 0% −22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 430 38 8.8% −104.17

Class 5 429 27 6.3% −252.36

Class 4 207 16 7.7% −50.01

Class 3 64 2 3.1% −53.75

Class 2 47 3 6.4% −18.67

Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 101 25 24.8% 0.99 −22.29

2nd–3rd fav 242 29 12% 0.77 −84.67

4th–6th fav 372 19 5.1% 0.66 −190.00

7th+ in betting 475 13 2.7% 0.86 −195.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Impressor (IRE)from Marcus Tregoning 78 8 27 27 Oct 26

Captain Vallo (IRE) 64 5 26 24 Feb 26

Ganesha (GB) 41 4 12 4 Nov 26

She'sashambles (IRE) 35 1 11 19 Feb 26

Fast Fred (GB) 34 5 18 12 Sep 26

Storm Over (IRE)from George Scott 27 2 4 21 Feb 22

Point Of Honour (IRE)from Ruth Carr · then Craig Lidster 25 2 9 1 Oct 22

Lahore (USA)from Clive Cox · then Paul Midgley 24 3 4 23 Oct 21

Impartiality (GB) 23 3 12 19 Oct 26

Lupset Flossy Pop (IRE)then Gary Brown 23 1 4 4 Dec 23

Fennaan (IRE)from John Gosden · then Michael Appleby 22 1 3 19 Oct 21

Big Dutchie (IRE)then Steph Hollinshead 21 0 3 10 Feb 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ed Dunlop (2) and Gordon Elliott (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Midgley (3) and Craig Lidster (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

84578810668117

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRowan Scott

32% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.87

RiderRWSR£1

Rowan Scott 385 29 7.5% −151.43

Sam James 158 14 8.9% −61.04

Shane Gray 124 4 3.2% −91.25

Paul Mulrennan 67 5 7.5% −29.02

Ben Curtis 52 8 15.4% −16.09

Tony Hamilton 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£1.01m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 17 wins

Hickory Lad (IRE) — Oddschecker British EBF Woodcote Stakes (Conditions Race) (GBB Race) Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Class 2

£38,655

Priapos (IRE) — Stablemate By AGMA Carlisle Bell Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2026 · Class 4

£15,702

Fast Fred (GB) — Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Musselburgh · Apr 2026 · Class 4

£15,462

Notable horses

Impressor (IRE) Captain Vallo (IRE) Fast Fred (GB) Ganesha (GB) Annie Edson Taylor (GB) Priapos (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.6% · 10–116

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,810 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Mehmas (IRE) 8.9% · 9–101

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,219 runs since 2020 (753 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,646 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Dandy Man (IRE) 10.6% · 5–47

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 4.5% · 2–44

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mayson (GB) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,391 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,190 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,190 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2019 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Ganesha (GB)J: Zak Wheatley Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 22/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lone Piper (GB)J: Sam James Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 50/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Impressor (IRE)J: Sam James Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 13/2

26 Oct 26 Redcar Impressor (IRE)J: Sam James Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Liveadream (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse - Book Now Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 11/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Binksy Boy (IRE)J: Sam James racingtv.com/Freetrial British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 200/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Pocket Change (IRE)J: Rowan Scott AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Impartiality (GB)J: Shane Gray Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Priapos (IRE)J: Oliver Carmichael Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 15/2

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Farabove The Limit (IRE)J: Sam James quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 3/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Ganesha (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 9/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Liveadream (GB)J: Sam James Kick Start Your Career With The SRA Selling StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 22/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Lone Piper (GB)J: Miss Sophie Dobson Join Racing TV Now Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 100/1

10 Oct 26 York Hickory Lad (IRE)J: Sam James Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 15/2

09 Oct 26 York Military Leader (GB)J: Sam James William Hill Gold Weekend Autumn Mile Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 13th 22/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Annie Edson Taylor (GB)J: Sam James Tennent's Lager Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 12/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Priapos (IRE)J: Sam James Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling StakesClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 14/1

28 Sep 26 Hamilton Impressor (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

28 Sep 26 Hamilton Impartiality (GB)J: Shane Gray John Mackenzie And Hamish Macgregor Memorial Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 4/1

28 Sep 26 Hamilton Annie Edson Taylor (GB)J: Miss Pippa Brown Clearwater Dc Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 6/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 16 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Phillip Makin's strike rate?: Phillip Makin has won 86 of 1,190 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Phillip Makin do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 13 wins from 80 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Phillip Makin?: Rowan Scott, with 385 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (7.5%).
Is Phillip Makin in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Phillip Makin's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 1,181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.