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Trainer profile

R K Watson

1,259 runners in the lifetime window · 218 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
37–1,259
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=1,259
151 (12%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=1,259 · 0.63 incl. margin
−810.00
£1 level stake
n=1,259 at SP · −64.3%
£563k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,259 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Andrew Ring: 8.8% from 80
The read

The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0% strike, Fair A/E 0.00 and −104.00 to a £1 stake over 104 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Andrew Ring rides 6% of the entries and beats the yard's average (8.8% vs 2.9%, A/E 1.70) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (9.7%, n=31) and off a 0-7-day break (6.6%, n=91).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.2%−1.7
n=336 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −238.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0.9%−2.0
n=115 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −64.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.9
n=104 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −104.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=80 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −80.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3.6%+0.7
n=84 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −10.50
When favourite
11.8%
n=17 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −10.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.9%+0.0
n=689 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −423.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.9
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Andrew Ring 8.8% vs 2.9% · n=80
In Class 6 9.7% vs 2.9% · n=31
Off a 0-7-day break 6.6% vs 2.9% · n=91
With debutants 0% vs 2.9% · n=104
At Navan 0% vs 2.9% · n=90
On Good to Soft going 5.6% vs 2.9% · n=125
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 462 10 2.2% −330.00
Flat 429 12 2.8% −250.50
Chase 286 14 4.9% −152.50
NH Flat 82 1 1.2% −77.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 397 10 2.5% −259.50
Good 340 6 1.8% −267.00
Heavy 189 8 4.2% −130.00
Standard (AW) 152 3 2% −123.50
Good to Soft 125 7 5.6% −35.00
Good to Firm 54 3 5.6% +7.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 205 7 3.4% −121.50
Downpatrick 154 7 4.5% −75.50
Dundalk (AW) 125 1 0.8% −108.00
Navan 90 0 0% −90.00
Punchestown 67 2 3% −56.00
Fairyhouse 67 3 4.5% −24.00
Sligo 50 0 0% −50.00
Limerick 38 0 0% −38.00
Leopardstown 35 2 5.7% +31.00
Naas 34 1 2.9% −28.00
Gowran Park 34 0 0% −34.00
Clonmel 29 3 10.3% −7.00
Thurles 27 1 3.7% −14.00
Tramore 27 1 3.7% −6.00
Kilbeggan 25 0 0% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 38 0 0% −38.00
Class 6 31 3 9.7% −13.50
Class 4 23 1 4.3% −18.50
Class 5 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 19 3 15.8% 0.75 −6.50
2nd–3rd fav 64 11 17.2% 1.25 −4.50
4th–6th fav 257 14 5.4% 0.97 −57.50
7th+ in betting 919 9 1% 0.45 −741.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
British Art (GB)from Paul Cole 50 4 11 4 Jun 21
Shamar (FR)from W P Mullins 39 1 7 14 May 18
Manomine (GB)from Clive Brittain 30 3 7 17 Jan 20
Iva Batt (IRE) 29 2 5 3 Dec 25
Carried (IRE)from Mrs Prunella Dobbs 27 1 6 18 Jun 22
Jimli's Cave (IRE) 24 1 5 21 Jun 26
I'm For Home (IRE)then R P Rath 22 0 2 8 May 26
Amaulino (FR)from Colin Bowe 22 2 3 7 Jul 24
The Shepherd King (IRE)from Thomas Cooper 22 0 4 12 Nov 17
Finea (IRE)from F Flood 22 3 7 29 Jun 16
He Knows My Name (IRE) 21 2 6 13 Dec 18
Odd Venture (IRE)from Patrick Tallis · then Micky Hammond 20 1 5 26 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 218 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (3) and F Flood (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Susan Corbett (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
453442315223
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Ring
6% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.70
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Ring 80 7 8.8% −1.50
Sorcha Woods 75 3 4% −42.00
P J O'Hanlon 55 3 5.5% −21.00
Mr M Watson 42 1 2.4% −21.00
Derek Thomas McGrath 40 0 0% −40.00
Shane O'Callaghan 38 2 5.3% −15.50
Darragh O'Keeffe 34 1 2.9% −28.00
Seamie Heffernan 33 1 3% −10.00
Mark Bolger 33 0 0% −33.00
Donagh Meyler 30 1 3.3% −20.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
37
Archived wins
£565k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Amaulino (FR) — toalsbet.com Ulster National Irish EBF Handicap Chase Downpatrick · Mar 2019
£23,600
Heavenly Brook (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123) Clonmel · Mar 2015
£12,420
Blue Empyrean (IRE) — Eastcoast Seafood & Gouldings Hardware Handicap Chase Naas · Jan 2018
£11,396
Notable horses
British Art (GB) Manomine (GB) Finea (IRE) New Society (IRE) Iva Batt (IRE) Amaulino (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Iffraaj (GB) 6.7% · 4–60
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,990 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Dr Fong (USA) 2.6% · 1–39
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Court Cave (IRE) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,334 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,334 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Stretchemout (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Racing Post Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 250/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Swift Charm (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Lisburn And Castlereagh City Council 3-Y-O Hurdle17f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 19th 33/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Hello Wee Love (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 9th 200/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rossnowlagh (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 8th 300/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Notahairoutofplace (GB)J: Jack Cleary M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 250/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Grey Ace (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 6th 80/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 25/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Minella Sixo (IRE)J: Harry Sexton BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 6th 100/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) George's Angel (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran PU 80/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 12th 100/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Minella Sixo (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Steeplechase21f · Good · 6 ran 6th 22/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Notahairoutofplace (GB)J: James Ryan Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 500/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran UR 66/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Basilano (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 250/1
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Greenroad Girl (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Randox Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran 6th 300/1
25 Aug 26 Musselburgh Evangelic (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 150/1
24 Aug 26 Musselburgh Serengeti Sunrise (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 40/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Greenroad Girl (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh WTW Willis Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 7 ran 6th 500/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Stretchemout (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Steeplechase (Div II)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 9 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is R K Watson's strike rate?
R K Watson has won 37 of 1,259 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R K Watson do best at?
Leopardstown by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 runners (5.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for R K Watson?
Andrew Ring, with 80 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.8%).
Is R K Watson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is R K Watson's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 1,259 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).