What is Rod Millman's strike rate?

Rod Millman has won 597 of 5,661 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rod Millman do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 40 wins from 250 runners (16%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Rod Millman?

James Millman, with 972 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (9.1%).

Is Rod Millman in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Rod Millman's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 5,622 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Rod Millman

5,661 runners in the lifetime window · 430 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.1% of 371 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

597–5,661

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=5,661

1,633 (29%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=5,622 · 0.89 incl. margin

−1,303.15

£1 level stake

n=5,661 at SP · −23.0%

£6.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 300 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (152 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,661 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 34.3% when favourite James Millman: 9.1% from 972 Headgear returns: 13.8% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (18.7%, n=107), clear of the yard's 10.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.8% (n=152, Fair A/E 1.36), but debutants struggle at 2.7% (n=332, Fair A/E 0.72). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +0.91 to a £1 stake over 193 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −31.62 to a £1 stake over 137 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Millman rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.6%, n=252). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2025, £134,092). The stable star of the record: Airshow (GB) — 13 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.9%−3.6

n=606 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −150.58

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.5%−2.0

n=71 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −27.75

Debutants · first career start

2.7%−7.8

n=332 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −219.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.4%+0.9

n=193 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +0.91

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.8%+3.3

n=152 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −27.49

When favourite

34.3%

n=460 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +16.29

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.4%−0.1

n=1,399 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −264.33

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.8%−4.7

n=137 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −31.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 22.6% vs 10.5% · n=252

With Oisin Murphy 19% vs 10.5% · n=332

On last-time-out winners 18% vs 10.5% · n=579

With debutants 2.7% vs 10.5% · n=332

With Rob Hornby 20% vs 10.5% · n=60

At Lingfield 18.7% vs 10.5% · n=107

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,516 583 10.6% −1,264.30

Hurdle 97 6 6.2% −54.10

NH Flat 38 5 13.2% +7.50

Chase 10 3 30% +7.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,604 160 10% −253.59

Good to Firm 1,379 133 9.6% −472.99

Good 1,223 126 10.3% −314.99

Good to Soft 600 75 12.5% −88.21

Soft 559 71 12.7% −82.88

Firm 153 18 11.8% −11.69

Heavy 143 14 9.8% −78.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 689 64 9.3% −92.36

Salisbury 519 52 10% −179.95

Windsor 490 44 9% −223.82

Bath 418 52 12.4% −11.41

Chepstow 365 41 11.2% −140.59

Wolverhampton (AW) 307 29 9.4% −110.40

Newbury 263 22 8.4% −0.97

Lingfield (AW) 252 24 9.5% −63.47

Ffos Las 250 40 16% −28.63

Southwell (AW) 244 28 11.5% −16.36

Leicester 233 20 8.6% −111.14

Sandown 207 29 14% −27.31

Goodwood 189 15 7.9% −103.92

Nottingham 168 19 11.3% −5.50

Ascot 111 8 7.2% −25.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,005 215 10.7% −680.94

Class 6 1,374 165 12% −187.20

Class 4 1,337 138 10.3% −262.28

Class 3 404 40 9.9% −18.93

Class 2 373 29 7.8% −103.38

Class 1 139 8 5.8% −33.62

Class 7 28 1 3.6% −20.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 559 182 32.6% 1.22 +32.62

2nd–3rd fav 1,276 217 17% 1.06 −153.27

4th–6th fav 1,857 149 8% 0.98 −330.50

7th+ in betting 1,969 49 2.5% 0.74 −852.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,409 245 10.2% −776.38

1m – 1m1f 984 98 10% −209.67

1m2f – 1m4f 962 93 9.7% −144.74

Under 6f 872 107 12.3% −125.16

1m5f – 2m 339 43 12.7% −30.87

2m1f – 2m4f 77 8 10.4% −16.08

2m5f – 3m 15 2 13.3% −1.00

Over 3m 3 1 33.3% +0.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 357 27 7.6% −165.93

2009 349 40 11.5% −71.48

2010 300 25 8.3% −99.31

2011 342 36 10.5% −103.62

2012 312 25 8% −26.57

2013 260 21 8.1% −80.00

2014 233 23 9.9% −36.70

2015 202 16 7.9% −74.13

2016 244 26 10.7% −58.62

2017 266 33 12.4% +64.98

2018 291 28 9.6% −117.00

2019 300 35 11.7% −72.29

2020 231 19 8.2% −98.87

2021 308 35 11.4% −119.96

2022 327 39 11.9% −58.71

2023 328 45 13.7% −43.19

2024 356 45 12.6% −42.04

2025 319 37 11.6% −36.73

2026 336 42 12.5% −62.98

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,091 480 11.7% −676.02

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,001 215 10.7% −390.58

11-13 runners 1,688 140 8.3% −477.73

5-7 runners 1,151 182 15.8% −142.38

14-16 runners 578 36 6.2% −194.50

17+ runners 176 7 4% −80.00

2-4 runners 67 17 25.4% −17.96

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Airshow (GB) 82 13 42 13 Dec 24

Crystal Casque (GB) 74 13 32 2 Oct 24

Four Adaay (GB) 73 8 28 28 Sep 25

Master Grey (IRE) 70 7 19 7 Aug 24

Handytalk (IRE) 69 6 25 14 Dec 22

Sir Roderic (IRE) 69 8 23 9 Sep 21

Bama Lama (GB) 68 7 22 8 Oct 26

Sir Plato (IRE)then Bernard Llewellyn 68 12 23 17 Sep 22

Masai Moon (GB) 68 6 19 11 Aug 14

Biotic (GB) 66 8 19 18 Nov 20

Amazonian Dream (IRE) 63 9 25 5 Oct 26

Icebuster (GB) 61 4 22 5 May 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 430 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 24 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Appleby (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1214111191213119798

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Millman

17% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

James Millman 972 88 9.1% −307.48

Oisin Murphy 332 63 19% +40.69

Ross Coakley 311 34 10.9% −100.30

Oliver Searle 272 29 10.7% −75.81

Mr Patrick Millman 254 29 11.4% −35.51

Lewis Edmunds 253 37 14.6% −10.85

Andrea Atzeni 141 19 13.5% +19.00

David Probert 139 14 10.1% −29.75

Frederik Tylicki 112 12 10.7% −54.12

George Wood 112 11 9.8% −24.62

William Carson 96 6 6.3% −72.62

Alan Munro 93 10 10.8% −33.64

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

708

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.57m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 45 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Anthelia (IRE) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · Jul 2025 · Class 2

£134,092

Sergeant Cecil (GB) — Totesport Ebor (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2005 · Class 2

£130,000

Bettys Hope (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Newbury · Jul 2019 · Class 2

£122,925

Notable horses

Airshow (GB) Crystal Casque (GB) Sir Plato (IRE) Singing The Blues (IRE) Mustajed (GB) Amazonian Dream (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Adaay (IRE) 13% · 32–246

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,965 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Sir Prancealot (IRE) 16.2% · 32–198

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,687 runs since 2016 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 13.4% · 21–157

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,636 runs since 2013 (842 horses).

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 15.8% · 24–152

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,240 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Showcasing (GB) 11.8% · 17–144

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,633 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Makbul (GB) 7.3% · 9–124

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,039 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.8% from 117. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 120.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,810 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,810 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Midgham Man (GB)J: George Wood Hurworth Blooodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Lyra Lea (GB)J: George Wood Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Fillipas (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 22/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Maid In Devon (GB)J: George Wood Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 9/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Just An Hour (IRE)J: George Wood Racing TV Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Demetris Mouflon (GB)J: Jason Watson Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 22/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Savvi Row (GB)J: George Wood Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) I'm Workin On It (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 9th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Bold Impact (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Hamish's Birthday Countdown Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 11/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rosemary's Rose (IRE)J: Jack Dace bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Bath Safari Dream (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Big Stage Hire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 9/2

15 Oct 26 Brighton Be An Angel (GB)J: George Wood Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 11/2

15 Oct 26 Brighton Reece's Call (IRE)J: Jack Doughty bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 8th 3/1J

13 Oct 26 Leicester Cypriot Diaspora (GB)J: Ryan Kavanagh Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) I'm Workin On It (GB)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Savvi Row (GB)J: Kieren Fox Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 5th 200/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Midgham Man (GB)J: George Wood Dubai Racing Club Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/4

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Arvana Belle (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 6th 11/2

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Lola De Valence (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 1st 40/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Courage Best (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rod Millman's strike rate?: Rod Millman has won 597 of 5,661 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rod Millman do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 40 wins from 250 runners (16%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Rod Millman?: James Millman, with 972 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (9.1%).
Is Rod Millman in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Rod Millman's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 5,622 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.