What is Roger Charlton's strike rate?

Roger Charlton has won 686 of 3,993 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Roger Charlton do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 33 wins from 127 runners (26%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Roger Charlton?

Steve Drowne, with 583 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (16.3%).

What is Roger Charlton's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 3,971 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Roger Charlton

3,993 runners in the lifetime window · 665 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2022 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

686–3,993

Wins / Runs

17.2%

Strike rate

n=3,993

1,495 (37%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=3,971 · 0.94 incl. margin

−440.90

£1 level stake

n=3,993 at SP · −11.0%

£14.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 210 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 20% (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,993 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 39.3% when favourite Steve Drowne: 16.3% from 583 Headgear returns: 20% Sends off the favourite in 20% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (30.2%, n=53) and Bath (26%, n=127) — all clear of the yard's 17.2% baseline. It is weakest at York (7.8% over 77 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 10.3% (n=583, Fair A/E 1.11). Steve Drowne rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.3%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (35.9%, n=78) and off a 0-7-day break (35.3%, n=51). 91 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2017, £712,500). The stable star of the record: Al Kazeem (GB) — 10 wins from 23 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.7%−1.5

n=738 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −48.40

New recruits · first run for the yard

13%−4.2

n=46 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +3.70

Debutants · first career start

10.3%−6.9

n=583 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −51.18

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.4%−2.8

n=250 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −27.93

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+2.8

n=40 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −2.39

When favourite

39.3%

n=815 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −18.43

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.5%−0.7

n=454 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −89.56

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

18.4%+1.2

n=434 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −55.74

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 35.9% vs 17.2% · n=78

Off a 0-7-day break 35.3% vs 17.2% · n=51

At Lingfield 30.2% vs 17.2% · n=53

With debutants 10.3% vs 17.2% · n=583

At Bath 26% vs 17.2% · n=127

At York 7.8% vs 17.2% · n=77

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 94.8% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,986 683 17.1% −442.15

NH Flat 4 3 75% +4.25

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,157 182 15.7% −210.63

Good to Firm 992 183 18.4% −88.07

Good 872 148 17% −40.58

Good to Soft 452 72 15.9% −59.61

Soft 376 61 16.2% −56.79

Firm 78 28 35.9% +14.36

Heavy 66 12 18.2% +0.42

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 560 87 15.5% −39.52

Newbury 421 64 15.2% +80.83

Windsor 243 40 16.5% −41.86

Lingfield 241 38 15.8% −66.09

Wolverhampton (AW) 216 35 16.2% −70.60

Salisbury 190 30 15.8% −47.92

Newmarket 176 30 17% +18.05

Sandown 176 29 16.5% −25.99

Goodwood 173 25 14.5% −7.87

Ascot 169 27 16% −15.57

Newmarket 159 19 11.9% −71.72

Haydock 129 25 19.4% −26.75

Bath 127 33 26% +11.53

Nottingham 123 20 16.3% −41.16

Chelmsford (AW) 105 13 12.4% −38.32

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,432 249 17.4% −288.54

Class 4 1,034 179 17.3% −2.62

Class 2 473 68 14.4% −34.31

Class 1 434 80 18.4% −55.74

Class 3 349 53 15.2% −45.61

Class 6 271 57 21% −14.08

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 909 345 38% 1.15 −16.10

2nd–3rd fav 1,206 210 17.4% 1.02 −181.60

4th–6th fav 1,172 105 9% 1.13 −79.20

7th+ in betting 706 26 3.7% 0.99 −164.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Blakeney Point (GB)then Donald McCain 31 7 11 20 Sep 19

Definightly (GB) 31 7 15 5 Oct 13

Genki (IRE) 31 4 11 6 Oct 12

Captain Cat (IRE)then Tony Carroll 30 6 14 25 Jun 16

True Destiny (GB)then J P Murtagh 29 6 15 6 Jun 21

Quest For More (IRE) 27 8 17 22 Jun 17

Proponent (IRE) 26 2 9 5 May 12

Zero Money (IRE)then Hugo Palmer 25 5 12 8 Sep 12

Makzeem (GB)then Hiroo Shimizu 24 4 10 20 Nov 19

Al Kazeem (GB) 23 10 17 24 May 15

Projection (GB) 22 3 9 20 Jul 19

Extra Elusive (GB) 21 5 9 23 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 665 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Roger Varian (2); 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Harry & Roger Charlton (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

151713111720201716181812

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSteve Drowne

15% of all rides
16.3% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Steve Drowne 583 95 16.3% −53.93

James Doyle 511 100 19.6% −27.33

Jason Watson 377 63 16.7% −9.19

Kieran Shoemark 372 59 15.9% −64.35

George Baker 297 60 20.2% −65.97

Adam McNamara 138 20 14.5% −14.90

William Twiston-Davies 121 16 13.2% +7.35

Thomas Greatrex 109 18 16.5% −41.09

Richard Kingscote 102 15 14.7% −14.08

Ryan Moore 88 20 22.7% −12.89

Trevor Whelan 80 16 20% +40.88

Andrea Atzeni 60 15 25% +21.65

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

813

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.3m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 67 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Decorated Knight (GB) — Qipco Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2017 · Group 1

£712,500

Quadrilateral (GB) — Bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1) Newmarket · Oct 2019 · Group 1

£321,829

Al Kazeem (GB) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2013 · Group 1

£283,550

Notable horses

Al Kazeem (GB) Genki (IRE) Quest For More (IRE) Thistle Bird (GB) Mince (GB) Blakeney Point (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dansili (GB) 18.5% · 35–189

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Oasis Dream (GB) 17.3% · 24–139

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Dubawi (IRE) 27.1% · 29–107

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,993 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Selkirk (USA) 24.8% · 26–105

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

Frankel (GB) 24.5% · 24–98

Progeny have won 18% of 7,544 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 18.2% · 16–88

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,644 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 329.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,801 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,801 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 16 January 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Jan 22 Southwell (AW) Becoming (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Coral Proud To Support British Racing HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 8th 50/1

12 Jan 22 Lingfield (AW) Aphelios (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Betway Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 20/1

09 Jan 22 Southwell (AW) King Of War (GB)J: Harry Burns Coral Proud To Support British Racing HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 4/1J

08 Jan 22 Kempton (AW) Imperium (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Unibet New Instant Roulette HandicapClass 2 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran 3rd 5/4F

05 Jan 22 Kempton (AW) Shorts On (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

05 Jan 22 Kempton (AW) Small Print (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 1st 17/2

27 Dec 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Umm Hurair (IRE)J: Harry Burns Watch Racing Free Online At Coral EBF Fillies' HandicapClass 2 · 8.5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 8/15F

20 Dec 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Umm Hurair (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Mansionbet Proud Partners Of Awc HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 6/4F

16 Dec 21 Deauville (FR) Sleeping Lion (USA)J: Kieran Shoemark Prix Arcangues () (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 41/5

15 Dec 21 Kempton (AW) Ave Maria (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 100/1

15 Dec 21 Lingfield (AW) Small Print (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Watch Racing Free Online At Coral/ EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 16/1

08 Dec 21 Kempton (AW) Sweet Summer (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 9th 66/1

07 Dec 21 Southwell (AW) Becoming (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 22/1

04 Dec 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Umm Hurair (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Mansionbet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/1

01 Dec 21 Kempton (AW) Imperium (IRE)J: James Doyle Unibet HandicapClass 3 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 1st 2/1J

30 Nov 21 Lingfield (AW) Albion Princess (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Watch Racing Free Online At Coral / EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 14/1

29 Nov 21 Kempton (AW) Victory Roll (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Unibet New Instant Roulette HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 12/1

29 Nov 21 Kempton (AW) Rumi (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Unibet Casino Deposit 10 Get 40 Bonus HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 6th 3/1

25 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) King Of War (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/1

24 Nov 21 Kempton (AW) Small Print (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Unibet/ British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 7th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Charlton's strike rate?: Roger Charlton has won 686 of 3,993 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Charlton do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 33 wins from 127 runners (26%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Roger Charlton?: Steve Drowne, with 583 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (16.3%).
What is Roger Charlton's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 3,971 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.