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Trainer profile

Stephen Hanlon

177 runners in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
17–177
Wins / Runs
9.6%
Strike rate
n=177
46 (26%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=177 · 0.87 incl. margin
+13.00
£1 level stake
n=177 at SP · +7.3%
£142k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 177 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 5.2% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.58). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (16.7%, n=36) and on Good going (12.8%, n=39). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.6% over 62 runners, 8pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.4%−4.2
n=37 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.8%−2.8
n=44 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −16.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+0.4
n=10 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
15.4%
n=13 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −4.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.2%−4.4
n=77 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −53.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 1.6% vs 9.6% · n=62
Off a 31-60-day break 16.7% vs 9.6% · n=36
With C&D winners 15.8% vs 9.6% · n=38
With claiming riders up 5.2% vs 9.6% · n=77
On Good going 12.8% vs 9.6% · n=39
With new recruits 6.8% vs 9.6% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 152 14 9.2% +9.50
Hurdle 23 3 13% +5.50
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 110 10 9.1% +4.00
Good 39 5 12.8% +2.00
Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Soft 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 48 5 10.4% −19.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 34 4 11.8% +47.00
Southwell (AW) 24 1 4.2% −19.50
Redcar 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Musselburgh 8 1 12.5% +7.00
York 5 0 0% −5.00
Ayr 4 1 25% +5.00
Doncaster 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Thirsk 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 105 11 10.5% +16.50
Class 5 28 4 14.3% +5.50
Class 4 25 2 8% +10.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 2 14.3% 0.59 −5.50
2nd–3rd fav 40 6 15% 0.96 −12.50
4th–6th fav 60 6 10% 1.17 +2.00
7th+ in betting 63 3 4.8% 1.74 +29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rubellite (IRE)from Fionn McSharry 10 3 5 22 Oct 26
Harry The Rogue (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 9 0 1 27 Oct 26
Fortunate Star (IRE)from Declan Carroll 8 2 5 22 Apr 26
Diggin Deep (IRE)from R Donohoe · then P G Fahey 8 3 5 2 Feb 20
Bridgefoot Rambler (GB)from Ann Duffield 7 0 1 15 Oct 26
Esque Elegance (IRE)from Ann Duffield 7 1 4 29 Apr 26
Our Manekineko (GB)from J A Nash 7 1 1 24 Jun 19
Evening Blues (IRE)from G M Lyons 6 0 1 13 Sep 26
Front Gunner (IRE)from Ann Duffield · then Ivan Furtado 6 0 1 2 May 26
Vocal Heir (IRE)from Brendan W Duke · then Olly Murphy 6 0 0 20 Oct 18
Velvet Skies (IRE)from Michael Mulvany · then W H Harrison 5 0 0 15 May 26
Runninman (IRE)from Ann Duffield · then Donald Whillans 5 0 0 19 Mar 26
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 44 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ann Duffield (11) and B P Galvin (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Tim Fitzgerald (4) and Noel Wilson (3); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
179742590014103317
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderConor Whiteley
23% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Conor Whiteley 41 5 12.2% −14.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
17
Archived wins
£142k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 11 wins
Brandenburg (GB) — EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Beverley · May 2026 · Class 4
£5,927
Diggin Deep (IRE) — Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Hurdle Ayr · May 2019 · Class 4
£5,003
Esque Elegance (IRE) — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2026 · Class 6
£4,711
Notable horses
Rubellite (IRE) Diggin Deep (IRE) Fortunate Star (IRE) Esque Elegance (IRE) Our Manekineko (GB) Azucena (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Iffraaj (GB) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,980 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).
The Gurkha (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,029 runs since 2020 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.
Royal Anthem (USA) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,350 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.9% from 529.
Unfortunately (IRE) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.4% of 662 runs since 2022 (46 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.6% from 236.
Far Above (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.7% of 647 runs since 2024 (71 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.9% from 104.
Kyllachy (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 177 · newest first

The latest 50 of 177 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 July 2018 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sutton Hoo (IRE)J: Conor Whiteley Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Navertity (IRE)J: Conor Whiteley Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 33/1
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Harry The Rogue (IRE)J: Jude Maher All Weather Championship Is Back "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 15/2
26 Oct 26 Redcar Delagate This Lord (GB)J: Cam Hardie Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 66/1
26 Oct 26 Redcar Take The A Train (GB)J: Barry McHugh Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 28/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) If I Could Dream (GB)J: Cieren Fallon All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rubellite (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 17/2
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Hey Havana (IRE)J: Jack Callan Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 5/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Cavan Lady (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 13/2
16 Oct 26 Redcar Pushing The Limits (GB)J: David Probert Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 5th 3/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nefyn Queen (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bridgefoot Rambler (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 50/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Harry The Rogue (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 28/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rubellite (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 12/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Hi Lord (GB)J: Ray Dawson Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 4/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hi Lord (GB)J: Billy Garritty Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 7/2F
01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) If I Could Dream (GB)J: Conor Whiteley Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1
28 Sep 26 Hamilton Great Profit (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 8/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Pushing The Limits (GB)J: Conor Whiteley United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 11/2
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Sutton Hoo (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Stephen Hanlon's strike rate?
Stephen Hanlon has won 17 of 177 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephen Hanlon do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Stephen Hanlon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stephen Hanlon's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).