What is Thomas Gibney's strike rate?

Thomas Gibney has won 136 of 1,933 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Thomas Gibney do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 12 wins from 70 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Thomas Gibney?

Darragh O'Keeffe, with 418 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8.6%).

Is Thomas Gibney in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Thomas Gibney's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,932 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Thomas Gibney

1,933 runners in the lifetime window · 173 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

136–1,933

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,933

426 (22%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,932 · 0.82 incl. margin

−399.92

£1 level stake

n=1,933 at SP · −20.7%

£2.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,933 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 34.1% when favourite Darragh O'Keeffe: 8.6% from 418 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (17.1%, n=70), clear of the yard's 7% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.5% (n=200, Fair A/E 0.65). Darragh O'Keeffe rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 0.92). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (16%, n=75). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2024, £270,000). The stable star of the record: To Choose (IRE) — 7 wins from 47 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.8%−1.2

n=378 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +18.58

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.8%−0.2

n=59 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +17.50

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−3.4

n=112 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −20.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−2.7

n=70 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −19.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.4%−1.6

n=56 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +26.00

When favourite

34.1%

n=88 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +8.26

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.2%−0.8

n=737 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −80.72

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.5%−3.5

n=200 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −45.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ballinrobe 17.1% vs 7% · n=70

With C&D winners 15.8% vs 7% · n=114

Off a 0-7-day break 16% vs 7% · n=75

With Mark Flanagan 17.1% vs 7% · n=35

With Robert Whearty 16.7% vs 7% · n=30

With Gary Carroll 14.7% vs 7% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 908 55 6.1% −421.84

Flat 477 36 7.5% −56.16

Chase 457 40 8.8% +94.42

NH Flat 91 5 5.5% −16.34

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 667 37 5.5% −254.17

Good 501 49 9.8% +66.71

Heavy 341 31 9.1% −58.79

Good to Soft 251 10 4% −76.50

Standard (AW) 96 7 7.3% −29.17

Good to Firm 76 2 2.6% −47.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 261 19 7.3% −83.20

Punchestown 216 11 5.1% −32.25

Navan 200 10 5% −46.92

Galway 94 9 9.6% −14.00

Dundalk (AW) 94 7 7.4% −27.17

Leopardstown 89 1 1.1% −83.00

Naas 85 2 2.4% −75.67

Ballinrobe 70 12 17.1% +29.83

Cork 67 6 9% −49.92

Down Royal 64 5 7.8% −3.50

Gowran Park 62 4 6.5% +8.00

Killarney 61 2 3.3% −42.50

Downpatrick 61 6 9.8% +9.17

Curragh 59 5 8.5% +47.00

Wexford 56 6 10.7% −19.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 208 7 3.4% −53.00

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 108 34 31.5% 1.39 +7.51

2nd–3rd fav 313 40 12.8% 0.90 −98.43

4th–6th fav 488 31 6.4% 0.90 −163.00

7th+ in betting 1,024 31 3% 1.06 −146.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 615 37 6% −102.64

1m5f – 2m 465 29 6.2% −140.84

2m5f – 3m 367 32 8.7% −50.00

1m – 1m1f 153 11 7.2% −43.40

1m2f – 1m4f 130 15 11.5% +27.91

6f – 7f 108 5 4.6% −70.50

Over 3m 84 7 8.3% −9.45

Under 6f 11 0 0% −11.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 32 0 0% −32.00

2009 14 0 0% −14.00

2010 32 0 0% −32.00

2011 21 3 14.3% +45.00

2012 15 3 20% +75.00

2013 54 2 3.7% −33.50

2014 58 3 5.2% −7.00

2015 57 6 10.5% −9.42

2016 82 10 12.2% +39.37

2017 83 5 6% −26.50

2018 121 7 5.8% −27.75

2019 115 6 5.2% −7.25

2020 130 12 9.2% +59.12

2021 207 24 11.6% −2.84

2022 259 15 5.8% −116.04

2023 206 21 10.2% −3.03

2024 203 11 5.4% −105.58

2025 143 3 2.1% −130.00

2026 101 5 5% −71.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,128 82 7.3% −209.54

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 603 40 6.6% −141.60

17+ runners 482 21 4.4% −177.42

11-13 runners 402 29 7.2% −42.75

8-10 runners 296 26 8.8% −39.86

5-7 runners 138 17 12.3% +3.92

2-4 runners 12 3 25% −2.21

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.3% completed · 1,365 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 457 74% 27 17 71 2 2

Hurdle 908 86.5% 23 14 83 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Imposing Supreme (IRE) 64 6 20 1 Oct 25

Ah Littleluck (IRE) 55 6 12 19 Mar 22

To Choose (IRE) 47 7 16 27 May 17

Agent Boru (IRE) 44 3 10 18 Apr 22

Stoughan Cross (IRE)from Ross O'Sullivan 41 5 8 16 May 21

Lion Na Bearnai (IRE) 40 4 12 6 Apr 15

Mr Saxobeat (IRE) 36 2 11 8 Sep 25

Elegant Lass (IRE) 36 4 8 16 Nov 22

Must Be Obeyed (IRE) 35 4 10 3 Aug 25

Bold Emperor (IRE)from John C McConnell 34 2 10 23 Aug 23

Listentillitellyea (IRE)from Patrick Magee 33 1 11 12 Jul 26

Rare Conor (IRE) 33 0 11 29 Aug 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 173 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John C McConnell (3) and Nigel Carolan (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Gavin Cromwell (2) and Miss Natalia Lupini (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

69571011777617

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDarragh O'Keeffe

22% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Darragh O'Keeffe 418 36 8.6% −116.96

Jonathan Moore 104 10 9.6% +57.00

Gavin Ryan 75 8 10.7% −5.40

James O'Sullivan 59 4 6.8% −26.00

Mr N McParlan 55 6 10.9% +108.33

Kieren Buckley 52 1 1.9% −49.75

A P Heskin 51 5 9.8% +10.25

James Smith 50 1 2% −46.00

A E Lynch 47 4 8.5% +8.75

Chris Hayes 36 1 2.8% −33.00

Mark Flanagan 35 6 17.1% −4.13

Gary Carroll 34 5 14.7% −0.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

136

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.69m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 24 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Intense Raffles (FR) — BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Fairyhouse · Apr 2024 · Grade 3

£270,000

Lion Na Bearnai (IRE) — Ladbrokes Irish Grand National Chase (Grade A Handicap) Fairyhouse · Apr 2012 · Grade A

£141,000

Orpheus Valley (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2014 · Grade A

£60,000

Notable horses

To Choose (IRE) Imposing Supreme (IRE) Ah Littleluck (IRE) Stoughan Cross (IRE) Regina Dracones (IRE) Lion Na Bearnai (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kalanisi (IRE) 8.6% · 9–105

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,749 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Court Cave (IRE) 8.5% · 8–94

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,949 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Alhebayeb (IRE) 9.4% · 6–64

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,637 runs since 2018 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.

Mahler (GB) 9.8% · 6–61

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,869 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Kodiac (GB) 1.9% · 1–52

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,589 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Choisir (AUS) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,945 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,945 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 May 2007 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Ryefield Dasher (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 10th 12/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Elusive In Mayo (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Bay City Boy (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle18f · Soft · 8 ran UR 22/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Leave In Secret (IRE)J: James Smith Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 6th 10/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Booyea (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 12/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Leo Messy (IRE)J: James Smith William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 10th 4/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Bossy Bird (IRE)J: James Smith William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 9/2

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Ryefield Dasher (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Roscommon Rated Race10.5f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 3/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Minella Post (GB)J: James Smith Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Beginners Steeplechase16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 14/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Papagei (GB)J: James Smith Denis Macauley Memorial Novice Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Leave In Secret (IRE)J: James Smith Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 6th 100/30

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Elusive In Mayo (IRE)J: Nicola Burns BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 33/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Sammy Smart (GB)J: Miss P Elvin Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 9th 16/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ryefield Dasher (IRE)J: Nicola Burns SIS Maiden9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 1st 3/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Papagei (GB)J: James Smith Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div II)19f · Good · 16 ran 4th 7/2

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Leo Messy (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 15 ran 4th 11/2

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Booyea (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 5th 9/2

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Minella Post (GB)J: James Smith BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 6th 13/2

12 Sep 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Booyea (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 15th 20/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Bossy Bird (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Thomas Gibney's strike rate?: Thomas Gibney has won 136 of 1,933 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Gibney do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 12 wins from 70 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Thomas Gibney?: Darragh O'Keeffe, with 418 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8.6%).
Is Thomas Gibney in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thomas Gibney's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,932 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.