What is Tim Walford's strike rate?

Tim Walford has won 111 of 1,084 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tim Walford do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 9 wins from 52 runners (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tim Walford?

Robert Walford, with 263 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (12.5%).

What is Tim Walford's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 1,078 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tim Walford

1,084 runners in the lifetime window · 131 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2014

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

111–1,084

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=1,084

302 (28%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=1,078 · 0.95 incl. margin

−166.71

£1 level stake

n=1,084 at SP · −15.4%

£558k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 150 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 27% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,084 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Sep Fresh horses: 12.1% 24.7% when favourite Robert Walford: 12.5% from 263 New recruits: 15.2% Headgear returns: 26.5% Sent off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

It is weakest at Haydock (2.1% over 48 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 26.5% (n=34, Fair A/E 2.36), but debutants struggle at 1.2% (n=86, Fair A/E 0.30). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 12.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +31.75 to a £1 stake over 174 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Robert Walford rode 24% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.5% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.30) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (21.6%, n=37). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 3.3% over 61 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totepool Handicap Chase at Uttoxeter (May 2008, £19,515). The stable star of the record was Zefooha (FR) — 9 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.1%+1.9

n=174 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +31.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.2%+5.0

n=33 · A/E 1.63 · £1 −9.75

Debutants · first career start

1.2%−9.0

n=86 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −19.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%−1.9

n=48 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −25.77

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

26.5%+16.3

n=34 · A/E 2.36 · £1 +56.75

When favourite

24.7%

n=93 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −14.29

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%−1.2

n=178 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −51.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.3%+4.1

n=7 · A/E 1.95 · £1 +1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With headgear back on 26.5% vs 10.2% · n=34

Off a 0-7-day break 21.6% vs 10.2% · n=37

With debutants 1.2% vs 10.2% · n=86

On last-time-out winners 17.1% vs 10.2% · n=111

At Haydock 2.1% vs 10.2% · n=48

In NH Flat races 3.3% vs 10.2% · n=61

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 11.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 568 61 10.7% −101.54

Hurdle 344 31 9% −60.62

Chase 111 17 15.3% −27.55

NH Flat 61 2 3.3% +23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 343 35 10.2% −57.32

Good to Firm 235 27 11.5% −52.00

Soft 196 16 8.2% −15.12

Good to Soft 191 19 9.9% −24.50

Heavy 59 8 13.6% +3.48

Standard (AW) 49 4 8.2% −22.50

Firm 11 2 18.2% +1.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle 100 5 5% −30.00

Catterick 89 10 11.2% −26.67

Sedgefield 70 11 15.7% −12.13

Doncaster 65 7 10.8% −15.50

Redcar 62 10 16.1% +14.00

Wetherby 57 5 8.8% +23.00

Beverley 55 5 9.1% −32.62

Pontefract 52 9 17.3% +23.00

Uttoxeter 49 4 8.2% −18.25

Haydock 48 1 2.1% −39.50

Market Rasen 46 7 15.2% +57.10

Thirsk 46 3 6.5% −25.25

Hexham 40 5 12.5% −12.62

Carlisle 31 4 12.9% −5.00

Musselburgh 30 2 6.7% −20.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 381 37 9.7% −130.92

Class 5 380 36 9.5% −61.25

Class 6 230 30 13% +70.96

Class 3 69 6 8.7% −35.50

Class 2 14 1 7.1% −8.00

Class 1 10 1 10% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 32 25.2% 1.10 −3.21

2nd–3rd fav 227 35 15.4% 1.04 −26.50

4th–6th fav 325 33 10.2% 1.32 −6.00

7th+ in betting 405 11 2.7% 0.90 −131.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Zefooha (FR)from Mick Channon 49 9 17 21 Feb 13

Kodicil (IRE)then Mark Walford 31 4 13 23 Jan 14

Turn Me On (IRE)from Michael Bell 30 5 13 2 Nov 10

Short Supply (USA) 29 3 10 24 Jun 12

Sheriff Hutton (IRE)then Oliver Greenall 29 6 11 13 May 11

Blue Top (GB)then Mark Walford 25 2 10 8 Nov 13

Talent Scout (IRE)then Karen Tutty 25 5 7 20 Oct 12

Gulf Coast (GB)from Mark Johnston 24 3 6 27 Aug 12

Fentara (GB)then Mark Walford 22 4 10 15 Jan 14

French Seventyfive (GB)then Gillian Boanas 22 1 2 2 Oct 12

Ubi Ace (GB)then Jonjo O'Neill 21 6 12 11 Feb 12

Chadford (GB)then Claire Dyson 20 2 6 7 Apr 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mick Channon (4) and Mark Johnston (3); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

33 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Walford (12); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1076101110141812599

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Walford

24% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.30

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Walford 263 33 12.5% −19.90

Graham Gibbons 213 27 12.7% −42.62

Duran Fentiman 122 7 5.7% −68.50

Peter Buchanan 57 5 8.8% −17.00

Brian Toomey 47 2 4.3% −26.00

Dougie Costello 42 3 7.1% +34.62

Daniel Tudhope 31 2 6.5% +9.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

135

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£700k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Gypsy George (GB) — totepool Handicap Chase (For The Tom Wragg Trophy) Uttoxeter · May 2008 · Class 2

£19,515

Ubi Ace (GB) — Bavaria Imported Premium Lager Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Sandown · Dec 2011 · Listed

£14,238

The Grey Berry (GB) — Knight Frank Handicap Ayr · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£12,954

Notable horses

Zefooha (FR) Miss Pross (GB) Turn Me On (IRE) Sheriff Hutton (IRE) Ubi Ace (GB) Talent Scout (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pursuit of Love (GB) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 6.7% of 929 runs since 2008 (74 horses).

Lomitas (GB) 17% · 9–53

Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,870 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.6% from 122. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 319. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.7% from 120.

Tagula (IRE) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,561 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.

Tobougg (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35

Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Bob's Return (IRE) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,281 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,281 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 31 January 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Jan 14 Catterick Big Sound (GB)J: Grant Cockburn Watt Fences Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 2/1F

24 Jan 14 Doncaster Fly By Knight (GB)J: Peter Buchanan Sky Vegas App Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 12th 150/1

23 Jan 14 Fakenham Kodicil (IRE)J: Tony Kelly Horningtoft Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 11/10F

21 Jan 14 Wetherby Big Sound (GB)J: Grant Cockburn Wetherbyracing.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 9/1

16 Jan 14 Market Rasen Kodicil (IRE)J: Tony Kelly Calverts Carpets And Flooring Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 12/1

15 Jan 14 Newcastle Lilly's Legend (GB)J: Dougie Costello swarlandfence.co.uk Mares' Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

15 Jan 14 Newcastle Fentara (GB)J: Peter Buchanan Carraway Finance Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 2nd 5/1

15 Jan 14 Newcastle Northern Oscar (IRE)J: Peter Buchanan Kethose Nagi, Miss Galaxy NE Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 7/1

11 Jan 14 Wetherby Shimla Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Buchanan Wetherbyracing.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

10 Jan 14 Sedgefield Big Sound (GB)J: Peter Buchanan Horse Racing Free Bets At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 27f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 11/1

09 Jan 14 Catterick Guns At Midnight (GB)J: Jake Greenall Tunstall Standard NH Flat Race (Conditionals And Amateurs)Class 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 12/1

03 Jan 14 Southwell (AW) Everlasting Light (GB)J: Paddy Aspell Coral Mobile Just Three Clicks To Bet HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 10/1

03 Jan 14 Musselburgh Highlander Ted (GB)J: Peter Buchanan Mackie Motors Brechin Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 8/1

03 Jan 14 Musselburgh King Of Strings (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Lauderdale Pony Club Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/4F

01 Jan 14 Catterick Kodicil (IRE)J: Dougie Costello 60/53 New Year Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 9/1

29 Dec 13 Doncaster Multilicious (GB)J: Jake Greenall Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (Sunday 5k Bonus Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 50/1

26 Dec 13 Market Rasen Northern Oscar (IRE)J: Tom Siddall 32Red Handicap Hurdle (Jockey Club Grassroots Jumps Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

26 Dec 13 Sedgefield Ruby Bay (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Compare Bookies Free Bets At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/4F

21 Dec 13 Newcastle Lilly's Legend (GB)J: Dougie Costello Pin Point Recruitment 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 14.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 11/4F

20 Dec 13 Uttoxeter Dancing Lancer (GB)J: Jake Greenall Dove Valley Marquees Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Walford's strike rate?: Tim Walford has won 111 of 1,084 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Walford do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 9 wins from 52 runners (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Walford?: Robert Walford, with 263 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (12.5%).
What is Tim Walford's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 1,078 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.