What is Amy Murphy's strike rate?

Amy Murphy has won 298 of 2,988 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Amy Murphy do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 20 wins from 138 runners (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Amy Murphy?

Jack Quinlan, with 507 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 65 (12.8%).

Is Amy Murphy in form?

In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 10% since 2008.

What is Amy Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,974 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Amy Murphy

2,988 runners in the lifetime window · 440 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.1% of 268 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

Runners today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

298–2,988

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=2,988

794 (27%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,974 · 0.88 incl. margin

−643.38

£1 level stake

n=2,987 at SP · −21.5%

£4.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,988 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 34.3% when favourite Jack Quinlan: 12.8% from 507 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (18.6%, n=43), clear of the yard's 10% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6.3% (n=272, Fair A/E 0.93). Jack Quinlan rides 17% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.8% vs 10%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (17.6%, n=153) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (16.7%, n=245). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Chaudenay at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2026, £104,310). The stable star of the record: Mercian Prince (IRE) — 13 wins from 52 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.9%−0.1

n=425 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −69.66

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−2.3

n=143 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −51.92

Debutants · first career start

6.6%−3.4

n=301 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −119.95

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−3.7

n=272 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −96.55

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.4%+0.4

n=125 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +55.50

When favourite

34.3%

n=198 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −15.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.4%−1.6

n=682 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −190.91

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.9%−0.1

n=171 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −44.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 10% · n=270

In Chase races 17.6% vs 10% · n=153

With M Barzalona 20% vs 10% · n=45

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 16.7% vs 10% · n=245

With Kieran Shoemark 19.5% vs 10% · n=41

At Worcester 18.6% vs 10% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,362 224 9.5% −564.41

Hurdle 399 41 10.3% −99.41

Chase 153 27 17.6% +4.86

NH Flat 74 6 8.1% +15.58

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,101 98 8.9% −155.43

Good 600 69 11.5% −172.33

Good to Soft 395 39 9.9% −92.06

Good to Firm 384 35 9.1% −191.32

Soft 381 39 10.2% −71.00

Heavy 115 18 15.7% +50.76

Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford City (AW) 237 25 10.5% +20.75

Lingfield (AW) 221 29 13.1% −15.39

Kempton (AW) 207 16 7.7% +14.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 182 9 4.9% −128.50

Yarmouth 138 20 14.5% +15.89

Southwell (AW) 114 8 7% −55.09

Deauville 103 11 10.7% −61.30

Chantilly 101 12 11.9% +25.65

Saint-Cloud (FR) 76 8 10.5% −32.00

Doncaster 64 6 9.4% −43.26

Brighton 63 9 14.3% −19.11

Lingfield 61 3 4.9% −51.56

Leicester 58 4 6.9% −8.00

Huntingdon 58 4 6.9% −3.25

Windsor 57 4 7% −27.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 872 75 8.6% −201.64

Class 4 699 58 8.3% −261.27

Class 6 603 65 10.8% −90.90

Class 3 195 29 14.9% −50.51

Class 1 180 18 10% −49.40

Class 2 108 11 10.2% +3.12

Class 7 5 1 20% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 237 76 32.1% 1.07 −17.96

2nd–3rd fav 632 111 17.6% 1.07 −59.82

4th–6th fav 1,026 73 7.1% 0.93 −289.80

7th+ in betting 1,092 38 3.5% 1.10 −275.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Thegreatestshowman (GB) 72 6 21 20 Aug 23

Mercian Prince (IRE)from E & G Leenders 52 13 22 22 Oct 23

Blessed To Empress (IRE) 41 6 13 16 Dec 20

Lazarus (IRE) 39 2 8 8 Dec 19

Thaqaffa (IRE)from Marcus Tregoning 37 4 13 10 Aug 20

Tarbaan (IRE) 32 4 8 26 Nov 24

Hawthorn Cottage (IRE) 32 7 12 20 Apr 23

Angel's Whisper (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda 31 5 11 10 Oct 22

Napping (GB)from Olly Murphy 30 5 7 25 Oct 21

Entertaining Ben (GB)from Iain Jardine 30 3 8 2 Apr 19

Really Super (GB)from Ralph Beckett 28 7 13 30 May 21

Sharp Distinction (GB)from Dean Ivory · then Lemos De Souza 27 3 10 30 Jan 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 440 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charlie Longsdon (2) and Dean Ivory (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Lemos De Souza (4); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 18 11.1% · +1.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.1%

Lifetime base10%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11139101210101191089

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Quinlan

17% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Quinlan 507 65 12.8% −11.38

Stefano Cherchi 178 10 5.6% −98.27

E Verhestraeten 137 20 14.6% −19.03

Frederick Larson 117 10 8.5% −25.77

George Wood 112 7 6.3% −18.50

Tony Piccone 111 16 14.4% +10.65

Silvestre De Sousa 103 13 12.6% −35.41

Tom Marquand 83 12 14.5% −12.94

Hollie Doyle 76 6 7.9% −22.67

Adam Farragher 74 7 9.5% −25.50

Gabriele Malune 70 7 10% +7.50

Lewis Edmunds 65 8 12.3% −20.63

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

298

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.32m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 41 wins

Jabracadabra (FR) — Qatar Prix Chaudenay Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Group 2

£104,310

Pride Of America (FR) — John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Jul 2023 · Class 2

£103,080

Kalashnikov (IRE) — Betfair Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Feb 2018 · Grade 3

£88,273

Notable horses

Mercian Prince (IRE) Kalashnikov (IRE) Hawthorn Cottage (IRE) Really Super (GB) Thegreatestshowman (GB) Blessed To Empress (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.7% · 16–150

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Equiano (FR) 7.2% · 9–125

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,540 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 13.6% · 9–66

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,880 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Tamayuz (GB) 10.8% · 7–65

Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,187 runs since 2012 (401 horses).

Camacho (GB) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 18.8% · 12–64

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,196 runs since 2020 (751 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,988 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,988 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 September 2016 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Xiomara (IRE)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Race And CareClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 9/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wonder Baileys (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix La Bamba6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Fizzy (GB)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De Boischampre7f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 4/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Jackson Baileys (FR)J: Enzo Corallo Prix De L'epinay9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 25/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Van Blutch (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Ace ImpactClass 1 · 12f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 5/6F

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Elmo Putney (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Ici Maine (Prix Des Hunaudieres)8f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 4/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Big Victor (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix De RoyeClass 3 · 11f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 15/2

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Monte Linas (IRE)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix D'audrieu9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 18/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sweet Chop (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix D'utah Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Sydney Moon (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix IsonomyClass 1 · 9f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 11/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Jabracadabra (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Royal-oak (group 1)Class 1 · 15.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Belle De Reve (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix D'argentan7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Valiantus (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De Fierville7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 13/2

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Must Be Crackers (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Du Bessin12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) City Solace (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Le Calvados Fete Le Cheval (Prix Ashmore)8f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 4/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Royal Rizzi (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 7/2

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Eternal Blessing (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Kalaniel (GB)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Big Victor (FR)J: Ebbe Verhestraeten Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 11/4

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Fizzy (GB)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Maitres Et Sous-maitres De Manege Du Regiment De Cavalerie6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Amy Murphy's strike rate?: Amy Murphy has won 298 of 2,988 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Amy Murphy do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 20 wins from 138 runners (14.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Amy Murphy?: Jack Quinlan, with 507 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 65 (12.8%).
Is Amy Murphy in form?: In the last 14 days: 18 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 10% since 2008.
What is Amy Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,974 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.