C P Donoghue
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.61). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 6% (34 runs).
The record is strongest at Naas (6.1%, n=33), clear of the yard's 2.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.10). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.27 and −121.00 to a £1 stake over 130 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael Hussey rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.9%, A/E 0.55). The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (6.8%, n=44). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.00 across 62 runners (0% strike, −62.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 680 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 680 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2005 to 29 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is C P Donoghue's strike rate?
- C P Donoghue has won 12 of 474 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does C P Donoghue do best at?
- Naas by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for C P Donoghue?
- Michael Hussey, with 53 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
- What is C P Donoghue's Fair A/E?
- 0.61, from 474 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.