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Trainer profile

C P Donoghue

474 runners in the lifetime window · 66 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 45 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–474
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=474
51 (11%)
Placed
0.61
n=474 · 0.46 incl. margin
−335.63
£1 level stake
n=474 at SP · −70.8%
£129k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.61). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 6% (34 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 474 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Michael Hussey: 1.9% from 53 Headgear returns: 5.9% Claiming riders: 3.3%
The read

The record is strongest at Naas (6.1%, n=33), clear of the yard's 2.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.10). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.27 and −121.00 to a £1 stake over 130 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael Hussey rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.9%, A/E 0.55). The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (6.8%, n=44). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.00 across 62 runners (0% strike, −62.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.8%−1.7
n=130 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −121.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
2.4%−0.1
n=42 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%+2.0
n=22 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.9%+3.4
n=34 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −25.25
When favourite
22.2%
n=9 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −4.13
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%+0.8
n=153 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −117.88

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 6.8% vs 2.5% · n=44
At Naas 6.1% vs 2.5% · n=33
With headgear back on 5.9% vs 2.5% · n=34
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 2.5% · n=62
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.5% · n=59
On Good to Firm going 4.9% vs 2.5% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 270 7 2.6% −187.75
Hurdle 169 5 3% −112.88
NH Flat 30 0 0% −30.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 141 2 1.4% −131.88
Heavy 102 2 2% −84.00
Standard (AW) 73 2 2.7% −36.75
Good 72 1 1.4% −51.00
Good to Soft 44 3 6.8% −13.00
Good to Firm 41 2 4.9% −18.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 72 2 2.8% −35.75
Gowran Park 34 1 2.9% −23.00
Fairyhouse 34 1 2.9% −27.00
Naas 33 2 6.1% −13.50
Navan 29 0 0% −29.00
Punchestown 28 0 0% −28.00
Curragh 27 0 0% −27.00
Cork 27 1 3.7% −18.00
Limerick 22 0 0% −22.00
Thurles 17 0 0% −17.00
Tipperary 17 0 0% −17.00
Sligo 16 2 12.5% +14.00
Down Royal 15 2 13.3% +4.62
Leopardstown 15 1 6.7% −9.00
Roscommon 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.33 −0.13
2nd–3rd fav 31 2 6.5% 0.50 −17.50
4th–6th fav 57 3 5.3% 0.74 −28.00
7th+ in betting 375 4 1.1% 0.43 −290.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gothen Niece (IRE) 43 1 9 21 Jan 15
Truly Genius (IRE) 37 2 7 16 Sep 17
Elusive Leona (IRE) 24 0 1 22 Jul 16
The Two Jays (IRE) 24 2 3 26 May 15
Shinko Princess (IRE) 18 1 9 7 Jun 19
Gemini Man (IRE)from K J Condon · then Iain Jardine 16 0 3 3 Oct 24
Beneficial Banks (IRE) 16 0 1 20 May 15
Galactic Grey (IRE)from K J Condon 14 0 2 9 Apr 26
Second Fiddle (IRE)then Iain Jardine 14 0 0 13 May 25
Brave Glen (IRE) 14 0 0 4 Aug 15
Velvet Rose (IRE)then Thomas Gibney 14 0 3 1 Jun 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 66 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from K J Condon (3) and H Rogers (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Iain Jardine (4); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
005325380020
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMichael Hussey
11% of all rides
1.9% SR · A/E 0.55
RiderRWSR£1
Michael Hussey 53 1 1.9% −44.00
Alan Crowe 50 2 4% −20.00
Rory Cleary 34 1 2.9% +0.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
£241k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Silent Oscar (IRE) — Kildare Traders/Clairefontaine (Pro-Am) INH Flat Punchestown · Apr 2005
£12,438
Silent Oscar (IRE) — Kildare Nationalist Hurdle Punchestown (IRE) · May 2006
£11,402
Silent Oscar (IRE) — Paddy Cullagh Memorial (Pro-Am) INH Flat Race Listowel · Sep 2005
£9,674

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gothen Berg (IRE) 2.3% · 1–43
Progeny have won 2% of 50 runs since 2008 (5 horses).
Iffraaj (GB) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Fulbright (GB) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 6.7% of 629 runs since 2019 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9.8% from 215.
Elusive City (USA) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,432 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Milan (GB) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 680 · newest first

The latest 50 of 680 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2005 to 29 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C P Donoghue's strike rate?
C P Donoghue has won 12 of 474 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C P Donoghue do best at?
Naas by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C P Donoghue?
Michael Hussey, with 53 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
What is C P Donoghue's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 474 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).