What is Chris Grant's strike rate?

Chris Grant has won 226 of 2,949 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Grant do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 10 wins from 80 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Chris Grant?

Brian Hughes, with 256 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (10.2%).

Is Chris Grant in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Chris Grant's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 2,938 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Grant

2,949 runners in the lifetime window · 371 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

226–2,949

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=2,949

670 (23%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=2,938 · 0.79 incl. margin

−1,051.40

£1 level stake

n=2,949 at SP · −35.7%

£1.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 14% (95 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,949 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 34% when favourite Brian Hughes: 10.2% from 256 Claiming riders: 8.3% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 13.7% (n=95, Fair A/E 1.84), but debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=192, Fair A/E 0.59). Brian Hughes rides 9% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.2% vs 7.7%, A/E 0.83). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 92 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.38 across 91 runners (1.1% strike, −76.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle at Haydock (Feb 2018, £23,048). The stable star of the record: Jacks Last Hope (GB) — 11 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−1.8

n=596 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −239.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.2%−0.5

n=167 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −51.25

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−5.1

n=192 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −118.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.7%+6.0

n=95 · A/E 1.84 · £1 +1.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8%+0.3

n=87 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −2.75

When favourite

34%

n=144 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −4.47

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%+0.6

n=995 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −231.98

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.7%−4.0

n=27 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 7.7% · n=92

On last-time-out winners 13.8% vs 7.7% · n=224

On Standard (AW) going 1.1% vs 7.7% · n=91

With Ross Chapman 0% vs 7.7% · n=45

With first-time headgear 13.7% vs 7.7% · n=95

With debutants 2.6% vs 7.7% · n=192

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,539 118 7.7% −423.43

Chase 771 80 10.4% −254.60

Flat 323 13 4% −208.50

NH Flat 316 15 4.7% −164.87

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,076 78 7.2% −415.85

Soft 673 62 9.2% −188.34

Good to Soft 647 45 7% −174.70

Heavy 236 15 6.4% −131.34

Good to Firm 219 24 11% −65.17

Standard (AW) 91 1 1.1% −76.00

Firm 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 455 47 10.3% −34.62

Newcastle 393 36 9.2% −186.04

Kelso 248 26 10.5% +77.02

Wetherby 232 25 10.8% −64.32

Catterick 224 13 5.8% −106.95

Musselburgh 216 11 5.1% −142.75

Hexham 205 14 6.8% −110.76

Carlisle 171 12 7% −78.32

Market Rasen 124 4 3.2% −90.62

Ayr 96 8 8.3% −15.62

Perth 80 10 12.5% +8.83

Cartmel 63 1 1.6% −54.50

Doncaster 56 1 1.8% −50.00

Southwell 48 3 6.3% −27.75

Newcastle (AW) 45 1 2.2% −30.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,242 94 7.6% −560.96

Class 5 963 78 8.1% −290.43

Class 3 311 30 9.6% −20.89

Class 6 307 21 6.8% −97.12

Class 2 94 2 2.1% −58.00

Class 1 32 1 3.1% −24.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 181 57 31.5% 1.11 −3.85

2nd–3rd fav 542 85 15.7% 0.95 −97.05

4th–6th fav 1,038 56 5.4% 0.76 −441.50

7th+ in betting 1,188 28 2.4% 0.80 −509.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,059 74 7% −395.67

1m5f – 2m 821 65 7.9% −320.43

2m5f – 3m 639 64 10% −129.05

Over 3m 191 18 9.4% −16.75

1m2f – 1m4f 92 0 0% −92.00

1m – 1m1f 64 1 1.6% −53.00

6f – 7f 61 3 4.9% −37.50

Under 6f 22 1 4.5% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 184 21 11.4% −15.32

2009 182 15 8.2% −52.92

2010 153 16 10.5% −42.99

2011 240 22 9.2% −80.69

2012 279 25 9% −75.42

2013 204 14 6.9% −54.93

2014 177 14 7.9% −65.41

2015 184 12 6.5% −58.12

2016 174 13 7.5% −68.82

2017 178 9 5.1% −92.50

2018 162 13 8% −65.63

2019 143 7 4.9% −105.25

2020 112 6 5.4% −23.00

2021 110 8 7.3% −25.62

2022 82 2 2.4% −71.50

2023 98 6 6.1% −52.88

2024 124 14 11.3% −46.75

2025 102 4 3.9% −78.50

2026 61 5 8.2% +24.85

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,740 156 9% −401.86

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 982 81 8.2% −280.49

11-13 runners 788 43 5.5% −350.84

5-7 runners 681 65 9.5% −316.49

14-16 runners 341 19 5.6% −44.17

2-4 runners 98 14 14.3% −51.41

17+ runners 59 4 6.8% −8.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.4% completed · 2,310 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 771 72% 41 29 140 4 2

Hurdle 1,539 84.7% 27 17 188 2 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Strong Team (IRE) 68 4 14 29 May 24

Hey Bob (IRE)from Keith Dalgleish · then Olly Murphy 62 3 12 10 Mar 21

Jacks Last Hope (GB)from Danielle McCormick 44 11 20 17 Jul 21

Six One Nine (IRE) 41 5 14 5 Apr 25

Rock Relief (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 40 3 12 8 Apr 16

Theatre Act (GB)then Dan Skelton 38 3 9 17 Mar 19

Red Ochre (GB)from John Quinn 37 1 15 29 May 23

Mardood (GB)from William Haggas · then P Wilson 36 6 10 28 Aug 12

Acdc (IRE) 34 5 11 31 Aug 21

Broadway Belle (GB) 34 2 11 11 Dec 19

Donna's Diamond (IRE) 33 7 13 27 Mar 21

Muwalla (GB)from James Bethell · then Lisa Harrison 33 3 9 13 Oct 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 371 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Wade (3) and James Bethell (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (2) and Lisa Harrison (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6912886578985

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hughes

9% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hughes 256 26 10.2% −53.82

Diarmuid O'Regan 255 22 8.6% −86.20

Sean Quinlan 213 11 5.2% −108.09

Danny McMenamin 196 22 11.2% −26.65

Denis O'Regan 171 15 8.8% −93.87

Richie McGrath 140 13 9.3% −63.53

Callum Bewley 134 5 3.7% −78.00

Alexander Voy 131 16 12.2% +16.31

Campbell Gillies 116 11 9.5% −18.29

Miss L Horner 83 11 13.3% +2.46

Henry Brooke 82 4 4.9% +26.24

Wilson Renwick 80 6 7.5% −25.13

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

247

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.88m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Donna's Diamond (IRE) — Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2018 · Grade 2

£23,048

Star Player (IRE) — totescoop6 Handicap Chase Carlisle · Mar 2008 · Class 3

£16,265

Laertes (GB) — Press & Journal Highland National Handicap Chase Perth · Apr 2008 · Class 4

£16,263

Notable horses

Jacks Last Hope (GB) Donna's Diamond (IRE) Mardood (GB) Jeu De Roseau (IRE) Six One Nine (IRE) Acdc (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cloudings (IRE) 13.5% · 17–126

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,886 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

King's Theatre (IRE) 18.7% · 20–107

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Flemensfirth (USA) 11.2% · 10–89

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,285 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 5.9% · 4–68

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,031 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Big Bad Bob (IRE) 4.8% · 3–62

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).

Milan (GB) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,336 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,336 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Glory Hights (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Captain Ted (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Border Minstrel Dog Friendly Pub Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 5th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Vanilla Dancer (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 1st 22/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Natural Ability (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Vickers Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 40/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 5th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Mhordart (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Hitz Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 80/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Natural Ability (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 7th 50/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Mr Simon Walker bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 28/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Close House (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 11/8

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Vanilla Dancer (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 28/1

08 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Cian Horgan William Hill Price Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 9/1

19 Jul 26 Redcar Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Cian Horgan racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 7/4

21 Jun 26 Hexham Dartmhor (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 25/1

20 Jun 26 Redcar Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Market Cross Jewellers HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good · 7 ran 1st 16/1

25 May 26 Redcar Mazza (GB)J: Connor Beasley Racing Again Tomorrow On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 33/1

24 May 26 Kelso Vanilla Dancer (GB)J: Danny McMenamin J.A. Wilson Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 9th 11/1

19 May 26 Newcastle (AW) Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Zoe Lewis Celebrating 10 Years Of Tapeta At Newcastle Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 18/1

11 May 26 Catterick Stitching Wheel (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Every Race Live On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 14 ran 7th 50/1

09 May 26 Hexham Natural Ability (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Charlie's Halfway To 100 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 10/1

06 May 26 Kelso Vanilla Dancer (GB)J: William Maggs 2000 Sacks Of Carrots Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 4th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Grant's strike rate?: Chris Grant has won 226 of 2,949 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Grant do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 10 wins from 80 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Grant?: Brian Hughes, with 256 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (10.2%).
Is Chris Grant in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chris Grant's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 2,938 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.