What is Dan Skelton's strike rate?

Dan Skelton has won 1,854 of 9,909 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dan Skelton do best at?

Wetherby by strike rate: 102 wins from 365 runners (27.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Dan Skelton?

Harry Skelton, with 6,467 runners since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 1440 (22.3%).

Is Dan Skelton in form?

In the last 14 days: 100 runners, 20 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is in line with the baseline of 18.7% since 2008.

What is Dan Skelton's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 9,883 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Dan Skelton

9,909 runners in the lifetime window · 1,292 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.3% of 1,350 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 6 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Runners today 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,854–9,909

Wins / Runs

18.7%

Strike rate

n=9,909

3,948 (40%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=9,883 · 0.89 incl. margin

−2,000.17

£1 level stake

n=9,906 at SP · −20.2%

£28.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

23.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 520 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 19% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). New recruits from other yards win at 24% first time out (575 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 9,909 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug Fresh horses: 18.8% 40.4% when favourite Harry Skelton: 22.3% from 6,467 New recruits: 24.3% Sends off the favourite in 24% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (27.9%, n=365), clear of the yard's 18.7% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 24.3% (n=575, Fair A/E 1.15), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 12.9% (n=1,119, Fair A/E 0.99). Harry Skelton rides 65% of the entries and edges the yard's average (22.3% vs 18.7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (35.9%, n=181). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.3% over 44 runners, 16.4pts below the baseline. 144 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2024, £218,398). The stable star of the record: Hatcher (IRE) — 14 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

18.8%+0.1

n=2,559 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −491.29

New recruits · first run for the yard

24.3%+5.6

n=575 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −46.59

Debutants · first career start

16.9%−1.8

n=728 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −134.04

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.1%+0.4

n=513 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −43.39

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17%−1.7

n=265 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −76.09

When favourite

40.4%

n=2,411 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −167.07

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.3%−5.4

n=1,506 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −437.27

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.9%−5.8

n=1,119 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −263.81

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 35.9% vs 18.7% · n=181

With Conor Shoemark 4.6% vs 18.7% · n=87

In Flat races 2.3% vs 18.7% · n=44

With Liam Harrison 2.4% vs 18.7% · n=42

With David England 7.1% vs 18.7% · n=126

At Wetherby 27.9% vs 18.7% · n=365

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 5,975 1093 18.3% −1,466.63

Chase 3,050 613 20.1% −323.17

NH Flat 840 147 17.5% −176.37

Flat 44 1 2.3% −34.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 3,955 825 20.9% −747.79

Good to Soft 2,813 467 16.6% −709.87

Soft 2,344 400 17.1% −355.75

Heavy 531 98 18.5% −129.75

Good to Firm 208 53 25.5% −36.04

Standard (AW) 58 11 19% −20.97

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Warwick 707 149 21.1% −169.27

Uttoxeter 650 149 22.9% −66.47

Cheltenham 600 70 11.7% −141.31

Market Rasen 494 107 21.7% −96.31

Southwell 458 96 21% −80.03

Worcester 451 78 17.3% −151.98

Chepstow 378 49 13% −74.09

Stratford 377 85 22.5% −84.88

Aintree 373 56 15% +40.64

Huntingdon 371 72 19.4% −122.74

Wetherby 365 102 27.9% +23.75

Kempton 356 40 11.2% −132.33

Newbury 320 39 12.2% −62.43

Ludlow 305 54 17.7% −97.82

Bangor-on-Dee 292 55 18.8% −99.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 3,766 841 22.3% −716.52

Class 3 1,873 359 19.2% −309.46

Class 5 1,446 303 21% −235.46

Class 1 1,322 164 12.4% −266.98

Class 2 1,319 157 11.9% −452.48

Class 6 167 26 15.6% −53.07

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2,650 1037 39.1% 1.07 −158.65

2nd–3rd fav 3,004 580 19.3% 1.02 −416.32

4th–6th fav 2,589 187 7.2% 0.88 −692.40

7th+ in betting 1,663 47 2.8% 0.83 −732.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 3,975 724 18.2% −1,152.17

2m1f – 2m4f 3,372 655 19.4% −371.79

2m5f – 3m 2,043 378 18.5% −427.86

Over 3m 488 96 19.7% −27.35

1m2f – 1m4f 21 1 4.8% −11.00

6f – 7f 7 0 0% −7.00

1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2013 89 17 19.1% +18.26

2014 305 51 16.7% −58.50

2015 479 98 20.5% −112.58

2016 619 105 17% −221.88

2017 841 178 21.2% −171.62

2018 947 173 18.3% −119.61

2019 857 163 19% −250.86

2020 609 95 15.6% −161.98

2021 784 151 19.3% −151.80

2022 722 133 18.4% −207.49

2023 756 122 16.1% −102.79

2024 980 181 18.5% −197.16

2025 959 160 16.7% −182.71

2026 962 227 23.6% −79.45

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 5,476 906 16.5% −955.60

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 3,082 523 17% −794.41

5-7 runners 2,776 660 23.8% −273.06

11-13 runners 1,977 297 15% −445.97

14-16 runners 937 107 11.4% −320.92

2-4 runners 630 225 35.7% −61.39

17+ runners 504 39 7.7% −104.42

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.9% completed · 9,025 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 3,050 84.4% 115 36 315 7 2

Hurdle 5,975 91.2% 133 21 353 12 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

West To The Bridge (IRE) 65 11 22 14 Mar 26

Workbench (FR)from Paul Nicholls 54 8 17 26 Nov 18

Hatcher (IRE) 49 14 20 13 Nov 23

Riskintheground (IRE) 42 10 15 31 Oct 26

Frere D'armes (FR) 40 7 12 26 May 26

Azzuri (GB)from G M Lyons · then N A Pearce 39 6 14 25 May 21

Cobra De Mai (FR)from G Macaire · then Caroline Bailey 39 9 14 7 Nov 20

Faivoir (FR) 38 10 20 5 Nov 26

Flegmatik (FR)from G Cherel 38 5 17 1 Apr 25

Jet Plane (IRE) 37 8 13 30 Mar 26

Not That Fuisse (FR) 37 10 19 5 May 23

Spiritofthegames (IRE) 37 4 18 28 Jan 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,292 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 23 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (3) and G Cherel (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Miss V Collins (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

20 from 100 20% · +1.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days20%

Lifetime base18.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

171718192823202416181717

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHarry Skelton

65% of all rides
22.3% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Harry Skelton 6,467 1440 22.3% −934.39

Bridget Andrews 1,097 147 13.4% −311.84

Tristan Durrell 781 104 13.3% −77.65

Charlie Todd 150 14 9.3% −18.05

William Marshall 131 11 8.4% −72.43

David England 126 9 7.1% −56.27

Fergus Gillard 112 14 12.5% −45.66

Ian Popham 97 12 12.4% −23.68

Harry Atkins 96 9 9.4% −65.77

Kielan Woods 96 12 12.5% −32.08

Miss Heidi Palin 92 19 20.7% +20.49

Conor Shoemark 87 4 4.6% −75.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

1,854

Archived wins

144

Pattern / graded wins

£28.8m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 227 wins

Protektorat (FR) — Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Festival Trophy) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2024 · Grade 1

£218,398

Panic Attack (IRE) — Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2025 · Class 1

£142,375

Le Milos (GB) — Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2022 · Class 1

£142,375

Notable horses

Hatcher (IRE) West To The Bridge (IRE) Grey Dawning (IRE) Riskintheground (IRE) Faivoir (FR) Not That Fuisse (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 19.5% · 76–390

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 17.6% · 53–301

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Getaway (GER) 17.2% · 50–290

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Milan (GB) 18% · 46–256

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Presenting (GB) 20.7% · 48–232

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Martaline (GB) 13.1% · 29–222

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,348 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,909 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,909 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 June 2013 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Aintree Quaviste (FR)J: Harry Skelton Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/8F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Here Comes Georgie (GB)J: Harry Skelton BetMGM Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 5/2F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Mirabad (FR)J: Harry Skelton BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/4F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Royal Infantry (IRE)J: Harry Skelton BetMGM 'Future Stars' Silver Bowl 'Chasing Excellence' Novices' Steeple Chase (Part Of The 'Chasing Excellence' Initiative) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 1st 11/8

06 Nov 26 Aintree Lyssenko (FR)J: Harry Skelton Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 4/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Barnpark (GB)J: Harry Skelton Download The BetMGM App Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 11/4

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Wet Sail (GB)J: Charlie Todd KSR Lighting Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 250/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell The Mad Poet (IRE)J: Tristan Durrell KSR Lighting Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 7/2

06 Nov 26 Aintree Risky Obsession (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Bet £10 To Get £40 BetMGM Novices' Hurdle Race (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 1st 1/1F

05 Nov 26 Newbury Newgrove (IRE)J: Harry Skelton BetVictor Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 11/8F

05 Nov 26 Newcastle That Guy (FR)J: Tristan Durrell attheraces.com/marketmovers "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 6th 3/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Manu Du Noyer (FR)J: Harry Skelton British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 9/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Percy De Courcy (GB)J: Harry Skelton Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 9/4F

05 Nov 26 Newbury Nan's Choice (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 7/4

05 Nov 26 Newbury Presley (IRE)J: Harry Skelton CSP Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 85/40

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Brace For Landing (IRE)J: Tristan Durrell Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/4

05 Nov 26 Newbury Colegram (FR)J: Billy Marshall OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 66/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Beorma (IRE)J: Harry Atkins OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 33/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Faivoir (FR)J: Dominic Lewis OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 14/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Dare Me (GB)J: Tristan Durrell Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 25 runs (won 11) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 30 runs (won 11, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 25 runs (won 10, 1 did not run) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Dan Skelton's strike rate?: Dan Skelton has won 1,854 of 9,909 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dan Skelton do best at?: Wetherby by strike rate: 102 wins from 365 runners (27.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dan Skelton?: Harry Skelton, with 6,467 runners since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 1440 (22.3%).
Is Dan Skelton in form?: In the last 14 days: 100 runners, 20 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is in line with the baseline of 18.7% since 2008.
What is Dan Skelton's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 9,883 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.