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Trainer profile

Daniel G Murphy

369 runners in the lifetime window · 56 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–369
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=369
78 (21%)
Placed
0.99
n=369 · 0.76 incl. margin
−192.00
£1 level stake
n=369 at SP · −52.0%
£283k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 369 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec
The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −103.50 to a £1 stake over 190 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (10.1%, n=79). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 57 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Bothair Clei (IRE) — 5 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.4%−3.7
n=74 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −65.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=9 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%−1.4
n=190 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −103.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 10.1% vs 5.1% · n=79
On Good going 0% vs 5.1% · n=57
With horses switching code 0% vs 5.1% · n=53
With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=45
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.1% · n=33
At Punchestown 0% vs 5.1% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 257 13 5.1% −131.50
Chase 73 6 8.2% −21.50
NH Flat 30 0 0% −30.00
Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 150 7 4.7% −69.00
Heavy 131 10 7.6% −59.00
Good 57 0 0% −57.00
Good to Soft 27 2 7.4% −3.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 68 4 5.9% −35.50
Limerick 49 4 8.2% −2.50
Thurles 38 3 7.9% −16.50
Punchestown 31 0 0% −31.00
Wexford 20 1 5% −7.00
Naas 20 0 0% −20.00
Tramore 19 4 21.1% +17.00
Clonmel 17 1 5.9% −12.50
Tipperary 15 0 0% −15.00
Listowel 14 0 0% −14.00
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% +0.00
Kilbeggan 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 22 0 0% −22.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.46 +3.50
2nd–3rd fav 43 7 16.3% 1.27 −0.50
4th–6th fav 88 7 8% 1.20 +5.00
7th+ in betting 227 2 0.9% 0.34 −200.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.4% completed · 330 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 73 82.2% 2 0 11 0 0
Hurdle 257 91.4% 2 0 18 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bothair Clei (IRE) 34 5 12 2 Apr 18
Serra Nova (IRE) 32 1 10 12 Feb 15
Gentle Alice (IRE)from James Murphy 23 4 8 28 Apr 12
Leader's Choice (IRE) 17 0 4 16 Apr 18
Alright Darling (IRE) 16 2 4 1 Jan 26
Roped In (IRE) 15 0 6 5 Sep 22
Cousin Pascal (FR)then J J O'Shea 15 0 3 5 Aug 20
Red River Gold (IRE) 13 0 4 21 Jul 19
Diamond Gesture (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 12 0 0 22 Dec 13
Just For One (IRE) 11 1 3 25 Oct 26
Queen Of Fame (IRE)then Nick Kent 11 0 2 9 Mar 21
Double Pink (IRE) 10 2 3 31 Mar 24
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2) and James Murphy (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Fergal O'Brien (3) and James William Hannon (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1136700060379
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr J G Murphy
12% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 0.80
RiderRWSR£1
Mr J G Murphy 45 2 4.4% −1.00
Brian O'Connell 36 1 2.8% −27.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
19
Archived wins
£283k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Bothair Clei (IRE) — Ucc Horse Racing Society Handicap Hurdle Cork · Mar 2014
£14,625
Gentle Alice (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Novice Chase Leopardstown · Feb 2011
£14,300
Mystic Malina (IRE) — Social Packs For The Easter Festival Handicap Hurdle Cork · Mar 2026
£11,780

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–62
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Snurge (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,506 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 176. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.8% from 520.
Dushyantor (USA) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since 2008 (699 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Croco Rouge (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9% of 723 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.8% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 369 · newest first

The latest 50 of 369 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 October 2009 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Dec 25 Naas Monkeyforajuice (IRE)J: Brian Hayes BAR 1 Casino Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 14th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 18 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 18 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Daniel G Murphy's strike rate?
Daniel G Murphy has won 19 of 369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel G Murphy do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 4 wins from 49 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Daniel G Murphy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Daniel G Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 369 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).