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Trainer profile

Eoin Christopher McCarthy

1,435 runners in the lifetime window · 201 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 14.5% of 228 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
86–1,435
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=1,435
270 (19%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=1,435 · 0.82 incl. margin
−221.00
£1 level stake
n=1,435 at SP · −15.4%
£1.07m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,435 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 41.4% when favourite G B Noonan: 8.1% from 454 Claiming riders: 6.3% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

It is weakest at Sligo (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=133, Fair A/E 1.00). G B Noonan rides 32% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.1% vs 6%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 42 runners, 6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Open Gate Brewery Novice Steeplechase at Galway (IRE) (Jul 2026, £25,199). The stable star of the record: Shadow Paddy (IRE) — 7 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−2.0
n=297 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −50.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.7%−0.3
n=70 · A/E 1.75 · £1 −21.50
Debutants · first career start
2.3%−3.7
n=133 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −39.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.7%−2.3
n=82 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −42.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
2.9%−3.1
n=35 · A/E 0.67 · £1 +6.00
When favourite
41.4%
n=58 · A/E 1.84 · £1 +30.09
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%+0.3
n=900 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −263.24
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10%+4.0
n=20 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −14.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Gearoid Brouder 19.4% vs 6% · n=31
With Kevin Brouder 16% vs 6% · n=50
On last-time-out winners 14.8% vs 6% · n=81
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 6% · n=42
With Sean Flanagan 0% vs 6% · n=37
At Sligo 0% vs 6% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,037 64 6.2% −8.04
Flat 172 7 4.1% −113.84
Chase 125 12 9.6% −30.87
NH Flat 101 3 3% −68.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 449 28 6.2% +21.46
Soft 435 20 4.6% −14.09
Good to Soft 250 18 7.2% −73.75
Heavy 228 18 7.9% −98.12
Standard (AW) 53 1 1.9% −48.50
Good to Firm 20 1 5% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Listowel 211 13 6.2% +262.58
Limerick 200 19 9.5% +35.88
Killarney 135 12 8.9% −62.25
Cork 126 6 4.8% −69.50
Clonmel 73 4 5.5% −44.37
Kilbeggan 64 2 3.1% −46.00
Ballinrobe 55 2 3.6% −33.50
Wexford 53 4 7.5% −9.75
Dundalk (AW) 53 1 1.9% −48.50
Tramore 49 4 8.2% −10.00
Thurles 42 3 7.1% +18.50
Galway 41 2 4.9% −22.50
Fairyhouse 39 3 7.7% −26.92
Sligo 36 0 0% −36.00
Roscommon 34 1 2.9% −21.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 20 2 10% −14.25
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 72 26 36.1% 1.67 +26.09
2nd–3rd fav 181 23 12.7% 0.92 −45.09
4th–6th fav 346 20 5.8% 0.88 −114.00
7th+ in betting 836 17 2% 0.85 −88.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.5% completed · 1,162 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 125 82.4% 5 3 14 0 0
Hurdle 1,037 90.4% 22 11 63 3 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pound A Stroke (IRE) 28 3 9 26 Sep 20
Fast Felix (IRE) 26 2 8 20 Aug 26
Mattie's Mountain (IRE)then Thomas P O'Connor 26 3 7 19 Oct 24
Name Me Famous (IRE) 24 4 6 9 Aug 24
Kingdom Calling (FR) 23 2 3 17 Oct 26
Younowhatimean (IRE) 23 0 1 26 Dec 25
Well Funded (IRE)from James Bethell 23 2 6 13 Jan 23
Tropical Image (IRE) 21 1 5 26 Sep 26
Ollie La Ba Ba (IRE) 21 2 4 20 Aug 26
Dark Image (GB) 21 2 3 29 Nov 24
Cosmic Rock (IRE) 21 2 5 19 Nov 24
Missiee (IRE) 21 4 4 16 Mar 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 201 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive; 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
505954876886
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderG B Noonan
32% of all rides
8.1% SR · A/E 1.27
RiderRWSR£1
G B Noonan 454 37 8.1% −45.99
Richard Deegan 168 8 4.8% +146.00
Kevin Brouder 50 8 16% +150.75
Tom Kelly 41 1 2.4% −26.00
Thomas O'Connor 40 3 7.5% −20.00
Sean Flanagan 37 0 0% −37.00
Gavin Ryan 37 4 10.8% −17.84
Gearoid Brouder 31 6 19.4% +1.50
Daniel King 30 3 10% −4.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
86
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.07m
Prize money
2022
Best season · 18 wins
Shadow Paddy (IRE) — Guinness Open Gate Brewery Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3) Galway (IRE) · Jul 2026 · Grade 3
£25,199
Shadow Paddy (IRE) — Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Novice Hurdle (Listed) Limerick · Oct 2025 · Listed
£17,700
Elusive Ogie (IRE) — Bective Stud, Hotel & Tea Rooms Mullacurry Cup Handicap Hurdle Bellewstown (IRE) · Aug 2026
£12,000
Notable horses
Shadow Paddy (IRE) Name Me Famous (IRE) Missiee (IRE) Pound A Stroke (IRE) Mattie's Mountain (IRE) Drombeg Duke (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 4% · 3–75
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,306 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 8.9% · 5–56
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 1.8% · 1–55
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,870 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Milan (GB) 8.5% · 4–47
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,869 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Mahler (GB) 4.3% · 2–46
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,869 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–43
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,007 runs since 2019 (307 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,435 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,435 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 December 2011 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Deeter (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran PU 66/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Nukie's Artic (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 4th 11/2
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Who's Da Goose (GB)J: Thomas O'Connor Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 3/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Eagle Doll (IRE)J: G B Noonan Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran UR 150/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Paidi's Pet (IRE)J: G B Noonan Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 100/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Bravemans Call (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 2/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Je Suis Celebre (GB)J: Daniel King Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 5th 50/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Kelly's Cosmos (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 4th 5/2F
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Kingdom Calling (FR)J: Thomas O'Connor Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 6/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Elusive Ogie (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 13/2
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) James Henry (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 25/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Kelly's Cosmos (IRE)J: Phillip Enright SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Galway Star (GB)J: Daniel King Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 7th 200/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Well Bud (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Winter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 1st 100/30
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Paidi's Pet (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 80/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Je Suis Celebre (GB)J: Daniel King Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 80/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Kilbrin Rocco (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 1st 5/2F
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Ballyminnion Boy (IRE)J: Daniel King Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 7th 9/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Big Dee (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 11th 25/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Regards To Rose (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 14 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Eoin Christopher McCarthy's strike rate?
Eoin Christopher McCarthy has won 86 of 1,435 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Eoin Christopher McCarthy do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 19 wins from 200 runners (9.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Eoin Christopher McCarthy?
G B Noonan, with 454 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (8.1%).
Is Eoin Christopher McCarthy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Eoin Christopher McCarthy's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 1,435 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).