What is J. P. Murtagh's strike rate?

J. P. Murtagh has won 512 of 4,609 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J. P. Murtagh do best at?

Gowran Park by strike rate: 64 wins from 351 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for J. P. Murtagh?

Ben Coen, with 1,689 runners since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 227 (13.4%).

Is J. P. Murtagh in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is below the baseline of 11.1% since 2008.

What is J. P. Murtagh's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 4,600 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J. P. Murtagh

4,609 runners in the lifetime window · 670 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.3% of 524 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Runners today 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

512–4,609

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=4,609

1,487 (32%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=4,600 · 0.83 incl. margin

−1,333.55

£1 level stake

n=4,609 at SP · −28.9%

£13.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 16% first time out (112 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,609 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 32.1% when favourite Ben Coen: 13.4% from 1,689 New recruits: 16.1% Headgear returns: 15.2% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Gowran Park (18.2%, n=351), clear of the yard's 11.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 16.1% (n=112, Fair A/E 1.52), but debutants struggle at 3% (n=559, Fair A/E 0.59). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 15.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.45 and +15.95 to a £1 stake over 158 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (6.3%, 4.8pts below the 11.1% baseline). Ben Coen rides 37% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.4% vs 11.1%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 52 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Ebor Handicap at York (Aug 2021, £300,000). The stable star of the record: Urban Beat (IRE) — 6 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.3%−0.8

n=634 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −191.12

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.1%+5.0

n=112 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +21.73

Debutants · first career start

3%−8.1

n=559 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −329.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.3%+1.2

n=325 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −101.24

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.2%+4.1

n=158 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +15.95

When favourite

32.1%

n=551 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −38.44

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%−0.6

n=1,216 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −276.08

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9%−2.1

n=576 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −173.54

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 3% vs 11.1% · n=559

At Gowran Park 18.2% vs 11.1% · n=351

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 11.1% · n=461

With Colin Keane 19.1% vs 11.1% · n=115

With Pat Smullen 20.5% vs 11.1% · n=44

With Seamie Heffernan 4.3% vs 11.1% · n=116

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,593 511 11.1% −1,323.05

Hurdle 10 1 10% −4.50

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,489 161 10.8% −441.23

Soft 1,205 143 11.9% −312.37

Standard (AW) 696 77 11.1% −211.05

Good to Firm 433 47 10.9% −190.67

Good to Soft 400 42 10.5% −124.99

Heavy 383 41 10.7% −52.74

Firm 3 1 33.3% −0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 905 86 9.5% −236.51

Dundalk (AW) 671 74 11% −206.65

Leopardstown 462 40 8.7% −222.97

Naas 449 40 8.9% −131.55

Gowran Park 351 64 18.2% +55.48

Navan 266 31 11.7% −62.81

Cork 247 23 9.3% −79.39

Fairyhouse 166 28 16.9% −15.44

Roscommon 134 19 14.2% −48.90

Tipperary 115 14 12.2% −46.23

Down Royal 107 17 15.9% −44.69

Galway 105 10 9.5% −53.37

Limerick 96 13 13.5% −26.28

Bellewstown 78 12 15.4% −18.38

Killarney 77 5 6.5% −60.40

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 576 52 9% −173.54

Class 2 45 4 8.9% +2.00

Class 6 11 5 45.5% +12.50

Class 3 7 2 28.6% +11.50

Class 5 7 3 42.9% +0.10

Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 632 193 30.5% 1.11 −56.95

2nd–3rd fav 1,107 181 16.4% 1.02 −95.50

4th–6th fav 1,401 104 7.4% 0.95 −364.10

7th+ in betting 1,469 34 2.3% 0.70 −817.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Final Voyage (IRE)from James Tate 47 3 17 16 Oct 26

Trueba (IRE)then Edmond Daniel Linehan 38 5 16 7 Dec 22

Urban Beat (IRE)then Markus Geisler 35 6 16 8 Oct 22

Daamberdiplomat (IRE) 32 6 10 17 Oct 25

Lord Rapscallion (IRE)then Stuart Williams 30 5 14 3 Oct 20

Shore Step (IRE)from Mick Channon 30 4 13 17 Jan 20

Blues Emperor (IRE)then William Harvey 29 5 9 17 Oct 25

Kosman (IRE) 27 2 10 2 Oct 21

Rahmi (IRE)from F-H Graffard 25 3 8 26 Sep 26

Pandion Power (IRE) 23 2 6 19 Oct 25

Emerald Harmony (IRE)then Paul Midgley 23 2 10 1 Oct 25

Safecracker (GB)from John M Oxx 23 3 14 8 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 670 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs John Harrington (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard; 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 16 6.3% · −4.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.3%

Lifetime base11.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121251211121410129108

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBen Coen

37% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Ben Coen 1,689 227 13.4% −410.14

N G McCullagh 468 33 7.1% −276.44

Shane B Kelly 422 35 8.3% −165.58

Danny Sheehy 181 18 9.9% +5.40

Shane Foley 145 25 17.2% +8.00

Connor King 139 14 10.1% −33.77

Jamie Powell 126 6 4.8% −65.38

Seamie Heffernan 116 5 4.3% −86.00

Colin Keane 115 22 19.1% +0.44

Rory Mulligan 113 16 14.2% +6.50

Denis Linehan 111 13 11.7% −44.67

Ross Coakley 110 11 10% −21.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

512

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£13.1m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 57 wins

Sonnyboyliston (IRE) — Sky Bet Ebor Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2021 · Class 2

£300,000

Sonnyboyliston (IRE) — Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1) Curragh · Sep 2021 · Group 1

£285,000

Mutual Regard (IRE) — Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2014 · Class 2

£164,963

Notable horses

Urban Beat (IRE) Daamberdiplomat (IRE) Sonnyboyliston (IRE) Trueba (IRE) Lord Rapscallion (IRE) Blues Emperor (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.7% · 16–137

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Acclamation (GB) 8.5% · 10–118

Progeny have won 10% of 19,709 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 10.1% · 11–109

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,211 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.3% · 13–106

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,928 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 14% · 14–100

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,103 runs since 2019 (563 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 159.

Siyouni (FR) 10.9% · 10–92

Progeny have won 13% of 8,351 runs since 2014 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,609 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,609 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 May 2013 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Saint Acclaim (IRE)J: Ben Coen Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 9/4

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Shaool (IRE)J: Ben Coen QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 6th 16/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Asakir (IRE)J: Ben Coen QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 100/30

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Chasing Paradise (IRE)J: N G McCullagh QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 5th 80/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Bay Of Supremacy (IRE)J: Jessica Maye Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 6th 25/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Etawann (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 9th 40/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Art Gallery (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Riyazanka (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 11/2

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Chicago Call (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 4/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sapphire Sun (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 20/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Flash Of Fire (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 9/2

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Looking For Love (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 11/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Raygani (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 125/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Chicago Caray (GB)J: Luke McAteer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sakoku (IRE)J: Ben Coen Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 2/1F

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Bobardi (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 2/1F

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Bay Of Supremacy (IRE)J: Ben Coen Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 7/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Saint Acclaim (IRE)J: Ben Coen Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) New World Order (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding · 10 ran 4th 4/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Professor Finnegan (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is J. P. Murtagh's strike rate?: J. P. Murtagh has won 512 of 4,609 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J. P. Murtagh do best at?: Gowran Park by strike rate: 64 wins from 351 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J. P. Murtagh?: Ben Coen, with 1,689 runners since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 227 (13.4%).
Is J. P. Murtagh in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is below the baseline of 11.1% since 2008.
What is J. P. Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 4,600 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.