What is James Tate's strike rate?

James Tate has won 629 of 3,796 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Tate do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 57 wins from 226 runners (25.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Tate?

Luke Morris, with 554 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 79 (14.3%).

Is James Tate in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Tate's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 3,769 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Tate

3,796 runners in the lifetime window · 623 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 4.6% of 323 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

629–3,796

Wins / Runs

16.6%

Strike rate

n=3,796

1,517 (40%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=3,769 · 0.90 incl. margin

−729.46

£1 level stake

n=3,796 at SP · −19.2%

£7.56m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). New recruits from other yards win at 20% first time out (50 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,796 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Apr Fresh horses: 19% 40.1% when favourite Luke Morris: 14.3% from 554 New recruits: 20% Claiming riders: 19.2% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (25.2%, n=226), clear of the yard's 16.6% baseline. It is weakest at York (4.8% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 20% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.38), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 9.3% (n=356, Fair A/E 0.99). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 14.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +36.83 to a £1 stake over 206 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Luke Morris rides 15% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (14.3% vs 16.6%, A/E 0.87). 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2019, £81,165). The stable star of the record: Mount Athos (GB) — 8 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19%+2.4

n=562 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −43.66

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+3.4

n=50 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +44.50

Debutants · first career start

10.8%−5.8

n=573 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −164.56

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.1%−2.5

n=206 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +36.83

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.2%+1.6

n=22 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +11.00

When favourite

40.1%

n=666 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −23.19

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

19.2%+2.6

n=104 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −5.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%−7.3

n=356 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −100.77

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Tom Marquand 3.3% vs 16.6% · n=60

With Silvestre De Sousa 2.5% vs 16.6% · n=40

With Ryan Moore 29.2% vs 16.6% · n=48

At Southwell (AW) 25.2% vs 16.6% · n=226

At Newmarket 7.4% vs 16.6% · n=135

At York 4.8% vs 16.6% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,795 629 16.6% −728.46

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,035 377 18.5% −253.70

Good to Firm 678 108 15.9% −229.54

Good 613 79 12.9% −140.16

Good to Soft 222 36 16.2% −8.20

Soft 184 19 10.3% −60.18

Firm 35 8 22.9% −18.51

Heavy 29 2 6.9% −19.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 649 124 19.1% −83.02

Kempton (AW) 395 59 14.9% −32.21

Lingfield 291 46 15.8% −108.35

Chelmsford (AW) 291 56 19.2% −51.44

Southwell (AW) 226 57 25.2% +61.25

Newcastle (AW) 167 33 19.8% −33.33

Yarmouth 139 21 15.1% −48.58

Newmarket 135 10 7.4% −70.21

Newmarket 88 9 10.2% −44.17

Thirsk 87 13 14.9% −39.77

Haydock 84 12 14.3% +5.58

Ascot 83 6 7.2% −22.62

Leicester 81 14 17.3% −13.09

Beverley 79 14 17.7% −23.88

Doncaster 77 7 9.1% −46.51

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,639 306 18.7% −250.92

Class 4 955 163 17.1% −147.17

Class 1 356 33 9.3% −100.77

Class 3 299 50 16.7% −54.10

Class 6 289 45 15.6% −62.11

Class 2 256 32 12.5% −112.39

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 745 291 39.1% 1.13 −15.23

2nd–3rd fav 1,299 232 17.9% 1.00 −195.73

4th–6th fav 1,162 88 7.6% 0.89 −255.50

7th+ in betting 590 18 3.1% 0.82 −263.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,748 294 16.8% −318.58

1m – 1m1f 984 170 17.3% −98.12

Under 6f 511 83 16.2% −192.94

1m2f – 1m4f 507 76 15% −109.40

1m5f – 2m 44 6 13.6% −8.42

2m1f – 2m4f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 5 1 20% −1.00

2012 183 21 11.5% −57.60

2013 300 62 20.7% −17.95

2014 316 41 13% −105.94

2015 255 43 16.9% −19.09

2016 306 54 17.6% −37.08

2017 243 34 14% −120.11

2018 270 42 15.6% −66.53

2019 317 74 23.3% −11.70

2020 229 28 12.2% −83.77

2021 224 31 13.8% −70.80

2022 194 32 16.5% −62.73

2023 232 41 17.7% −24.22

2024 184 30 16.3% +12.09

2025 258 56 21.7% −12.52

2026 280 39 13.9% −50.51

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,769 300 17% −238.44

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,519 255 16.8% −188.63

11-13 runners 965 119 12.3% −235.17

5-7 runners 930 192 20.6% −166.75

14-16 runners 190 19 10% −58.51

2-4 runners 113 43 38.1% −3.65

17+ runners 79 1 1.3% −76.75

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King Of Ithaca (GB)from Marco Botti 31 5 13 8 Oct 26

Mount Athos (GB) 27 8 15 31 Oct 26

Sbraase (GB)then J F Levins 27 3 12 27 Sep 16

Stanley Spencer (IRE)then Fionn McSharry 25 4 11 2 Apr 26

Lamar (IRE) 25 6 11 6 Feb 16

Ruwaiyan (USA)from Mahmood Al Zarooni 24 3 8 16 Jul 16

Shimmering Dawn (IRE) 22 6 12 4 Jul 21

Cloud Cover (IRE) 20 8 12 30 Jul 25

Kyllang Rock (IRE) 20 5 9 14 Oct 19

Flying Frontier (GB) 19 4 7 25 Sep 26

Hey Gaman (GB) 19 5 11 6 Oct 19

Invincible Army (IRE) 19 6 12 6 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 623 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mahmood Al Zarooni (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

182520181215181813151817

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLuke Morris

15% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 0.87

RiderRWSR£1

Luke Morris 554 79 14.3% −117.43

P J McDonald 362 68 18.8% −22.63

Neil Callan 273 54 19.8% −15.61

Martin Harley 222 39 17.6% −25.92

Rossa Ryan 163 36 22.1% +8.89

David Allan 140 30 21.4% −18.27

Clifford Lee 128 28 21.9% −7.71

Paul Mulrennan 104 19 18.3% −24.03

Oisin Murphy 79 13 16.5% −25.21

James Doyle 77 15 19.5% −29.10

Hector Crouch 75 16 21.3% +10.73

Callum Shepherd 67 10 14.9% −12.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

629

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.56m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 74 wins

Under The Stars (IRE) — 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Newmarket · Oct 2019 · Class 2

£81,165

Cloud Cover (IRE) — BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£77,310

Invincible Army (IRE) — Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) York · May 2019 · Group 2

£70,888

Notable horses

Mount Athos (GB) Cloud Cover (IRE) Lamar (IRE) Shimmering Dawn (IRE) Invincible Army (IRE) Top Ranked (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Iffraaj (GB) 18.3% · 43–235

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,978 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 18.6% · 26–140

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 25.6% · 30–117

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,096 runs since 2019 (563 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 158.

Dark Angel (IRE) 15.5% · 18–116

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

New Approach (IRE) 22.3% · 25–112

Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,792 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.

Shamardal (USA) 20.7% · 23–111

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,796 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,796 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 December 2011 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mount Athos (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Irish RiverClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 7/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Storm Free (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 100/30F

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Femme Fatale (GB)J: Rob Hornby Bet @racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Preferred (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Fight Your Corner (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 1st 4/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sterling Fortune (GB)J: George Wood Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 100/30

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) King Gamrah (IRE)J: Luke Morris Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 7th 12/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Night Storm (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 5/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blue Celestial (GB)J: Hector Crouch All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/4F

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sterling Fortune (GB)J: P. J. McDonald bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 18/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Grey Tamam (IRE)J: Luke Morris bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kullazain (GB)J: Clifford Lee Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Star Of Mali (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Palace Legacy (GB)J: David Allan British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 100/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sayidah Dubawi (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Blue Point Gold (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Wedyan (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 5/2J

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Caburn (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 11/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Of Ithaca (GB)J: Rob Hornby Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) One For Bruce (GB)J: Hector Crouch bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Tate's strike rate?: James Tate has won 629 of 3,796 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Tate do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 57 wins from 226 runners (25.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Tate?: Luke Morris, with 554 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 79 (14.3%).
Is James Tate in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Tate's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 3,769 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.