What is Jennie Candlish's strike rate?

Jennie Candlish has won 545 of 4,613 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jennie Candlish do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 24 wins from 113 runners (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jennie Candlish?

Sean Quinlan, with 1,665 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 216 (13%).

Is Jennie Candlish in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jennie Candlish's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 4,601 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jennie Candlish

4,613 runners in the lifetime window · 396 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.0% of 519 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 14 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

545–4,613

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=4,613

1,420 (31%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=4,601 · 0.88 incl. margin

−914.92

£1 level stake

n=4,611 at SP · −19.8%

£4.89m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (540 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,613 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 31.9% when favourite Sean Quinlan: 13% from 1,665 Claiming riders: 15.2% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (21.5%, n=107), Hexham (21.2%, n=113) and Nottingham (22.1%, n=68) — all clear of the yard's 11.8% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.2% (n=540, Fair A/E 1.19), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.9% (n=72, Fair A/E 1.22). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +161.88 to a £1 stake over 243 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sean Quinlan rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.2%, n=194). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Howden Handicap at Newmarket (May 2023, £51,540). The stable star of the record: Star Ascending (IRE) — 12 wins from 82 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%−3.3

n=811 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −243.43

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.9%−1.9

n=243 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +161.88

Debutants · first career start

8.1%−3.7

n=148 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −32.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.2%−3.6

n=171 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −34.22

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.4%−1.4

n=202 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −36.47

When favourite

31.9%

n=483 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −70.26

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.2%+3.4

n=540 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +7.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.9%−4.9

n=72 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +189.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.3% vs 11.8% · n=544

With Luke Scott 27.9% vs 11.8% · n=68

Off a 0-7-day break 23.2% vs 11.8% · n=194

At Newcastle 21.5% vs 11.8% · n=107

At Hexham 21.2% vs 11.8% · n=113

At Nottingham 22.1% vs 11.8% · n=68

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,100 239 11.4% −484.11

Flat 1,392 159 11.4% −287.82

Chase 921 126 13.7% −112.57

NH Flat 200 21 10.5% −30.42

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,517 193 12.7% −10.14

Soft 914 98 10.7% −337.99

Good to Soft 821 83 10.1% −254.20

Standard (AW) 593 64 10.8% −156.45

Heavy 419 61 14.6% −83.43

Good to Firm 339 44 13% −78.71

Firm 10 2 20% +6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 389 36 9.3% −77.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 312 35 11.2% −73.54

Sedgefield 281 48 17.1% −74.03

Bangor-on-Dee 251 32 12.7% −67.37

Carlisle 199 16 8% −118.42

Haydock 172 16 9.3% −77.65

Doncaster 157 12 7.6% −56.31

Wetherby 140 11 7.9% +119.00

Market Rasen 135 17 12.6% −16.09

Catterick 130 13 10% −50.19

Southwell 128 13 10.2% −40.78

Southwell (AW) 122 12 9.8% −29.88

Chester 121 16 13.2% +4.08

Hexham 113 24 21.2% −9.48

Leicester 109 10 9.2% −58.30

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,804 228 12.6% −400.50

Class 5 1,322 156 11.8% −370.68

Class 6 592 72 12.2% −110.22

Class 3 540 62 11.5% −111.88

Class 2 246 20 8.1% −87.34

Class 1 93 6 6.5% +177.50

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 565 176 31.2% 1.02 −55.80

2nd–3rd fav 1,151 220 19.1% 1.10 −52.62

4th–6th fav 1,438 107 7.4% 0.93 −287.00

7th+ in betting 1,457 41 2.8% 0.82 −519.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,250 153 12.2% −286.46

1m5f – 2m 1,195 137 11.5% −70.47

2m5f – 3m 760 97 12.8% −146.87

1m2f – 1m4f 420 38 9% −193.65

6f – 7f 388 45 11.6% −49.89

1m – 1m1f 248 26 10.5% −99.10

Over 3m 229 26 11.4% −98.18

Under 6f 123 23 18.7% +29.70

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 137 6 4.4% −58.70

2009 150 16 10.7% −12.42

2010 125 11 8.8% +152.25

2011 186 25 13.4% −22.84

2012 178 13 7.3% −75.12

2013 239 20 8.4% −138.96

2014 149 15 10.1% −52.85

2015 186 19 10.2% −52.79

2016 227 34 15% −30.62

2017 255 32 12.5% −41.66

2018 274 31 11.3% −109.94

2019 292 28 9.6% −87.44

2020 228 27 11.8% −25.80

2021 259 30 11.6% −103.34

2022 252 17 6.7% −85.85

2023 246 28 11.4% −80.07

2024 280 51 18.2% −29.15

2025 497 75 15.1% −74.75

2026 453 67 14.8% +15.13

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,430 422 12.3% −693.44

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,625 197 12.1% −259.32

11-13 runners 1,201 97 8.1% −286.40

5-7 runners 1,046 176 16.8% −131.15

14-16 runners 423 23 5.4% −217.92

17+ runners 160 11 6.9% +2.50

2-4 runners 157 40 25.5% −22.63

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.8% completed · 3,021 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 921 81.2% 27 19 123 1 3

Hurdle 2,100 89.3% 23 18 177 4 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Star Ascending (IRE)from Les Eyre 82 12 27 19 Aug 21

Maoi Chinn Tire (IRE)from J S Moore 62 10 19 10 Nov 17

Sleepy Haven (IRE)from David Barron 60 4 19 28 Feb 20

Show Palace (GB) 59 12 20 13 Oct 21

Basford Ben (GB) 56 7 24 9 Mar 18

Bryden Boy (IRE) 51 6 21 1 Apr 21

Theflyingportrait (IRE)from Michael Winters 51 10 20 30 Dec 20

Tanarpino (GB) 50 7 22 16 Apr 22

Zuckerberg (GER)from D Cottin 48 3 13 6 Dec 24

For Jim (IRE) 47 10 16 6 Sep 23

Granville Island (IRE) 45 8 17 9 Mar 19

Rosenpur (GER) 42 7 20 17 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 396 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 22 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Swinbank (2) and Charlie Appleby (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11111813121210141210119

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Quinlan

36% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Quinlan 1,665 216 13% −437.23

Alan O'Keeffe 471 47 10% +86.86

George Wood 215 29 13.5% −29.34

Joe Fanning 128 21 16.4% −11.00

Peter Carberry 111 11 9.9% −60.34

William Shanahan 82 11 13.4% +9.82

Lewis Stones 70 7 10% −14.34

Luke Scott 68 19 27.9% +29.47

Henry Brooke 55 5 9.1% −24.00

David Noonan 53 3 5.7% −5.50

Lewis Edmunds 52 5 9.6% +2.25

Darragh Keenan 50 6 12% +3.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

570

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.00m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 75 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Probe (GB) — Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · May 2023 · Class 2

£51,540

Alzahir (FR) — LK Bennett Butterfly Mark Heritage Handicap Ascot · Jul 2025 · Class 2

£51,540

Party Rock (IRE) — Alder Hey Children's Charity Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2016 · Grade 3

£28,135

Notable horses

Star Ascending (IRE) Show Palace (GB) Maoi Chinn Tire (IRE) Theflyingportrait (IRE) For Jim (IRE) Granville Island (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Multiplex (GB) 9.3% · 10–108

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).

Craigsteel (GB) 13.3% · 13–98

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Beneficial (GB) 10.8% · 10–93

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 15.1% · 14–93

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,298 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 27% · 24–89

Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,567 runs since 2018 (277 horses).

Milan (GB) 21.2% · 18–85

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,961 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,961 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Sedgefield Alidam (FR)J: I. J. Power Paxtons Pity Me Workshop Top Performance Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

13 Nov 26 Sedgefield Carthusian (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Christmas Parties At Sedgefield Racecourse Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/8

13 Nov 26 Sedgefield Last Man D'arcy (IRE)J: Luke Scott Sedgefield Christmas Jumper Raceday 22nd December Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 27f · Good · 5 ran 4th 12/1

13 Nov 26 Sedgefield In The Trenches (GB)J: Sean Quinlan Paxtons Northallerton Parts Team Power Performance Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 7/4

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Westerton (IRE)J: I. J. Power PricedUp BOG From 10am Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 9/2

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Redline (GB)J: George Wood Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 18/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Hot Moonstone (FR)J: George Wood Virgin Bet Cock O'The North EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 17/2

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Eagle Storm (GB)J: George Wood AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 28/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Peace Belle (GB)J: George Wood Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 11/4

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Tomarlo (GB)J: Luke Catton All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/2

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nymphaea (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 22/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Spirit Genie (IRE)J: George Wood Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 14/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster French Affair (IRE)J: Jason Hart William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Iconic Times (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Expert Analysis (IRE)J: Luke Scott Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 100/30

17 Oct 26 Catterick Midnight Strike (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 5th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Pergamon (FR)J: William Shanahan Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 100/30

17 Oct 26 Catterick Rosenpur (GER)J: Darragh Keenan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 6th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sprinting Speed (IRE)J: Jack Callan Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Candonomore (FR)J: Jack Callan Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 14 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 10 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1) · to 13 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jennie Candlish's strike rate?: Jennie Candlish has won 545 of 4,613 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jennie Candlish do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 24 wins from 113 runners (21.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jennie Candlish?: Sean Quinlan, with 1,665 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 216 (13%).
Is Jennie Candlish in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jennie Candlish's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 4,601 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.