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Trainer profile

John Norton

659 runners in the lifetime window · 79 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
16–659
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=659
71 (11%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=655 · 0.51 incl. margin
−529.50
£1 level stake
n=659 at SP · −80.3%
£122k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 659 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Paddy Aspell: 4.1% from 97
The read

The record is strongest at Sedgefield (6.5%, n=46), clear of the yard's 2.4% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.24 and −155.00 to a £1 stake over 161 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Paddy Aspell rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.1%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (5.6%, n=36). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.00 across 163 runners (0% strike, −163.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Flying Power (GB) — 6 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.6%−1.8
n=161 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −155.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.6%+1.2
n=28 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=42 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−0.5
n=315 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −254.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 6.5% vs 2.4% · n=62
At Sedgefield 6.5% vs 2.4% · n=46
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.2% vs 2.4% · n=134
In Class 4 5.1% vs 2.4% · n=118
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.4% · n=163
On Heavy going 5.6% vs 2.4% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 373 8 2.1% −313.50
Hurdle 219 7 3.2% −153.00
NH Flat 53 0 0% −53.00
Chase 14 1 7.1% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 215 5 2.3% −179.00
Good 159 3 1.9% −127.50
Soft 95 4 4.2% −65.50
Good to Soft 94 1 1.1% −88.00
Good to Firm 58 1 1.7% −54.00
Heavy 36 2 5.6% −13.50
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 117 5 4.3% −81.00
Southwell (AW) 59 0 0% −59.00
Wetherby 50 1 2% −43.00
Sedgefield 46 3 6.5% −23.50
Uttoxeter 41 1 2.4% −26.00
Newcastle (AW) 33 0 0% −33.00
Doncaster 32 1 3.1% −28.00
Newcastle 31 0 0% −31.00
Market Rasen 26 1 3.8% −22.00
Redcar 24 0 0% −24.00
Southwell 24 0 0% −24.00
Leicester 18 1 5.6% −5.00
Haydock 17 1 5.9% −10.50
Catterick 15 1 6.7% −5.50
Ripon 15 0 0% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 281 8 2.8% −207.00
Class 6 243 2 0.8% −229.00
Class 4 118 6 5.1% −76.50
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 7 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 3 23.1% 0.97 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 39 5 12.8% 0.87 −10.50
4th–6th fav 136 7 5.1% 0.85 −62.00
7th+ in betting 471 1 0.2% 0.10 −458.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Flying Power (GB)from David Lanigan 66 6 18 2 May 18
Naasik (GB) 38 0 4 7 Sep 23
Fiddler's Flight (IRE) 31 2 7 23 Mar 18
Gorey Lane (IRE) 26 2 8 15 Jan 17
Dakota Beat (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 21 1 1 11 Sep 25
Aljunood (IRE)from D K Weld 20 0 3 21 Feb 20
Muftakker (GB) 18 1 5 20 Jan 23
Quay Meadow (IRE) 18 2 5 4 Jan 12
Anniversarie (GB) 16 1 4 26 Apr 16
Deportation (GB) 16 0 2 9 Feb 16
Broadstone (GB)from Mrs John Harrington 15 0 0 25 Jul 26
Tranquil Tracy (GB) 15 0 0 21 Oct 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 79 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ollie Pears (2) and Richard Fahey (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
054002240068
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaddy Aspell
15% of all rides
4.1% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Paddy Aspell 97 4 4.1% −71.00
Colm McCormack 72 3 4.2% −40.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
25
Archived wins
£170k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Flying Power (GB) — Choose The Right Bookie At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2013 · Class 4
£4,690
Flying Power (GB) — 32Red Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Dec 2012 · Class 4
£4,205
Monjules (FR) — www.carpetgallop.co.uk 01785719991 Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Sedgefield · Nov 2021 · Class 4
£4,085
Notable horses
Flying Power (GB) Red River Rebel (GB) Fiddler's Flight (IRE) Gorey Lane (IRE) Quay Meadow (IRE) Trombone Tom (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dubai Destination (USA) 9.1% · 6–66
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Poet's Voice (GB) 0% · 0–51
Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Convinced (GB) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 7.7% of 39 runs since 2008 (4 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Beat Hollow (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Bated Breath (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,162 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 850.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 975 · newest first

The latest 50 of 975 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Oct 26 Newcastle Mystic Marie (GB)J: Conor Rabbitt Breeders' Cup On Sky Sports Racing Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 9th 250/1
26 Oct 26 Leicester Freewheelin (GB)J: Miss Lauren Sanders Aja Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 12f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 100/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Freewheelin (GB)J: James Sullivan Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 200/1
25 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Broadstone (GB)J: Matthew Lloyd Slater John Duncan Brack Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 125/1
21 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Freewheelin (GB)J: Miss Lauren Sanders Get Raceday Ready Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 200/1
09 Jul 26 Carlisle Broadstone (GB)J: Mark Winn Muckle HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 40/1
02 Jun 26 Newcastle (AW) Broadstone (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Living North Magazines Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 40/1
21 May 26 Southwell (AW) Freewheelin (GB)J: Miss Venetia Thompson Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 200/1
04 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Red Hatter (GB)J: Mark Winn Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 150/1
02 Mar 26 Southwell Steel Soldier (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 8/1
19 Feb 26 Huntingdon Steel Soldier (IRE)J: William Maggs Irish Thoroughbred Marketing At Huntingdon Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 40/1
05 Feb 26 Southwell (AW) Broadstone (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 18/1
27 Jan 26 Newcastle Steel Soldier (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Border Minstrel Sunday Lunch Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 50/1
22 Jan 26 Southwell (AW) Broadstone (GB)J: James Sullivan Midnite Aint Your Grandad's Bookie HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 20/1
20 Jan 26 Newcastle (AW) Cordelin (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 500/1
15 Jan 26 Newcastle Steel Soldier (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 80/1
06 Jan 26 Southwell (AW) Broadstone (GB)J: Mark Winn Make The Move To Midnite Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 28/1
29 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Cordelin (IRE)J: Aiden Brookes Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 200/1
28 Dec 25 Southwell (AW) Broadstone (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 66/1
27 Dec 25 Wetherby Steel Soldier (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Norton's strike rate?
John Norton has won 16 of 659 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Norton do best at?
Sedgefield by strike rate: 3 wins from 46 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Norton?
Paddy Aspell, with 97 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.1%).
Is John Norton in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Norton's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 655 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).