What is Lydia Richards's strike rate?

Lydia Richards has won 76 of 739 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lydia Richards do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 21 wins from 139 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Lydia Richards?

Marc Goldstein, with 190 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (12.1%).

Is Lydia Richards in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Lydia Richards's Fair A/E?

1.30, from 737 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Lydia Richards

739 runners in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

76–739

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=739

187 (25%)

Placed

1.30

Fair A/E

n=737 · 1.12 incl. margin

−84.41

£1 level stake

n=739 at SP · −11.4%

£511k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.30). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (92 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 739 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 46.7% when favourite Marc Goldstein: 12.1% from 190 Claiming riders: 12% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=161, Fair A/E 0.74). Marc Goldstein rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.1%, A/E 1.43) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (16.7%, n=120). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.8% over 56 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.65 across 96 runners (4.2% strike, −71.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Venetian Lad (GB) — 9 wins from 64 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.3%−6.0

n=161 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −105.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−6.0

n=23 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −19.25

Debutants · first career start

8%−2.3

n=25 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−3.6

n=30 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.4%−0.9

n=32 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −7.12

When favourite

46.7%

n=30 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +11.01

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12%+1.7

n=92 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −14.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.3

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.3% vs 10.3% · n=77

With C&D winners 17.5% vs 10.3% · n=171

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.8% vs 10.3% · n=56

In Chase races 16.7% vs 10.3% · n=120

Off a 61-180-day break 4.2% vs 10.3% · n=96

With Charles Bishop 2.9% vs 10.3% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 406 36 8.9% −49.92

Hurdle 176 17 9.7% −15.12

Chase 120 20 16.7% −12.37

NH Flat 37 3 8.1% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 314 31 9.9% −9.25

Good 155 17 11% −16.62

Good to Soft 103 14 13.6% +11.08

Soft 97 10 10.3% −25.87

Good to Firm 46 2 4.3% −27.00

Heavy 22 2 9.1% −14.75

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 148 20 13.5% −6.25

Fontwell 139 21 15.1% +27.63

Kempton (AW) 132 8 6.1% +14.00

Plumpton 64 8 12.5% −5.75

Chelmsford City (AW) 34 3 8.8% −17.00

Brighton 25 4 16% +9.33

Lingfield 24 0 0% −24.00

Windsor 19 1 5.3% −14.00

Wincanton 19 4 21.1% +4.25

Kempton 18 2 11.1% −6.50

Newbury 16 0 0% −16.00

Sandown 14 2 14.3% −1.12

Salisbury 13 0 0% −13.00

Goodwood 12 1 8.3% +11.00

Warwick 11 1 9.1% −2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 279 22 7.9% −32.42

Class 5 225 31 13.8% +20.63

Class 4 196 19 9.7% −56.25

Class 3 18 2 11.1% −4.25

Class 2 10 1 10% −7.12

Class 7 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 36 15 41.7% 1.56 +8.76

2nd–3rd fav 124 30 24.2% 1.48 +22.33

4th–6th fav 282 22 7.8% 1.09 −81.50

7th+ in betting 297 9 3% 1.04 −34.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 174 17 9.8% −53.17

1m5f – 2m 160 18 11.3% −8.00

2m5f – 3m 116 14 12.1% −14.24

2m1f – 2m4f 99 12 12.1% −20.75

Over 3m 71 11 15.5% +15.00

6f – 7f 58 3 5.2% +54.75

1m – 1m1f 56 1 1.8% −53.00

Under 6f 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 12 1 8.3% −5.00

2009 8 0 0% −8.00

2010 13 3 23.1% −2.75

2011 46 2 4.3% +84.00

2012 47 6 12.8% −17.75

2013 46 1 2.2% −40.00

2014 64 7 10.9% +6.00

2015 53 4 7.5% −15.00

2016 34 1 2.9% −25.00

2017 36 0 0% −36.00

2018 31 0 0% −31.00

2019 51 5 9.8% −9.62

2020 28 2 7.1% −12.75

2021 52 10 19.2% +8.25

2022 44 11 25% +10.75

2023 64 7 10.9% −10.75

2024 48 8 16.7% +9.38

2025 38 4 10.5% −6.17

2026 24 4 16.7% +17.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 571 71 12.4% −52.41

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 276 30 10.9% −24.67

11-13 runners 207 12 5.8% −18.25

5-7 runners 165 23 13.9% −21.12

14-16 runners 69 5 7.2% −21.25

2-4 runners 16 6 37.5% +6.88

17+ runners 6 0 0% −6.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Venetian Lad (GB) 64 9 21 4 Dec 17

Smith (IRE)from Eve Johnson Houghton 54 7 16 8 Oct 26

Murhib (IRE) 41 7 17 2 Jul 24

Good News (GB) 40 9 12 12 Feb 24

Certainly Red (GB) 35 7 16 7 Mar 26

Novel Dancer (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 33 4 7 20 Oct 15

Demoiselle Bond (GB) 32 3 6 1 Mar 14

Hong Kong Joe (GB) 29 0 6 31 May 18

Shalfa (IRE)from Marco Botti 28 6 12 24 May 26

City Tour (GB)from Mark Johnston 27 3 12 13 Nov 23

Aaly (GB) 24 1 5 18 Mar 17

Monsieur Fox (GB) 21 0 4 9 Oct 20

All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Michael Stoute (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111081313110212141013

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMarc Goldstein

26% of all rides
12.1% SR · A/E 1.43

RiderRWSR£1

Marc Goldstein 190 23 12.1% +4.88

Robert Havlin 90 14 15.6% −10.00

Charles Bishop 35 1 2.9% −29.00

Steve Drowne 33 2 6.1% +97.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£546k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Certainly Red (GB) — Sandown Park Veterans' Handicap Chase Sandown · Nov 2024 · Class 2

£15,609

Certainly Red (GB) — Dick Hunt 'Wigmore' Handicap Chase Wincanton · Feb 2023 · Class 3

£10,562

Division Day (GB) — Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) Goodwood · Oct 2026 · Class 4

£9,160

Notable horses

Venetian Lad (GB) Good News (GB) Smith (IRE) Murhib (IRE) Certainly Red (GB) Kappelhoff (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 17.4% · 25–144

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Dawn Approach (IRE) 13% · 7–54

Progeny have won 8% of 3,579 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 17.1% · 7–41

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,984 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Dansili (GB) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 9.4% · 3–32

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,982 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–29

Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,044 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 867 · newest first

The latest 50 of 867 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Birthday Angel (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 11/4

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Uptoyourselves (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 100/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Girls Night Out (GB)J: Charles Bishop Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 50/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Division Day (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 22/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Smith (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 6th 33/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Birthday Angel (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 3/1F

09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Birthday Angel (IRE)J: Jack Dace Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 4th 9/2

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Uptoyourselves (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Mares' Open National Hunt Flat RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 1/2F

04 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Division Day (GB)J: Robert Havlin Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Smith (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Syd Renwick 90th Birthday HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 33/1

06 Jun 26 Lingfield Birthday Angel (IRE)J: Tyler Heard attheraces.com/marketmovers HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 14/1

24 May 26 Fontwell Shalfa (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein V2 Radio Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/2

18 May 26 Lingfield Smith (IRE)J: Jack Dace Visit Sri Lanka HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

19 Apr 26 Plumpton Shalfa (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Diane And Harry's Plumpton Annual Box Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 16/5

05 Apr 26 Plumpton Smith (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein BetGoodwin Master Trainer Chris Gordon Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 28/1

05 Apr 26 Plumpton Shalfa (IRE)J: Marc Goldstein Charlotte Savill Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/2

24 Mar 26 Taunton My Louise (GB)J: Marc Goldstein Experience The Thrill With HotToTrot Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 17/2

07 Mar 26 Sandown Certainly Red (GB)J: Marc Goldstein Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 50/1

25 Feb 26 Wincanton Shalfa (IRE)J: Rex Dingle WinOlympics Family Day On Sale Now Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 11/2

23 Feb 26 Plumpton My Louise (GB)J: Rex Dingle oldgoldracing.com Supports Jamie's Farm Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Soft · 7 ran PU 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lydia Richards's strike rate?: Lydia Richards has won 76 of 739 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lydia Richards do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 21 wins from 139 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lydia Richards?: Marc Goldstein, with 190 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (12.1%).
Is Lydia Richards in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lydia Richards's Fair A/E?: 1.30, from 737 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.