What is Laura Mongan's strike rate?

Laura Mongan has won 132 of 2,111 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Laura Mongan do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 5 wins from 33 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Laura Mongan?

Ian Mongan, with 231 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.2%).

Is Laura Mongan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Laura Mongan's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 2,107 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Laura Mongan

2,111 runners in the lifetime window · 173 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 8 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

132–2,111

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=2,111

424 (20%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=2,107 · 0.77 incl. margin

−642.54

£1 level stake

n=2,111 at SP · −30.4%

£1.38m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). New recruits from other yards win at 8% first time out (99 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,111 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 18.9% when favourite Ian Mongan: 8.2% from 231 New recruits: 8.1% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Worcester (15.2%, n=33) and Folkestone (13.5%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.7% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.63). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −244.50 to a £1 stake over 444 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ian Mongan rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 0.89). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0.7% over 143 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2016, £396,970). The stable star of the record: Skidby Mill (IRE) — 9 wins from 63 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5%−1.3

n=441 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −171.62

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.1%+1.8

n=99 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −44.50

Debutants · first career start

1.7%−4.6

n=59 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −25.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.4%−0.9

n=56 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −8.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.2%−1.1

n=115 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −44.00

When favourite

18.9%

n=53 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −20.45

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.6%−2.7

n=444 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −244.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+6.2

n=24 · A/E 2.69 · £1 +27.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With George Baker 22.9% vs 6.3% · n=48

With Jim Crowley 16.7% vs 6.3% · n=48

With Fergus Sweeney 16.2% vs 6.3% · n=37

At Worcester 15.2% vs 6.3% · n=33

On Soft going 0.7% vs 6.3% · n=143

At Folkestone 13.5% vs 6.3% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,583 104 6.6% −456.21

Hurdle 359 17 4.7% −130.21

Chase 95 10 10.5% −16.12

NH Flat 74 1 1.4% −40.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,058 68 6.4% −388.75

Good 396 29 7.3% +37.25

Good to Firm 296 20 6.8% −94.25

Good to Soft 164 9 5.5% −57.12

Soft 143 1 0.7% −138.67

Heavy 47 4 8.5% −5.00

Firm 7 1 14.3% +4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield 560 41 7.3% −236.25

Kempton (AW) 363 19 5.2% −146.50

Fontwell 124 8 6.5% −18.71

Brighton 120 7 5.8% −71.17

Lingfield 116 8 6.9% −36.79

Chelmsford (AW) 107 7 6.5% +14.00

Epsom 84 1 1.2% −3.00

Windsor 75 3 4% −8.00

Plumpton 72 3 4.2% −40.50

Huntingdon 57 1 1.8% −52.50

Sandown 54 3 5.6% −21.00

Kempton 50 2 4% −28.00

Folkestone 37 5 13.5% +18.50

Newbury 34 1 2.9% −8.00

Worcester 33 5 15.2% +40.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 875 58 6.6% −283.67

Class 5 665 35 5.3% −275.92

Class 4 423 31 7.3% −130.95

Class 3 78 3 3.8% −20.00

Class 2 34 1 2.9% +47.00

Class 1 27 3 11.1% +24.50

Class 7 9 1 11.1% −3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 73 13 17.8% 0.69 −26.70

2nd–3rd fav 264 46 17.4% 1.11 −5.34

4th–6th fav 707 46 6.5% 0.86 −236.50

7th+ in betting 1,067 27 2.5% 0.82 −374.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 597 36 6% −213.37

1m5f – 2m 416 29 7% −107.92

6f – 7f 389 16 4.1% −185.75

1m – 1m1f 340 28 8.2% −63.17

2m1f – 2m4f 214 15 7% −22.83

2m5f – 3m 79 3 3.8% −23.50

Under 6f 40 3 7.5% −20.00

Over 3m 36 2 5.6% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 135 9 6.7% −39.12

2009 94 10 10.6% +29.50

2010 108 10 9.3% −26.21

2011 115 8 7% −21.67

2012 132 6 4.5% −44.50

2013 156 9 5.8% −70.00

2014 177 16 9% −17.25

2015 163 14 8.6% −75.75

2016 151 14 9.3% −4.25

2017 135 6 4.4% −47.42

2018 136 8 5.9% −70.62

2019 104 3 2.9% −52.50

2020 78 3 3.8% −57.00

2021 95 2 2.1% −71.00

2022 90 6 6.7% +92.00

2023 98 2 2% −88.25

2024 61 2 3.3% −23.00

2025 49 2 4.1% −34.00

2026 34 2 5.9% −21.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,618 114 7% −366.08

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 751 50 6.7% −184.42

11-13 runners 687 30 4.4% −339.50

5-7 runners 376 35 9.3% −139.12

14-16 runners 225 8 3.6% −32.00

17+ runners 37 3 8.1% +29.00

2-4 runners 35 6 17.1% +23.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Divine Rule (IRE)from Hughie Morrison 66 4 17 5 Mar 15

Skidby Mill (IRE)from Brian Rothwell 63 9 24 2 Nov 17

With Approval (IRE)from Charles Hills · then Karen Tutty 54 5 15 7 Aug 19

First Avenue (GB)from Gary Moore 50 5 12 18 Aug 16

Lady Lunchalot (USA)from J S Moore · then Polly Gundry 48 5 12 12 Nov 16

Musashi (IRE)from Tom Tate · then Jo Davis 45 3 9 29 May 12

Mount Mogan (GB)from Ed Walker 43 5 10 12 Sep 26

Hipz (IRE)from George Baker · then Ivan Furtado 41 4 12 20 Mar 17

Narjes (GB)from James Fanshawe · then Michael Appleby 39 3 13 28 Feb 20

Cossack Prince (GB)from Brian Meehan 38 3 6 5 Oct 13

Rosoff (IRE)from P J Rothwell 36 3 10 13 Jan 14

Black Medick (GB)from Richard Hannon 32 4 8 16 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 173 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan King (2) and Chris Wall (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Appleby (2) and Phil McEntee (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8711469446395

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderIan Mongan

11% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.89

RiderRWSR£1

Ian Mongan 231 19 8.2% −31.79

Tom Cannon 162 11 6.8% −27.62

Liam Jones 138 15 10.9% −2.00

Luke Morris 135 11 8.1% −8.00

William Carson 97 1 1% −16.00

Colin Bolger 86 3 3.5% −53.50

Charlotte Jenner 62 4 6.5% +6.50

Nathan Adams 61 3 4.9% −9.00

George Baker 48 11 22.9% +45.00

Jim Crowley 48 8 16.7% +15.75

Leighton Aspell 43 2 4.7% −32.00

Fergus Sweeney 37 6 16.2% +13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

153

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.51m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Harbour Law (GB) — Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Doncaster · Sep 2016 · Group 1

£396,970

First Avenue (GB) — Paddy Power Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Sandown · Mar 2013 · Listed

£39,865

Bowman (IRE) — Cazoo Derby Festival Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2022 · Class 2

£30,924

Notable horses

Skidby Mill (IRE) Alsadaa (USA) With Approval (IRE) First Avenue (GB) Lady Lunchalot (USA) Mount Mogan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cacique (IRE) 6.1% · 4–66

Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,500 runs since 2010 (107 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 17% from 135. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 173.

Ramonti (FR) 14.3% · 9–63

Progeny have won 9.9% of 192 runs since 2012 (21 horses).

Montjeu (IRE) 10% · 6–60

Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.

Approve (IRE) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,687 runs since 2014 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 554.

More Than Ready (USA) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,721 runs since 2008 (180 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.5% from 122.

Hawk Wing (USA) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,406 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,406 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Panama Black (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 40/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Cheese (GB)J: Tom Cannon Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Lunar Power (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 50/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Panama Black (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 15/2

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Beta Reader (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 8th 50/1

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Case Study (GB)J: Luke Morris Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 125/1

12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Mount Mogan (GB)J: Luke Morris Happy 60th Jacqueline Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) It'sbeenemotional (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 125/1

17 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Beta Reader (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1

10 Aug 26 Windsor Gift Box (GB)J: William Carson Fitzdares Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 80/1

30 Jul 26 Epsom Mount Mogan (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Spillers Spectacular Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 66/1

06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Laurasia (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Follow attheraces On Instagram HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 16/1

06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Lunar Power (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Download The At The Races App Selling HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 33/1

01 Jul 26 Epsom Downs Beta Reader (GB)J: Rose Dawes Betfred 'Bet Builder' Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 8th 40/1

22 Jun 26 Windsor Laurasia (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Vnetrix Cyber Security Solutions HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 80/1

04 Jun 26 Lingfield (AW) Laurasia (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Follow AtTheRaces On X HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 100/1

04 Jun 26 Lingfield (AW) Secret Road (IRE)J: Luke Morris Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 50/1

01 Jun 26 Lingfield (AW) Secret Road (IRE)J: Luke Morris Free Tips On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 28/1

18 May 26 Lingfield Lunar Power (IRE)J: William Carson Visit Sri Lanka HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 17/2

18 May 26 Lingfield Panama Black (IRE)J: William Carson Sporting Times HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 8th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Laura Mongan's strike rate?: Laura Mongan has won 132 of 2,111 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Laura Mongan do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 5 wins from 33 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Laura Mongan?: Ian Mongan, with 231 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (8.2%).
Is Laura Mongan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Laura Mongan's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 2,107 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.