What is Nick Littmoden's strike rate?

Nick Littmoden has won 126 of 1,408 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nick Littmoden do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 32 wins from 227 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nick Littmoden?

Luke Morris, with 94 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.3%).

Is Nick Littmoden in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nick Littmoden's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,396 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nick Littmoden

1,408 runners in the lifetime window · 199 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

126–1,408

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=1,408

340 (24%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,396 · 0.86 incl. margin

−337.68

£1 level stake

n=1,404 at SP · −24.1%

£1.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,408 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 38.9% when favourite Luke Morris: 4.3% from 94 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (14.1%, n=227), clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. It is weakest at Huntingdon (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.48). Luke Morris rides 7% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.3% vs 8.9%, A/E 0.43). The yard also reads well in Chase races (22%, n=41). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du President de la Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2023, £101,549). The stable star of the record: Lord Theo (GB) — 8 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−1.8

n=253 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −71.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.9%−1.0

n=76 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −20.62

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−2.2

n=105 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −5.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−2.6

n=79 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −40.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.9%−6.0

n=34 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −25.60

When favourite

38.9%

n=90 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +17.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−1.2

n=324 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −57.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.7%−5.2

n=54 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −37.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.9% vs 8.9% · n=129

In Chase races 22% vs 8.9% · n=41

With George Baker 17.9% vs 8.9% · n=39

At Huntingdon 0% vs 8.9% · n=30

At Wolverhampton (AW) 14.1% vs 8.9% · n=227

At Yarmouth 2% vs 8.9% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,228 109 8.9% −419.96

Hurdle 111 8 7.2% +63.08

Chase 41 9 22% +47.20

NH Flat 28 0 0% −28.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 777 79 10.2% −264.73

Good 222 11 5% −47.93

Good to Firm 208 14 6.7% −64.00

Soft 86 9 10.5% −15.80

Good to Soft 83 10 12% +41.58

Heavy 23 3 13% +22.20

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield 289 35 12.1% −93.39

Wolverhampton (AW) 227 32 14.1% +15.76

Kempton (AW) 151 6 4% −122.90

Newmarket 66 5 7.6% −20.00

Chelmsford (AW) 55 2 3.6% −38.50

Yarmouth 51 1 2% −46.00

Newmarket 42 1 2.4% −25.00

Southwell (AW) 39 2 5.1% −27.00

Huntingdon 30 0 0% −30.00

Auteuil (FR) 27 4 14.8% +19.20

Brighton 27 4 14.8% +0.07

Lingfield 25 2 8% −15.25

Fakenham 25 5 20% +6.13

Windsor 24 1 4.2% −7.00

Nottingham 21 0 0% −21.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 469 47 10% −135.60

Class 6 393 40 10.2% −98.27

Class 4 268 18 6.7% −136.46

Class 2 87 5 5.7% +38.00

Class 3 68 4 5.9% −28.25

Class 1 54 2 3.7% −37.00

Class 7 11 1 9.1% +15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 108 37 34.3% 1.15 +6.52

2nd–3rd fav 261 38 14.6% 0.91 −57.30

4th–6th fav 450 34 7.6% 1.01 −98.90

7th+ in betting 585 16 2.7% 0.87 −188.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 490 42 8.6% −137.40

1m2f – 1m4f 312 35 11.2% −58.92

1m – 1m1f 245 15 6.1% −126.88

1m5f – 2m 162 14 8.6% −71.20

Under 6f 121 9 7.4% −77.68

2m1f – 2m4f 50 6 12% +32.05

2m5f – 3m 25 5 20% +105.35

Over 3m 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 177 13 7.3% −116.55

2009 147 9 6.1% −89.50

2010 124 8 6.5% −60.50

2011 81 4 4.9% +5.25

2012 70 13 18.6% +8.98

2013 85 6 7.1% −33.50

2014 159 17 10.7% −47.04

2015 102 9 8.8% +29.00

2017 8 0 0% −8.00

2018 68 7 10.3% −27.09

2019 111 11 9.9% +34.82

2020 83 9 10.8% −16.80

2021 36 5 13.9% −9.95

2022 21 3 14.3% +12.00

2023 24 3 12.5% +6.90

2024 30 3 10% +13.60

2025 56 4 7.1% −29.30

2026 26 2 7.7% −10.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 910 97 10.7% −55.63

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 458 46 10% −112.01

11-13 runners 437 29 6.6% −62.17

5-7 runners 286 32 11.2% −105.29

14-16 runners 152 5 3.3% −64.50

17+ runners 45 5 11.1% +8.70

2-4 runners 29 8 27.6% −2.41

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lord Theo (GB)from Dean Ivory 65 7 18 7 Mar 12

Penbryn (USA) 38 3 13 3 Feb 14

Orpsie Boy (IRE)then Ruth Carr 34 2 9 20 May 10

Spreadable (IRE) 31 4 8 3 Jun 15

Millibar (IRE) 29 3 11 28 Dec 12

Wavertree Warrior (IRE) 29 1 7 21 Jan 11

Grey D'ars (FR)from T Lemer 24 1 7 4 Dec 24

Glutnforpunishment (GB)then Lucy Wadham 23 4 6 17 Nov 20

Fearsome (GB)from Ralph Beckett 23 7 9 29 Jun 19

Kindlelight Storm (USA)then John Butler 23 5 9 28 Jan 15

Captain Speaking (FR) 22 5 7 22 Dec 24

Valkyrie (IRE) 22 0 7 25 Jun 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 199 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Harrison (3) and Richard Spencer (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Robyn Brisland (6) and John Butler (3); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

15131155103978913

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLuke Morris

7% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.43

RiderRWSR£1

Luke Morris 94 4 4.3% −80.56

Jack Quinlan 93 6 6.5% +40.85

J-P Guillambert 79 3 3.8% −40.00

J F Egan 60 6 10% +10.00

James Doyle 55 3 5.5% −30.75

Kirsty Milczarek 50 6 12% −23.75

Tom McLaughlin 42 4 9.5% −29.62

Jim Crowley 40 6 15% −22.98

George Baker 39 7 17.9% −2.55

Seb Sanders 37 5 13.5% +0.50

Jordan Vaughan 31 4 12.9% +1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

230

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.23m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 44 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Imperil (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2023 · Grade 3

£101,549

Captain Speaking (FR) — Prix Saint Sauveur (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2022 · Listed

£35,924

One More Round (USA) — Totesport Heritage Handicap Windsor · Jul 2006 · Class 2

£31,160

Notable horses

Lord Theo (GB) Kindlelight Debut (GB) Wavertree Warrior (IRE) Orpsie Boy (IRE) Fearsome (GB) Ninth House (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Averti (IRE) 10.8% · 7–65

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,137 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.6% from 110. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.6% from 140. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 5.6% from 162.

No Risk At All (FR) 20% · 9–45

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,136 runs since 2008 (436 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 945.

Orpen (USA) 5.3% · 2–38

Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

Pivotal (GB) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,788 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Oasis Dream (GB) 20.6% · 7–34

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,024 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Equiano (FR) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,606 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,606 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kiss Don't Tell (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Secret Message (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 50/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Secret Message (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 300/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Green Team (FR)J: Kyle McHugh attheraces.com/market Movers Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 18/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Kyle McHugh JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 16/1

17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Launchpad (IRE)J: George Wood Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1

09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Secret Message (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet/breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 200/1

01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Miss Grace Littmoden Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 18/1

26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Launchpad (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 150/1

20 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Ryan Kavanagh Air Cool Engineering Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 22/1

15 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Launchpad (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 22/1

11 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Luke Morris Smarter Gambling Starts At gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 6/1

03 Aug 26 Windsor Green Team (FR)J: Miss Grace Littmoden A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 7/1

27 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Pic N Mix (FR)J: Jonny Peate Prestige Safety First Aid Training Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 300/1

13 Jul 26 Windsor Launchpad (IRE)J: Luke Morris Ambrose Loves Reggae EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 150/1

20 Jun 26 Nottingham Ramli (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Training Series Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

01 Jun 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ramli (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Race And Rest At The Holiday Inn Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/2

29 May 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Green Team (FR)J: Miss Grace Littmoden Download The At The Races App Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 17/2

25 May 26 Huntingdon Land Of Dreams (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 25/1

21 May 26 Southwell (AW) Green Team (FR)J: Miss Grace Littmoden Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 26 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nick Littmoden's strike rate?: Nick Littmoden has won 126 of 1,408 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nick Littmoden do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 32 wins from 227 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nick Littmoden?: Luke Morris, with 94 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.3%).
Is Nick Littmoden in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nick Littmoden's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,396 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.