What is P D Deegan's strike rate?

P D Deegan has won 153 of 1,852 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P D Deegan do best at?

Listowel by strike rate: 9 wins from 50 runners (18%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P D Deegan?

Chris Hayes, with 574 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 62 (10.8%).

What is P D Deegan's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 1,847 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P D Deegan

1,852 runners in the lifetime window · 254 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Mar 2018 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

153–1,852

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=1,852

481 (26%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=1,847 · 0.79 incl. margin

−488.72

£1 level stake

n=1,852 at SP · −26.4%

£2.76m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 170 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (269 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,852 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 11.5% 29.8% when favourite Chris Hayes: 10.8% from 574 Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Listowel (18%, n=50), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Killarney (0% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.5% (n=269, Fair A/E 1.41). Debutants are the standout value angle: 8.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.58 and +1.83 to a £1 stake over 214 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 7.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −66.87 to a £1 stake over 166 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Chris Hayes rode 31% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.8% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (15.1%, n=53) and off a break of 180+ days (14%, n=107). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes at Fairyhouse (Sep 2010, £74,000). The stable star of the record was Midnight Soprano (IRE) — 8 wins from 17 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.5%+3.2

n=269 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −17.35

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.6%−2.7

n=36 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −5.50

Debutants · first career start

8.4%+0.1

n=214 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +1.83

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%+0.8

n=154 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +1.07

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.4%−1.9

n=78 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −6.00

When favourite

29.8%

n=104 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −13.93

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.3%−2.0

n=347 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −102.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−0.5

n=166 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −66.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.2% vs 8.3% · n=143

With Fran Berry 19.4% vs 8.3% · n=36

At Listowel 18% vs 8.3% · n=50

At Killarney 0% vs 8.3% · n=46

Over 1m5f – 2m 15.1% vs 8.3% · n=53

Off a break of 180+ days 14% vs 8.3% · n=107

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,835 151 8.2% −482.72

Hurdle 17 2 11.8% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 460 48 10.4% −126.69

Soft 416 34 8.2% −79.42

Good 328 19 5.8% −88.50

Good to Firm 279 15 5.4% −120.16

Heavy 223 22 9.9% −92.45

Good to Soft 118 13 11% +23.00

Firm 28 2 7.1% −4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 455 48 10.5% −121.69

Curragh 284 24 8.5% −17.30

Leopardstown 169 11 6.5% +24.62

Naas 123 9 7.3% −49.12

Gowran Park 89 5 5.6% −48.75

Navan 83 4 4.8% −34.50

Cork 82 8 9.8% −28.27

Tipperary 73 5 6.8% −48.82

Fairyhouse 64 5 7.8% −25.62

Roscommon 58 3 5.2% −30.00

Listowel 50 9 18% +54.25

Killarney 46 0 0% −46.00

Sligo 44 1 2.3% −35.00

Down Royal 43 5 11.6% +8.00

Limerick 37 2 5.4% −31.27

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 166 13 7.8% −66.87

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 137 42 30.7% 1.20 −1.43

2nd–3rd fav 331 44 13.3% 0.94 −98.29

4th–6th fav 584 41 7% 0.90 −170.00

7th+ in betting 800 26 3.3% 0.90 −219.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Srucahan (IRE) 39 5 14 28 Jun 14

Fast In The Wind (IRE) 37 2 11 13 Sep 16

Papa's Way (IRE) 34 6 13 9 Oct 16

Sruthan (IRE) 27 6 11 1 Oct 17

Aussie Valentine (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 27 3 11 13 Sep 17

Caprella (GB) 25 1 8 6 Aug 14

Daffodil Walk (IRE) 24 2 8 31 Oct 10

Three Majors (IRE)then Anthony McCann 22 2 6 3 Feb 17

Eight And Bob (GB)then W P Mullins 21 1 1 13 Aug 17

Talitha Kum (IRE) 21 3 5 16 Sep 14

Live Twice (GB) 20 0 6 6 Oct 17

Melanippe (IRE) 20 3 7 16 Jul 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 254 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J G Burns (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2171711787412663

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderChris Hayes

31% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Chris Hayes 574 62 10.8% −146.78

Willie Supple 378 37 9.8% −9.44

Kieran O'Neill 90 4 4.4% −29.00

Colm O'Donoghue 82 6 7.3% −24.75

Conor Hoban 77 4 5.2% +4.50

Pat Smullen 63 3 4.8% −45.50

Philip Donovan 43 1 2.3% −39.50

Ronan Whelan 37 5 13.5% +0.62

Kevin Manning 37 4 10.8% −5.18

Fran Berry 36 7 19.4% +18.23

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

156

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.82m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 23 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Stand To Attention (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes Fairyhouse · Sep 2010

£74,000

Sruthan (IRE) — Tote Irish Lincolnshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Mar 2016

£59,000

Midnight Soprano (IRE) — Cork Racecourse Mallow Noblesse Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Cork · Jun 2013 · Group 3

£48,750

Notable horses

Midnight Soprano (IRE) Papa's Way (IRE) Sruthan (IRE) Srucahan (IRE) Le Citadel (USA) Celtic Soprano (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kheleyf (USA) 7.1% · 8–112

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Big Bad Bob (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).

Captain Rio (GB) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Arakan (USA) 13.7% · 7–51

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 4.3% · 2–46

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Shirocco (GER) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,182 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,922 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,922 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 July 2006 to 16 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) Let It Go Papa (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Kellihers Electrical Handicap8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

16 Mar 18 Dundalk (AW) You Will Do For Me (USA)J: Colm O'Donoghue Bk Forklifts Handicap (45-65)12f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 16/1

08 Dec 17 Dundalk (AW) Let It Go Papa (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Christmas Party Packages At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap (45-70) (Plus 10)6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 50/1

08 Dec 17 Dundalk (AW) Fearaun (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Winter Series At Dundalk 2018 Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1

01 Dec 17 Dundalk (AW) Let It Go Papa (IRE)J: Rory Cleary www.dundalkstadium.com Maiden (Plus 10)5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1

24 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Santal (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 33/1

10 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Let It Go Papa (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Light Up Your Night At Dundalk Stadium (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 66/1

05 Nov 17 Naas Let It Go Papa (IRE)J: Colm O'Donoghue Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden6f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 25/1

01 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Run The Day (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1

24 Oct 17 Fairyhouse Ellona (IRE)J: Pat Smullen Shelbourne F.C. Race Day Nursery Handicap (50-70)6f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 9/4F

20 Oct 17 Dundalk (AW) Magwadiri (IRE)J: Colm O'Donoghue Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 7/2

11 Oct 17 Gowran Park Ellona (IRE)J: Pat Smullen Gowran Park Racing Club Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)7f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 5/1

11 Oct 17 Gowran Park Cracking Name (IRE)J: Ross Coakley www.gowranpark.ie Handicap (45-70)8f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 10/1

08 Oct 17 Navan Mm Sixsevei (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Plus 10)6f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 4th 33/1

06 Oct 17 Dundalk (AW) Magwadiri (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 8/1

06 Oct 17 Dundalk (AW) Live Twice (GB)J: Ronan Whelan Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Claiming Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 16/1

04 Oct 17 Naas Ellona (IRE)J: Chris Hayes naasracecourse.com Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)8f · Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

03 Oct 17 Dundalk (AW) Guthanna Gaoithe (GB)J: Shane Foley Bar One Racing Price Boosts Daily In Our Shops Fillies Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 40/1

03 Oct 17 Dundalk (AW) Live Twice (GB)J: Chris Hayes Bar One Racing Price Boosts Daily In Our Shops Fillies Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 25/1

01 Oct 17 Tipperary Sruthan (IRE)J: Shane Foley Coolmore Stud Home Of Champions Concorde Stakes (Group 3)7.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P D Deegan's strike rate?: P D Deegan has won 153 of 1,852 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P D Deegan do best at?: Listowel by strike rate: 9 wins from 50 runners (18%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P D Deegan?: Chris Hayes, with 574 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 62 (10.8%).
What is P D Deegan's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 1,847 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.