What is Sandy Thomson's strike rate?

Sandy Thomson has won 243 of 1,831 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sandy Thomson do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 44 wins from 245 runners (18%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sandy Thomson?

Ryan Mania, with 766 runners since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 125 (16.3%).

What is Sandy Thomson's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,828 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sandy Thomson

1,831 runners in the lifetime window · 192 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 120 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

243–1,831

Wins / Runs

13.3%

Strike rate

n=1,831

594 (32%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,828 · 0.89 incl. margin

−127.84

£1 level stake

n=1,831 at SP · −7.0%

£3.12m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 16% (77 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,831 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 33.8% when favourite Ryan Mania: 16.3% from 766 Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

It is weakest at Perth (7.1% over 140 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 7.1% (n=112, Fair A/E 0.70). Ryan Mania rides 42% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16.3% vs 13.3%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 6.2% over 113 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr (Apr 2026, £56,319). The stable star of the record: Seeyouatmidnight (GB) — 9 wins from 21 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.5%−1.8

n=564 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −84.91

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−6.2

n=112 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −64.00

Debutants · first career start

14.1%+0.8

n=85 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +66.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.6%+2.3

n=77 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +56.71

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.3%−1.0

n=73 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −19.00

When favourite

33.8%

n=240 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −8.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%−3.3

n=468 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −59.41

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.3%−1.0

n=73 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +48.88

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 21.1% vs 13.3% · n=227

With Brian Hughes 21.4% vs 13.3% · n=112

On last-time-out winners 19.8% vs 13.3% · n=232

Off a 8-14-day break 6.2% vs 13.3% · n=113

With Lewis Dobb 4.5% vs 13.3% · n=44

At Perth 7.1% vs 13.3% · n=140

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 929 109 11.7% −125.35

Chase 767 116 15.1% +26.98

NH Flat 119 18 15.1% −13.47

Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 530 75 14.2% +18.25

Good to Soft 520 65 12.5% −121.21

Good 496 58 11.7% −48.44

Heavy 250 41 16.4% +41.31

Good to Firm 24 3 12.5% −8.75

Standard (AW) 11 1 9.1% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 398 62 15.6% −21.10

Ayr 252 32 12.7% −107.17

Musselburgh 245 44 18% +4.89

Newcastle 178 29 16.3% +131.02

Carlisle 166 21 12.7% +8.49

Hexham 149 15 10.1% +16.50

Perth 140 10 7.1% −68.75

Wetherby 56 7 12.5% +9.75

Haydock 46 4 8.7% −22.50

Sedgefield 38 4 10.5% −13.67

Catterick 28 5 17.9% −0.80

Aintree 26 1 3.8% −13.00

Cartmel 23 1 4.3% −17.00

Doncaster 23 0 0% −23.00

Southwell 12 2 16.7% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 778 101 13% −53.97

Class 5 375 56 14.9% −23.56

Class 3 364 48 13.2% −55.44

Class 2 190 23 12.1% −32.70

Class 1 89 9 10.1% +32.88

Class 6 35 6 17.1% +4.95

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 268 90 33.6% 1.12 −2.51

2nd–3rd fav 534 90 16.9% 0.98 −81.83

4th–6th fav 586 43 7.3% 0.88 −149.50

7th+ in betting 443 20 4.5% 1.22 +106.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 611 90 14.7% −26.27

2m1f – 2m4f 584 69 11.8% −157.83

1m5f – 2m 414 61 14.7% +76.17

Over 3m 211 23 10.9% −8.91

1m2f – 1m4f 7 0 0% −7.00

1m – 1m1f 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 2 0 0% −2.00

2009 17 0 0% −17.00

2010 26 3 11.5% +33.50

2011 25 2 8% −8.00

2012 25 1 4% −23.09

2013 46 4 8.7% +62.00

2014 56 12 21.4% +49.75

2015 90 10 11.1% −40.11

2016 100 19 19% −21.57

2017 95 18 18.9% +88.31

2018 114 11 9.6% −22.88

2019 118 11 9.3% −57.70

2020 153 30 19.6% +66.13

2021 175 26 14.9% −50.79

2022 186 28 15.1% −12.74

2023 148 17 11.5% −58.27

2024 217 25 11.5% −64.71

2025 156 9 5.8% −60.67

2026 82 17 20.7% +12.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,288 167 13% −168.12

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 640 74 11.6% −36.92

5-7 runners 513 85 16.6% −75.68

11-13 runners 421 45 10.7% −18.21

14-16 runners 147 17 11.6% +37.75

2-4 runners 70 22 31.4% +5.22

17+ runners 40 0 0% −40.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83% completed · 1,696 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 767 76.9% 35 15 124 2 1

Hurdle 929 87.9% 22 4 85 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Blue Kascade (IRE) 45 7 13 7 Dec 20

Buckled (GB)from Patrick Chamings 43 5 9 1 Jul 21

Harry The Viking (GB)from Paul Nicholls 32 3 12 1 Feb 20

Cedar Hill (IRE)from Iain Jardine 31 7 13 14 Jun 24

John Williams (IRE)from William Amos 30 5 11 17 Jan 20

Arthurs Secret (GB)from John Quinn 28 1 9 26 Aug 20

Theirshegoes (IRE)then Mrs A M Thomson 27 2 6 21 Jun 26

Seldom Inn (GB) 26 5 11 28 May 18

Empire Steel (IRE) 25 6 9 8 Mar 26

The Ferry Master (IRE) 25 4 10 28 Jan 24

Benson (GB)from Dr Richard Newland 24 3 6 8 Nov 25

Donna's Delight (IRE)from Chris Grant 24 4 11 30 Mar 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 192 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from R Mike Smith (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs A M Thomson (6) and James Owen (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

211413791412510101318

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRyan Mania

42% of all rides
16.3% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Ryan Mania 766 125 16.3% +108.96

Rachael McDonald 174 18 10.3% −22.07

Brian Hughes 112 24 21.4% +9.66

Steven Fox 72 10 13.9% −5.85

Danny McMenamin 61 9 14.8% −6.67

Derek Fox 44 3 6.8% −30.50

Lewis Dobb 44 2 4.5% −36.50

Jamie Hamilton 39 3 7.7% −26.50

Craig Nichol 39 2 5.1% −18.00

Sean Quinlan 35 3 8.6% −10.75

Danny Cook 34 7 20.6% +27.55

Patrick Wadge 33 6 18.2% +13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

243

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.12m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 30 wins

Dedicated Hero (IRE) — Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Grade 2

£56,319

Benson (GB) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£51,440

Seeyouatmidnight (GB) — Unibet Veterans' Handicap Chase Sandown · Jan 2021 · Class 2

£43,330

Notable horses

Seeyouatmidnight (GB) Blue Kascade (IRE) Cedar Hill (IRE) Empire Steel (IRE) Marty Mcfly (IRE) Brotherly Company (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 20.2% · 17–84

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 9.9% · 7–71

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,949 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Getaway (GER) 24.6% · 14–57

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,971 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Beat Hollow (GB) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Kaieteur (USA) 15.6% · 7–45

Progeny have won 7.4% of 136 runs since 2010 (13 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 9.1% · 4–44

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,831 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,831 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 November 2008 to 6 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Jul 26 Ayr Flying Moonlight (IRE)J: James Sullivan Try Racing TV For Free Now HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

25 Jun 26 Hamilton Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Indigo Unified Comms Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 9f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 28/1

21 Jun 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 9/2

21 Jun 26 Hexham Theirshegoes (IRE)J: Gregor Walkingshaw L & R Pest Control Services Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 16/1

19 Jun 26 Ayr Flying Moonlight (IRE)J: Jamie Gormley Outcider HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

10 Jun 26 Hamilton Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Robert Graham Millar Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 16/1

06 Jun 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Tricia Hughes Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

24 May 26 Kelso Theirshegoes (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson J.A. Wilson Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 7th 9/1

24 May 26 Kelso Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge J.A. Wilson Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 5th 15/2

21 May 26 Haydock Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Pitch Perfect EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 22/1

09 May 26 Hexham Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Paxtons Number 1 For Case IH Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 11/2

06 May 26 Kelso Rememberthename (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 5/2

02 May 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Winchcombe Working Mens FC Tour 2026 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 11/2

02 May 26 Hexham Rob Roy Macgregor (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge drainrat.co.uk Rat Entry Diagnosis Specialist Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 13 ran 5th 5/1

22 Apr 26 Perth Aeros Luck (IRE)J: William Maggs Bedmax Capercaillie Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

20 Apr 26 Kelso Eagle Warrior (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Racing TV Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/3

20 Apr 26 Kelso Rememberthename (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 1st 7/4F

20 Apr 26 Kelso Wolfburg (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Reg And Betty Tweedie Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st EvensF

18 Apr 26 Ayr Dedicated Hero (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 12/1

17 Apr 26 Ayr I Am Max (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sandy Thomson's strike rate?: Sandy Thomson has won 243 of 1,831 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sandy Thomson do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 44 wins from 245 runners (18%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sandy Thomson?: Ryan Mania, with 766 runners since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 125 (16.3%).
What is Sandy Thomson's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,828 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.