Sir Michael Stoute
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 340 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 19% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).
The record is strongest at Thirsk (38.5%, n=39), Newcastle (AW) (34.3%, n=70) and Beverley (32.7%, n=52) — all clear of the yard's 18.8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 9.3% (n=1,044, Fair A/E 0.81). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 12.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −77.36 to a £1 stake over 214 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ryan Moore rides 38% of the entries and edges the yard's average (21.4% vs 18.8%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. 321 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2010, £2,022,655). The stable star of the record: Mustashry (GB) — 9 wins from 21 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 18.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,989 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,989 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 April 2005 to 6 November 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sir Michael Stoute's strike rate?
- Sir Michael Stoute has won 1,229 of 6,528 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sir Michael Stoute do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 62 wins from 232 runners (26.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Sir Michael Stoute?
- Ryan Moore, with 2,485 runners since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 533 (21.4%).
- What is Sir Michael Stoute's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 6,484 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.