What is Thomas Mullins's strike rate?

Thomas Mullins has won 274 of 3,170 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Thomas Mullins do best at?

Galway by strike rate: 27 wins from 179 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Thomas Mullins?

David Mullins, with 342 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (9.4%).

Is Thomas Mullins in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Thomas Mullins's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 3,170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Thomas Mullins

3,170 runners in the lifetime window · 209 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

274–3,170

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=3,170

780 (25%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=3,170 · 0.86 incl. margin

−827.52

£1 level stake

n=3,170 at SP · −26.1%

£5.45m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,170 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 34.8% when favourite David Mullins: 9.4% from 342 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Galway (15.1%, n=179), clear of the yard's 8.6% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (3.4% over 176 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 5% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.75). Debutants are the standout value angle: 8.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.35 and +42.01 to a £1 stake over 173 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David Mullins rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. 37 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Whitewater Champion Stayers' Hurdle at Punchestown (Apr 2006, £124,000). The stable star of the record: Fosters Cross (IRE) — 13 wins from 104 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.4%−2.2

n=514 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −220.04

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%−3.3

n=19 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −10.00

Debutants · first career start

8.1%−0.5

n=173 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +42.01

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−2.7

n=85 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −25.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5%−3.6

n=101 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −59.50

When favourite

34.8%

n=224 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +4.73

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−1.6

n=1,094 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −286.39

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.3%−1.3

n=409 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −121.46

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Davy Russell 20.2% vs 8.6% · n=114

With Mr P W Mullins 19.6% vs 8.6% · n=51

At Galway 15.1% vs 8.6% · n=179

With J M Sheridan 16.2% vs 8.6% · n=37

At Curragh 3.4% vs 8.6% · n=176

With Mark Walsh 13.6% vs 8.6% · n=184

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,391 129 9.3% −462.22

Flat 1,053 77 7.3% −149.12

Chase 460 44 9.6% −128.68

NH Flat 266 24 9% −87.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,224 101 8.3% −355.41

Good 760 78 10.3% −64.59

Heavy 600 48 8% −228.18

Good to Soft 286 19 6.6% −126.68

Good to Firm 154 16 10.4% −40.14

Standard (AW) 138 10 7.2% −12.25

Firm 8 2 25% −0.27

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Leopardstown 391 31 7.9% +17.50

Punchestown 377 29 7.7% −161.07

Fairyhouse 267 23 8.6% −46.49

Naas 224 16 7.1% −117.90

Galway 179 27 15.1% +53.26

Curragh 176 6 3.4% −114.00

Cork 175 13 7.4% −120.95

Gowran Park 168 10 6% −49.97

Navan 147 16 10.9% −28.10

Dundalk (AW) 137 10 7.3% −11.25

Clonmel 121 15 12.4% −23.87

Killarney 118 15 12.7% +9.80

Thurles 108 6 5.6% −72.07

Tipperary 80 8 10% −40.75

Ballinrobe 76 10 13.2% +24.63

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 432 32 7.4% −119.46

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 272 88 32.4% 1.25 +6.31

2nd–3rd fav 525 81 15.4% 1.11 −57.83

4th–6th fav 869 65 7.5% 1.05 −162.00

7th+ in betting 1,504 40 2.7% 0.87 −614.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 1,178 111 9.4% −285.55

2m1f – 2m4f 735 69 9.4% −301.81

2m5f – 3m 348 27 7.8% −116.79

6f – 7f 292 23 7.9% +44.75

1m – 1m1f 273 14 5.1% −132.50

1m2f – 1m4f 237 18 7.6% −24.12

Under 6f 55 8 14.5% +3.50

Over 3m 52 4 7.7% −15.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 204 20 9.8% −98.95

2009 198 20 10.1% −81.93

2010 138 9 6.5% −74.22

2011 101 14 13.9% −18.99

2012 84 13 15.5% +29.35

2013 132 7 5.3% −85.77

2014 120 17 14.2% +21.82

2015 170 14 8.2% −43.02

2016 169 21 12.4% −25.50

2017 223 14 6.3% −101.00

2018 231 20 8.7% −23.76

2019 256 20 7.8% −53.75

2020 246 21 8.5% −51.87

2021 218 19 8.7% +2.70

2022 136 12 8.8% +64.50

2023 160 10 6.3% −110.37

2024 151 11 7.3% −82.59

2025 136 5 3.7% −94.50

2026 97 7 7.2% +0.33

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,700 147 8.6% −338.29

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 958 47 4.9% −528.75

14-16 runners 815 75 9.2% −139.12

11-13 runners 642 58 9% −54.50

8-10 runners 488 57 11.7% −55.02

5-7 runners 253 35 13.8% −45.13

2-4 runners 14 2 14.3% −5.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fosters Cross (IRE) 104 13 34 20 Nov 15

Grand Partner (IRE) 74 10 26 8 May 21

Takarengo (IRE)then James M Barcoe 71 4 24 11 Jun 25

Tara Dylan (IRE) 67 4 14 30 Sep 20

San Aer (IRE)then Ross O'Sullivan 58 4 18 11 Aug 25

Scoir Mear (IRE) 56 5 13 30 Apr 22

Baby Whizz (IRE) 52 6 9 1 Jun 16

Princely Conn (IRE) 49 5 12 16 Dec 21

Oscar Knight (IRE) 47 4 14 8 Mar 20

Nam (IRE) 45 4 8 1 Sep 21

Bob Lingo (IRE) 44 6 16 1 Aug 14

It Could Be You (IRE)then Clare Ellam 43 4 9 9 Jun 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 209 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for A J Martin (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5612794131181176

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Mullins

11% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

David Mullins 342 32 9.4% −117.51

Danny Mullins 194 17 8.8% −15.35

Mark Walsh 184 25 13.6% −14.69

Jack Foley 123 6 4.9% −51.17

N G McCullagh 115 7 6.1% −29.50

Davy Russell 114 23 20.2% −16.36

Mr C Mullins 100 7 7% −29.50

Emmet Mullins 96 5 5.2% −47.50

Paul Townend 92 13 14.1% −15.93

Ben Coen 63 4 6.3% −30.75

Niall P Madden 56 6 10.7% +25.50

Shane Foley 56 3 5.4% −18.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

309

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.42m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Asian Maze (IRE) — Whitewater Champion Stayers' Hurdle (G1) Punchestown · Apr 2006 · Grade 1

£124,000

Bob Lingo (IRE) — www.thetote.com Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Aug 2012 · Grade A

£120,400

Asian Maze (IRE) — Scottish & Newcastle Aintree Hurdle (G1) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Class 1

£85,530

Notable horses

Fosters Cross (IRE) Grand Partner (IRE) Alderwood (IRE) Court Maid (IRE) Made In Taipan (IRE) Top Othe Ra (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dr Massini (IRE) 12.9% · 22–170

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Presenting (GB) 11.7% · 19–163

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 9.7% · 11–113

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Sixties Icon (GB) 7.3% · 8–110

Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,675 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,334.

Scorpion (IRE) 12.7% · 13–102

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,321 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Whitmore's Conn (USA) 13.8% · 12–87

Progeny have won 9% of 1,102 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 329.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,656 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,656 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Real Petite (GER)J: Jimmy Dalton See You At The GR1 Double Header – 21 & 22 November Handicap (Div II)7f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 11/2

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Space Warrior (IRE)J: Daniel King Medical Technology Ireland Expo Galway Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 5/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mount Shenshan (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 1st 3/1F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Max Meridius (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 14th 11/2

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Tropical Retreat (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap6f · Yielding · 17 ran 17th 40/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Kimy (FR)J: Jimmy Dalton Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Real Petite (GER)J: Jimmy Dalton Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 5/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)J: Colin Keane Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Colin Keane Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 5/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Space Warrior (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 6th 11/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 150/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor WTW Willis Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Kimy (FR)J: Danny Mullins Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Max Meridius (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 1st 100/30J

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Figero (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 6th 28/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 125/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Space Warrior (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 20 ran 6th 14/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mount Shenshan (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 11/2

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Max Meridius (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Clonmel Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 5th 100/30

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Thomas Mullins's strike rate?: Thomas Mullins has won 274 of 3,170 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Mullins do best at?: Galway by strike rate: 27 wins from 179 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Thomas Mullins?: David Mullins, with 342 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (9.4%).
Is Thomas Mullins in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thomas Mullins's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 3,170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.