What is Ali Stronge's strike rate?

Ali Stronge has won 116 of 1,449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ali Stronge do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 runners (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ali Stronge?

Tom Marquand, with 155 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (10.3%).

What is Ali Stronge's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 1,442 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ali Stronge

1,449 runners in the lifetime window · 143 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

116–1,449

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,449

335 (23%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=1,442 · 0.77 incl. margin

−541.99

£1 level stake

n=1,449 at SP · −37.4%

£852k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (78 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,449 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 30.2% when favourite Tom Marquand: 10.3% from 155 Headgear returns: 10.3% Claiming riders: 10.3% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (18.8%, n=32) and Brighton (16.7%, n=48) — all clear of the yard's 8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.7% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −192.17 to a £1 stake over 302 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tom Marquand rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.3% vs 8%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (26.5%, n=49) and on Heavy going (18.5%, n=65). The stable star of the record: Storm Melody (GB) — 9 wins from 77 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.3%−3.7

n=302 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −192.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.8%−3.2

n=84 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −62.12

Debutants · first career start

1.7%−6.3

n=59 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −55.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.2%−2.8

n=58 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.3%+2.3

n=78 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −14.25

When favourite

30.2%

n=96 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −10.07

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.3%+2.3

n=174 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −38.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 26.5% vs 8% · n=49

On Heavy going 18.5% vs 8% · n=65

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 8% · n=118

At Fakenham 18.8% vs 8% · n=32

With Adam Wedge 16.9% vs 8% · n=59

At Brighton 16.7% vs 8% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 885 68 7.7% −297.77

Hurdle 362 25 6.9% −150.62

Chase 147 20 13.6% −47.55

NH Flat 55 3 5.5% −46.05

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 502 35 7% −225.29

Good 294 19 6.5% −142.41

Good to Firm 199 21 10.6% −49.44

Good to Soft 196 10 5.1% −127.62

Soft 176 17 9.7% −15.30

Heavy 65 12 18.5% +25.32

Firm 17 2 11.8% −7.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 153 17 11.1% −17.86

Kempton (AW) 144 5 3.5% −91.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 108 6 5.6% −64.13

Chelmsford City (AW) 74 6 8.1% −34.55

Newbury 59 4 6.8% +0.00

Chepstow 58 5 8.6% −10.62

Bath 58 5 8.6% −32.42

Leicester 57 7 12.3% +0.50

Brighton 48 8 16.7% −1.19

Windsor 45 1 2.2% −42.00

Lingfield 39 3 7.7% −16.43

Sandown 36 5 13.9% +24.25

Fakenham 32 6 18.8% +13.00

Ffos Las 29 3 10.3% −11.12

Fontwell 28 2 7.1% −22.80

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 499 43 8.6% −134.23

Class 6 486 42 8.6% −160.59

Class 4 346 25 7.2% −190.67

Class 3 83 4 4.8% −51.50

Class 2 20 2 10% +10.00

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 122 33 27% 1.00 −18.82

2nd–3rd fav 262 37 14.1% 0.86 −71.17

4th–6th fav 492 34 6.9% 0.92 −128.00

7th+ in betting 573 12 2.1% 0.70 −324.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Storm Melody (GB)from Jonjo O'Neill 77 9 22 31 Dec 23

Estrela Star (IRE) 47 6 14 19 Oct 23

Amanto (GER)from Paul Nicholls 42 4 15 6 May 21

Ardmayle (IRE) 40 8 14 7 May 24

Camakasi (IRE)from John James Feane 40 2 6 23 Aug 19

Renardeau (GB) 39 5 12 24 Jan 24

Proud Times (USA)from Alan Swinbank 38 5 10 19 Mar 17

Meetings Man (IRE)from Micky Hammond 34 8 9 4 Jan 19

He's Our Star (IRE)then Tony Carroll 28 3 8 30 Nov 20

Thomas Blossom (IRE)from Patrick Chamings · then Richard Harper 26 3 11 19 Nov 18

Hepburn (GB) 25 0 4 25 Mar 21

Skint (GB)from Charlie Longsdon · then Michael Scudamore 25 1 8 18 Sep 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 143 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Marco Botti (2) and Susan Nock (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for Dai Burchell (2) and Dr Richard Newland (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6126106414105679

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Marquand

11% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Marquand 155 16 10.3% +16.51

Gavin Sheehan 72 4 5.6% −42.25

Jack Doyle 68 7 10.3% −29.87

James Bowen 67 6 9% −27.12

Adam Wedge 59 10 16.9% +14.32

Charles Bishop 58 2 3.4% −38.00

Kieran O'Neill 51 6 11.8% +22.32

Robert Havlin 44 5 11.4% −11.80

Brendan Powell 42 3 7.1% −16.50

Hollie Doyle 39 3 7.7% −26.50

Jim Crowley 34 3 8.8% −12.25

Adam Kirby 33 4 12.1% −16.39

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

116

Archived wins

£852k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 16 wins

Royal Guardsman (IRE) — Bet365 Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Nov 2015 · Class 2

£22,743

Royal Guardsman (IRE) — Ladbrokes Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Feb 2015 · Class 3

£12,512

Blu Cavalier (GB) — Bet365 Handicap Hurdle Doncaster · Dec 2019 · Class 2

£12,512

Notable horses

Storm Melody (GB) Ardmayle (IRE) Meetings Man (IRE) Estrela Star (IRE) Renardeau (GB) Proud Times (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 11.7% · 9–77

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Casamento (IRE) 8.5% · 6–71

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,630 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 14.5% · 10–69

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Medicean (GB) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Camacho (GB) 5% · 2–40

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2012 to 19 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Dec 24 Exeter Lions Peak (IRE)J: Charlie Deutsch Coreus Group Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 80/1

27 May 24 Leicester Valegro (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Loros Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 25/1

07 May 24 Hereford Ardmayle (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Boost Your Football Acca At PlanetSportBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/1

01 Apr 24 Huntingdon Fantastic Artist (IRE)J: James Davies Read Henry Brooke On Blog.Rhino.Bet Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1

27 Mar 24 Hereford Ardmayle (IRE)J: Ben Jones Horse Racing On Another Planet Podcast Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 9/1

11 Mar 24 Taunton Ardmayle (IRE)J: Brendan Powell William Hill Cheltenham Offers Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1

10 Mar 24 Warwick Lions Peak (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Olly Murphy Racing Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 50/1

13 Feb 24 Lingfield Ill Reef (FR)J: Brendan Powell Download The Racing App Now Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1

02 Feb 24 Southwell Ill Reef (FR)J: Brendan Powell Off The Fence On youtube.com/attheraces Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran F 100/1

29 Jan 24 Hereford Ardmayle (IRE)J: Ben Jones Best Odds Guaranteed At PlanetSportBet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1

24 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Renardeau (GB)J: Ross Coakley Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 11/1

23 Jan 24 Newbury Fantastic Artist (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 300/1

23 Jan 24 Newbury Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 250/1

12 Jan 24 Wincanton Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Two Mile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 10th 125/1

04 Jan 24 Hereford Fantastic Artist (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Best Odds Guaranteed At PlanetSportBet Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1

31 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Storm Melody (GB)J: Robert Havlin Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 28/1

22 Dec 23 Ascot Ardmayle (IRE)J: Brendan Powell WB Wealth Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 150/1

11 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (AWT)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 5th 50/1

05 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Renardeau (GB)J: Ross Coakley BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 40/1

21 Nov 23 Hereford Greenways (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Kyne Download The PlanetSportBet App Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ali Stronge's strike rate?: Ali Stronge has won 116 of 1,449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ali Stronge do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 runners (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ali Stronge?: Tom Marquand, with 155 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (10.3%).
What is Ali Stronge's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 1,442 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.