Andrew Hollinshead
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (277 runs).
The record is strongest at Bath (14.3%, n=35), clear of the yard's 7.1% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10.8% (n=277, Fair A/E 1.32), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +20.00 to a £1 stake over 177 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Duern rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.7% vs 7.1%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 32 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Mr Slicker (FR) — 8 wins from 61 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 985 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 985 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2013 to 30 December 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Andrew Hollinshead's strike rate?
- Andrew Hollinshead has won 70 of 985 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Andrew Hollinshead do best at?
- Bath by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Andrew Hollinshead?
- Jack Duern, with 120 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (11.7%).
- What is Andrew Hollinshead's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 976 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.