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Trainer profile

Billy Aprahamian

302 runners in the lifetime window · 47 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
38–302
Wins / Runs
12.6%
Strike rate
n=302
106 (35%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=302 · 0.81 incl. margin
−11.12
£1 level stake
n=302 at SP · −3.7%
£352k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 302 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 24.3% when favourite Gavin Sheehan: 20.5% from 78 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races
The read

It is weakest at Huntingdon (0% over 37 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.35). Gavin Sheehan rides 26% of the entries and beats the yard's average (20.5% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (20%, n=60) and in Chase races (18.4%, n=114). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.3% over 38 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Pep Talking (GB) — 8 wins from 18 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9%−3.6
n=78 · A/E 0.78 · £1 +9.66
New recruits · first run for the yard
3%−9.6
n=33 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −24.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.8%−0.8
n=17 · A/E 1.79 · £1 −2.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%−3.5
n=11 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +40.00
When favourite
24.3%
n=37 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −10.94
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.5%−6.1
n=31 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −12.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Huntingdon 0% vs 12.6% · n=37
With Gavin Sheehan 20.5% vs 12.6% · n=78
With new recruits 3% vs 12.6% · n=33
Over 2m5f – 3m 20% vs 12.6% · n=60
In Chase races 18.4% vs 12.6% · n=114
Off a break of 180+ days 5.3% vs 12.6% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 164 15 9.1% −72.36
Chase 114 21 18.4% +42.74
Flat 12 2 16.7% +30.50
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 143 18 12.6% −11.77
Good to Soft 85 11 12.9% −8.31
Soft 50 5 10% −22.87
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 8 3 37.5% +13.83
Standard (AW) 4 1 25% +30.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon 37 0 0% −37.00
Market Rasen 27 6 22.2% −3.09
Southwell 25 3 12% −3.00
Uttoxeter 24 5 20.8% +41.95
Plumpton 17 1 5.9% −6.00
Worcester 17 2 11.8% +0.50
Fontwell 12 2 16.7% −3.27
Ffos Las 12 2 16.7% +4.50
Warwick 11 2 18.2% +0.38
Hereford 10 2 20% +0.00
Stratford 10 1 10% −5.67
Doncaster 9 2 22.2% +3.50
Ludlow 9 2 22.2% −1.17
Wincanton 6 2 33.3% +12.50
Catterick 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 172 20 11.6% −11.59
Class 4 98 13 13.3% −32.53
Class 3 24 4 16.7% +34.50
Class 2 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 45 11 24.4% 0.76 −12.44
2nd–3rd fav 86 14 16.3% 0.89 −14.68
4th–6th fav 103 11 10.7% 1.29 −1.00
7th+ in betting 68 2 2.9% 1.09 +17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.6% completed · 278 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 114 83.3% 3 1 15 0 0
Hurdle 164 87.2% 2 3 16 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mutual Respect (IRE)from John Joseph Hanlon 22 3 10 28 Dec 25
Pep Talking (GB)from Paul Webber 18 8 15 25 Sep 26
Homme D'un Soir (FR)from Francesca Poste 18 4 10 4 Apr 26
Grain Trade (GB) 17 1 3 27 Oct 26
Seasmoke (IRE) 16 2 6 11 Apr 26
Lunar Ocean (IRE)from Paul Webber 14 1 6 2 Nov 26
Glengolly (GB)from Paul Webber 13 2 5 2 Nov 26
Conceal (IRE)from Ben Pauling 13 1 2 8 Sep 24
Kalkaroo (IRE)from Paul Webber 11 2 7 2 Nov 26
Stone's Throw (GB)from Paul Webber 10 3 4 13 Mar 26
Nobody's Perfect (IRE) 10 1 1 23 Apr 25
Bongo Man (GB)from Paul Webber 9 0 3 22 May 26
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Webber (10) and Alex Hales (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Ryan Potter (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6914107919292517916
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGavin Sheehan
26% of all rides
20.5% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Gavin Sheehan 78 16 20.5% +9.39
James Bowen 49 9 18.4% +44.83
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
38
Archived wins
£352k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 16 wins
Pep Talking (GB) — Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) Worcester · Sep 2026 · Class 2
£26,015
Pep Talking (GB) — Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Wetherby · Nov 2025 · Class 3
£10,562
Super Saiyan (IRE) — At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Oct 2025 · Class 3
£7,956
Notable horses
Pep Talking (GB) Homme D'un Soir (FR) Mutual Respect (IRE) Stone's Throw (GB) Seasmoke (IRE) Glengolly (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Valirann (FR) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,446 runs since 2018 (158 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 343.
Hurricane Cat (USA) 22.2% · 4–18
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,138 runs since 2010 (145 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.3% from 124. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 372. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.5% from 155. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Pether's Moon (IRE) 44.4% · 8–18
Progeny have won 13.1% of 914 runs since 2020 (107 horses).
Telescope (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,914 runs since 2019 (297 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 106. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 284.
Flemensfirth (USA) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,287 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Jack Hobbs (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 1,081 runs since 2021 (203 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18% from 122.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 302 · newest first

The latest 50 of 302 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2022 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Plumpton Lunar Ocean (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 3/1F
02 Nov 26 Southwell Kalkaroo (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 11/8F
02 Nov 26 Southwell Glengolly (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 13/2
01 Nov 26 Worcester Navy Boy (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Copybet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 66/1
27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Grain Trade (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Bangor-On-Dee Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 9/1
13 Oct 26 Hereford Miracles Do Happen (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 7/2
25 Sep 26 Worcester Pep Talking (GB)J: James Bowen Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 1st 11/2
22 Sep 26 Warwick Miracles Do Happen (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 8/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tom Thumb (GB)J: Shay Farmer Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 400/1
10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Tom Thumb (GB)J: Finley Marsh Download The At The Races App Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 250/1
26 Aug 26 Newbury Tom Thumb (GB)J: Taylor Fisher Bricklayers Arms Newbury Ebf Maiden Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 100/1
23 Aug 26 Worcester Pep Talking (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Neu-Servo Rapid Response Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Miracles Do Happen (GB)J: James Bowen Roys Ices Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 20/1
19 Jul 26 Stratford Artiste D'ainay (FR)J: James Bowen PJ McGeever 70th Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 1/1F
15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Pep Talking (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Alfie Flatt 18th Birthday Celebration Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/2
12 Jul 26 Stratford Artiste D'ainay (FR)J: James Bowen Gary Hubball's 60th Celebration Year Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 10/3
01 Jul 26 Worcester Artiste D'ainay (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Britannia Dynamic Logistics Promises Delivered Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 7th 9/2
19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Miracles Do Happen (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Global Shipping Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 16/1
09 Jun 26 Southwell Artiste D'ainay (FR)J: James Bowen Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 11/2
02 Jun 26 Southwell Pep Talking (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Free Race Evening Thursday 18th June Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Billy Aprahamian's strike rate?
Billy Aprahamian has won 38 of 302 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Billy Aprahamian do best at?
Huntingdon by strike rate: 0 wins from 37 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Billy Aprahamian?
Gavin Sheehan, with 78 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (20.5%).
Is Billy Aprahamian in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Billy Aprahamian's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 302 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).