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Trainer profile

Cian Collins

1,052 runners in the lifetime window · 157 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 13.3% of 339 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.
Last runner 3 days ago 90% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
75–1,052
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=1,052
218 (21%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=1,051 · 0.75 incl. margin
−383.31
£1 level stake
n=1,052 at SP · −36.4%
£1.32m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,052 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 22.4% when favourite Jordan Gainford: 7.5% from 173 New recruits: 7.3% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

It is weakest at Navan (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −181.72 to a £1 stake over 411 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jordan Gainford rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (15%, n=40). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 48 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Debenhams Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £84,405). The stable star of the record: Fiveonefive (IRE) — 6 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%+0.0
n=198 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −91.71
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.3%+0.2
n=82 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −32.09
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.1
n=77 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −77.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%−1.5
n=54 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −26.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.1%+0.0
n=42 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −20.50
When favourite
22.4%
n=67 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −22.89
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.1%−1.0
n=411 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −181.72
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.7%+0.6
n=39 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 7.1% · n=77
In Class 4 15% vs 7.1% · n=40
In NH Flat races 0% vs 7.1% · n=48
At Navan 0% vs 7.1% · n=37
At Cork 0% vs 7.1% · n=32
At Thurles 0% vs 7.1% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 721 54 7.5% −252.73
Chase 175 16 9.1% −26.08
Flat 108 5 4.6% −56.50
NH Flat 48 0 0% −48.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 345 23 6.7% −195.88
Soft 319 18 5.6% −142.87
Good to Soft 211 22 10.4% −57.56
Heavy 131 10 7.6% +39.50
Standard (AW) 44 2 4.5% −24.50
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 71 5 7% +23.00
Killarney 70 6 8.6% −26.37
Punchestown 63 3 4.8% +2.00
Wexford 63 3 4.8% −42.50
Clonmel 50 1 2% −33.00
Downpatrick 49 6 12.2% −8.67
Kilbeggan 46 4 8.7% −3.50
Sligo 45 6 13.3% +1.50
Listowel 40 2 5% −22.25
Galway 40 5 12.5% +24.75
Dundalk (AW) 39 1 2.6% −26.00
Navan 37 0 0% −37.00
Roscommon 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Ballinrobe 34 3 8.8% −4.00
Cork 32 0 0% −32.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 47 4 8.5% +8.50
Class 4 40 6 15% −19.11
Class 2 21 5 23.8% +7.00
Class 3 16 3 18.8% +3.18
Class 5 15 1 6.7% −13.09
Class 6 6 1 16.7% +0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 78 15 19.2% 0.70 −33.89
2nd–3rd fav 167 23 13.8% 0.89 −33.92
4th–6th fav 295 27 9.2% 1.25 −2.50
7th+ in betting 512 10 2% 0.76 −313.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.9% completed · 896 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 175 82.3% 6 3 21 1 0
Hurdle 721 88.1% 9 8 65 4 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Effernock Fizz (IRE)from Miss Katy Brown 45 4 12 4 Apr 25
Fiveonefive (IRE) 42 6 12 23 Oct 26
Must Meet Cecil (IRE)from Miss Katy Brown 30 4 8 7 Jul 26
Solly Attwell (IRE) 24 3 7 14 May 26
Blue Reed (FR)from W J Burke 23 1 8 23 Sep 26
Arabian King (GB)from Kevin Frost · then E McNamara 20 1 2 29 Nov 24
Chica Power (IRE)from Patrick Martin · then A J Martin 20 1 3 20 Nov 24
Robinstown (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 19 3 4 27 Feb 25
Torquay Road (IRE)from Peter John Flood 18 3 6 9 Jun 26
Presenting Doyen (IRE) 18 2 5 15 Dec 24
Jazzy Matty (FR)from Gordon Elliott 17 3 5 22 Aug 26
Brandt (IRE)from Henry Oliver 16 4 6 23 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 157 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Declan Queally (3) and Gordon Elliott (3); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
84959587101240
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJordan Gainford
16% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 1.07
RiderRWSR£1
Jordan Gainford 173 13 7.5% −2.67
Danny Gilligan 151 18 11.9% −42.62
Carl Millar 102 9 8.8% +4.53
Ben Harvey 83 4 4.8% −25.00
E Walsh 53 2 3.8% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
75
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.32m
Prize money
2025
Best season · 24 wins
Jazzy Matty (FR) — Debenhams Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Class 1
£84,405
Effernock Fizz (IRE) — RYBO Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Fairyhouse · Mar 2024 · Listed
£59,000
Fiveonefive (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Galway Tribes Handicap Hurdle Galway (IRE) · Aug 2026
£47,999
Notable horses
Fiveonefive (IRE) Impero (IRE) Effernock Fizz (IRE) Must Meet Cecil (IRE) Brandt (IRE) Solly Attwell (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 9.5% · 7–74
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,494 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Lovelace (GB) 8.5% · 4–47
Progeny have won 6.5% of 186 runs since 2015 (10 horses).
Affinisea (IRE) 13% · 6–46
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,290 runs since 2022 (205 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,548 runs since 2018 (275 horses).
Mustameet (USA) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,162 runs since 2013 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.
Stowaway (GB) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,052 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,052 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 June 2022 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Vibrato (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 7/4F
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Katie Daniels (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (listed)23f · Yielding · 4 ran 4th 33/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Butty O Brien (IRE)J: E Walsh Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 16/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) The Farmers Bar (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Start Your Free Trial On Racing Tv Now Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 4/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Awayoutback (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 66/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Drumconnor Hill (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 3rd 28/1
24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Kashchei (GB)J: Carl Millar William Hill Extra Places Every Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/2
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Brandt (IRE)J: Mr J L Scallan Chapel Down Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 10/1
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Fiveonefive (IRE)J: Carl Millar Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 10/1
20 Oct 26 Hexham Stay Hopeful (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Northumbria Leisure Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/11F
20 Oct 26 Hexham Coded Welder (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/8F
20 Oct 26 Hexham Codger's Rock (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 3/1F
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Codger's Rock (IRE)J: Sean Bowen The Roflow Specialist Ventilation & Dehumidification 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 2/1F
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Stay Hopeful (IRE)J: Carl Millar Celebrating 40 Years Of Vickers Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/4F
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Chantilly Wings (IRE)J: Carl Millar William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 7/2
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Royal Belief (IRE)J: Colin Keane Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 5/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Ring Of Kerry (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Fiveonefive (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 4th 22/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Shing Shang Lily (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 4th 40/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Grace's Legacy (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Cian Collins's strike rate?
Cian Collins has won 75 of 1,052 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cian Collins do best at?
Sligo by strike rate: 6 wins from 45 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Cian Collins?
Jordan Gainford, with 173 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (7.5%).
Is Cian Collins in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Cian Collins's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 1,051 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).