What is Emmet Mullins's strike rate?

Emmet Mullins has won 200 of 1,449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Emmet Mullins do best at?

Tramore by strike rate: 12 wins from 54 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Emmet Mullins?

Donagh Meyler, with 259 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (15.1%).

Is Emmet Mullins in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Emmet Mullins's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,448 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Emmet Mullins

1,449 runners in the lifetime window · 220 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.0% of 264 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

200–1,449

Wins / Runs

13.8%

Strike rate

n=1,449

509 (35%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,448 · 0.78 incl. margin

−459.83

£1 level stake

n=1,449 at SP · −31.7%

£5.41m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 14% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). New recruits from other yards win at 22% first time out (81 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,449 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 14.4% 32.3% when favourite Donagh Meyler: 15.1% from 259 New recruits: 22.2% Sends off the favourite in 20% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 22.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 1.36), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=86, Fair A/E 0.73). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 14% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +84.74 to a £1 stake over 193 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Donagh Meyler rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.1%, A/E 0.94). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.9% over 69 runners, 10.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 67 runners (4.5% strike, −52.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 27 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Randox Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2022, £500,000). The stable star of the record: Its On The Line (IRE) — 9 wins from 21 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.4%+0.6

n=312 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −73.06

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.2%+8.4

n=81 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +1.09

Debutants · first career start

13.6%−0.2

n=140 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −60.34

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.6%+5.8

n=97 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +8.76

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.1%−5.7

n=86 · A/E 0.73 · £1 +12.11

When favourite

32.3%

n=297 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −76.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.6%−1.2

n=357 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −148.22

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14%+0.2

n=193 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +84.74

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With David Mullins 35.3% vs 13.8% · n=34

With Mr P W Mullins 33.3% vs 13.8% · n=45

With Mr Derek O'Connor 29.5% vs 13.8% · n=44

Over 6f – 7f 2.9% vs 13.8% · n=69

On Standard (AW) going 4.5% vs 13.8% · n=67

With new recruits 22.2% vs 13.8% · n=81

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 17.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 537 73 13.6% −213.37

Flat 505 50 9.9% −229.28

Chase 234 43 18.4% +21.62

NH Flat 173 34 19.7% −38.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 541 74 13.7% −175.13

Good 417 63 15.1% −107.00

Good to Soft 216 24 11.1% −93.08

Heavy 179 34 19% −15.87

Standard (AW) 67 3 4.5% −52.25

Good to Firm 29 2 6.9% −16.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Galway 150 21 14% −53.00

Leopardstown 113 10 8.8% −54.02

Punchestown 112 15 13.4% −32.99

Fairyhouse 86 11 12.8% −27.56

Cork 64 14 21.9% −12.04

Dundalk (AW) 59 3 5.1% −44.25

Curragh 58 3 5.2% −32.00

Tramore 54 12 22.2% −13.18

Navan 46 10 21.7% +41.04

Gowran Park 46 3 6.5% −16.50

Thurles 45 7 15.6% −1.15

Naas 44 3 6.8% −36.13

Limerick 44 8 18.2% −7.24

Cheltenham 44 4 9.1% −26.37

Listowel 40 3 7.5% −28.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 217 28 12.9% +64.49

Class 2 53 5 9.4% −25.25

Class 4 11 3 27.3% −3.94

Class 3 9 5 55.6% +3.53

Class 5 7 3 42.9% +0.06

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 323 100 31% 0.93 −87.69

2nd–3rd fav 376 70 18.6% 1.10 −43.14

4th–6th fav 355 22 6.2% 0.84 −120.00

7th+ in betting 395 8 2% 0.69 −209.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Teed Up (IRE)from K J Condon 38 4 12 26 Oct 26

So Scottish (FR) 35 3 9 21 Sep 25

The Shunter (IRE)from John O Clifford 30 7 14 2 Nov 25

Noble Yeats (IRE) 24 7 9 28 Dec 24

St Stephens Green (IRE)from W P Mullins 24 7 11 2 Aug 19

This Songisforyou (USA) 22 3 8 26 Oct 26

Its On The Line (IRE) 21 9 17 1 May 26

Backmersackme (IRE) 20 2 4 10 Mar 26

Harbour Highway (IRE) 19 2 6 14 Oct 26

Dream On Baby (IRE)from Colin Motherway 19 3 11 10 Oct 26

Sea Music (IRE) 19 3 6 25 Oct 25

Merlin Giant (FR) 19 4 10 1 Aug 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 220 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Ryan (2) and K J Condon (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for John Joseph Hanlon (3) and Mark Walford (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

61417121812161313151610

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDonagh Meyler

18% of all rides
15.1% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Donagh Meyler 259 39 15.1% −73.94

Brian Hayes 126 15 11.9% −76.80

Conor Clarke 68 5 7.4% −18.33

Ronan Whelan 67 5 7.5% −24.25

Mr J L Gleeson 56 11 19.6% −18.78

Danny Mullins 49 6 12.2% −23.28

Mr P W Mullins 45 15 33.3% −3.96

Mr Derek O'Connor 44 13 29.5% +14.16

Colin Keane 40 6 15% −16.70

Mark Walsh 35 2 5.7% −28.00

G. F. Carroll 34 2 5.9% −12.00

David Mullins 34 12 35.3% +40.85

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

200

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.41m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 29 wins

Noble Yeats (IRE) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2022 · Grade 3

£500,000

Soldier In Milan (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Fairyhouse · Apr 2026 · Grade 3

£269,500

The Shunter (IRE) — Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£103,080

Notable horses

Its On The Line (IRE) The Shunter (IRE) St Stephens Green (IRE) Noble Yeats (IRE) Zero Ten (IRE) Sneaky Getaway (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 21% · 13–62

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Yeats (IRE) 27.9% · 12–43

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,849 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Gleneagles (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,574 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.

Martaline (GB) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,348 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Camelot (GB) 16.7% · 6–36

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,734 runs since 2017 (763 horses).

Shantou (USA) 29.4% · 10–34

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2015 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) J'arrive De L'est (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan Clonmel Oil Service Station Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 7 ran 1st 8/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) The Rock Factor (IRE)J: Ben Coen Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 11/2

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Minella Emperor (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Neill Paddy Power 'How Many Days 'Til Christmas?' Irish EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran PU 11/2

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Labondance (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 12 ran UR 20/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Vision De Maine (FR)J: Donagh Meyler COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 4/1J

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Teed Up (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan W.b. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 7/2F

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) This Songisforyou (USA)J: Danny Mullins Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 10th 9/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Square Necker (FR)J: Donagh Meyler Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 11/8

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Noon Blu Dodville (FR)J: Donagh Meyler Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle18f · Soft · 8 ran F 6/5F

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Kelya (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 8/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Vantage Code (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 40/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Giorgia Rose (FR)J: Miss Charlotte Butler John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran PU 28/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Lucy Wang (IRE)J: Mr C Mullins John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 17/2

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Dallas Star (FR)J: Mark Walsh Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 2nd 5/4F

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) It's Good To Talk (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 3rd 16/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Harbour Highway (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 4/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Vitorio Piel (FR)J: Donagh Meyler Matchbook Betting Exchange Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 18.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Labondance (FR)J: Donagh Meyler William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 12th 20/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Minella Emperor (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Neill Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Hurdle24f · Good · 3 ran 1st 9/4

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Cock And Bull (IRE)J: James Doyle Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 18f · Good · 29 ran 20th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Emmet Mullins's strike rate?: Emmet Mullins has won 200 of 1,449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Emmet Mullins do best at?: Tramore by strike rate: 12 wins from 54 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Emmet Mullins?: Donagh Meyler, with 259 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (15.1%).
Is Emmet Mullins in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Emmet Mullins's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,448 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.