What is Geoffrey Harker's strike rate?

Geoffrey Harker has won 155 of 1,887 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Geoffrey Harker do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Geoffrey Harker?

Sam James, with 285 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (8.8%).

Is Geoffrey Harker in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Geoffrey Harker's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 1,878 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Geoffrey Harker

1,887 runners in the lifetime window · 167 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

155–1,887

Wins / Runs

8.2%

Strike rate

n=1,887

484 (26%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=1,878 · 0.79 incl. margin

−536.60

£1 level stake

n=1,887 at SP · −28.4%

£1.13m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,887 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 28.8% when favourite Sam James: 8.8% from 285 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Nottingham (21.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 8.2% baseline. It is weakest at Haydock (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 5.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −49.00 to a £1 stake over 105 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sam James rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The stable star of the record: Eijaaz (IRE) — 11 wins from 70 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.4%−2.8

n=332 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −112.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−2.5

n=105 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −49.00

Debutants · first career start

6.3%−1.9

n=48 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −33.62

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−1.9

n=48 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −23.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.1%−2.1

n=98 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −47.25

When favourite

28.8%

n=111 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −10.71

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%−0.4

n=294 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −87.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Nottingham 21.2% vs 8.2% · n=33

With Silvestre De Sousa 15.2% vs 8.2% · n=269

On last-time-out winners 15.1% vs 8.2% · n=159

With Paddy Aspell 0% vs 8.2% · n=52

With horses switching code 0% vs 8.2% · n=49

At Haydock 0% vs 8.2% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,663 147 8.8% −412.10

Hurdle 129 4 3.1% −51.38

Chase 52 2 3.8% −36.50

NH Flat 43 2 4.7% −36.62

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 590 66 11.2% +20.01

Good 514 34 6.6% −213.87

Standard (AW) 340 23 6.8% −176.72

Good to Soft 213 16 7.5% −103.40

Soft 166 12 7.2% −22.00

Heavy 54 2 3.7% −36.12

Firm 10 2 20% −4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Catterick 217 29 13.4% −29.88

Redcar 216 19 8.8% +12.12

Newcastle (AW) 169 13 7.7% −61.13

Beverley 153 13 8.5% −27.91

Thirsk 123 11 8.9% +1.33

Wolverhampton (AW) 117 8 6.8% −70.29

Ripon 98 5 5.1% −68.88

Doncaster 85 6 7.1% −8.37

Newcastle 67 2 3% −62.27

York 58 1 1.7% −50.00

Carlisle 55 4 7.3% −15.50

Sedgefield 52 1 1.9% −18.00

Wetherby 48 4 8.3% +2.50

Musselburgh 45 7 15.6% −12.50

Ayr 44 5 11.4% −3.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 657 56 8.5% −185.18

Class 6 559 52 9.3% −217.37

Class 4 405 31 7.7% −60.25

Class 3 177 14 7.9% −3.80

Class 2 82 2 2.4% −63.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 139 37 26.6% 1.04 −12.71

2nd–3rd fav 339 56 16.5% 1.06 +0.11

4th–6th fav 619 38 6.1% 0.75 −245.00

7th+ in betting 790 24 3% 0.81 −279.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 669 64 9.6% −92.24

1m – 1m1f 427 31 7.3% −142.50

1m2f – 1m4f 392 33 8.4% −140.72

1m5f – 2m 122 6 4.9% −90.25

Under 6f 117 14 12% −10.01

2m1f – 2m4f 102 6 5.9% −8.38

2m5f – 3m 45 1 2.2% −39.50

Over 3m 13 0 0% −13.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 140 8 5.7% −69.88

2009 145 11 7.6% −85.89

2010 177 20 11.3% −48.76

2011 180 18 10% −58.74

2012 133 17 12.8% +34.76

2013 132 6 4.5% −89.38

2014 96 4 4.2% −46.50

2015 87 8 9.2% −33.50

2016 57 6 10.5% −3.50

2017 73 3 4.1% −31.12

2018 70 7 10% +12.00

2019 76 2 2.6% −27.00

2020 64 7 10.9% −18.00

2021 101 9 8.9% −22.29

2022 76 9 11.8% +30.00

2023 53 7 13.2% +21.62

2024 83 4 4.8% −38.00

2025 73 4 5.5% −44.17

2026 71 5 7% −18.25

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,539 126 8.2% −400.92

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 649 43 6.6% −255.30

8-10 runners 627 64 10.2% −91.85

14-16 runners 295 18 6.1% −78.50

5-7 runners 206 21 10.2% −115.30

17+ runners 92 5 5.4% −16.00

2-4 runners 18 4 22.2% +20.35

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Shamaheart (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr 68 6 21 4 Nov 19

Scottish Summit (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 65 7 28 7 Sep 24

Rum Runner (GB)from Richard Hannon 63 3 12 9 Sep 25

Eijaaz (IRE)from Linda Stubbs 60 11 29 19 Oct 13

Moccasin (FR)from E Lellouche 54 3 7 26 Apr 18

Cabal (GB)from Andrew Crook 52 5 18 22 Jul 18

Eldelbar (SPA)from M Delcher Sanchez 48 6 19 15 Oct 22

Wentworth Falls (GB)from Charlie Appleby 48 5 14 13 Sep 22

Extrasolar (GB)from Amanda Perrett 43 3 9 30 Jul 20

Bling King (GB)from F Vermeulen 43 3 16 14 Jul 18

Key Look (IRE)from Kevin Frost 37 6 13 3 Jun 24

White Deer (USA)from David Nicholls 36 3 17 15 Feb 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 167 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 47 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mark Johnston (6) and David Nicholls (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Keith Dalgleish (2) and Ollie Pears (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

474691010127962

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSam James

15% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Sam James 285 25 8.8% −16.42

Silvestre De Sousa 269 41 15.2% −28.39

David Allan 129 13 10.1% −27.00

P J McDonald 97 7 7.2% −47.38

Michael O'Connell 74 5 6.8% −25.17

Jordan Nason 72 7 9.7% −0.50

Robert Winston 54 5 9.3% −31.62

Paddy Aspell 52 0 0% −52.00

Connor Beasley 50 5 10% −17.50

Franny Norton 49 3 6.1% +16.00

Richie McGrath 44 1 2.3% −34.00

Shane Gray 42 1 2.4% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

180

Archived wins

£1.28m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Scottish Summit (IRE) — Sky Bet Handicap Thirsk · May 2023 · Class 3

£13,500

Ginger Jack (GB) — John Smith's Redcar Straight-Mile Championship Final Handicap Redcar · Oct 2012 · Class 2

£12,450

City of The Kings (IRE) — John Smith's 'No Nonsense Racing' Handicap York · Jul 2009 · Class 2

£11,657

Notable horses

Eijaaz (IRE) Scottish Summit (IRE) Shamaheart (IRE) Eldelbar (SPA) Key Look (IRE) Cabal (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shamardal (USA) 10.4% · 16–154

Progeny have won 14.7% of 10,414 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,289. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Green Desert (USA) 14.6% · 12–82

Progeny have won 11% of 3,324 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.

Havana Gold (IRE) 5.6% · 4–72

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.9% · 5–56

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Green Tune (USA) 5.6% · 3–54

Progeny have won 10% of 1,943 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 457. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 244.

Dansili (GB) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,187 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Grand Traverse (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 22nd 125/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Travis (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Mudamer (IRE)J: Sam James Nairns Oatcakes Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 33/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: Sam James Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 20/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Keogie (IRE)J: Sam James All-weather Championship Is Back Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Grand Traverse (IRE)J: David Allan AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mo Anam Chara (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mudamer (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: Sam James William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Travis (GB)J: Jake Dickson racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 13th 10/1

10 Oct 26 York Mr King (IRE)J: David Nolan Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran 17th 40/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Mo Anam Chara (IRE)J: Jake Dickson Bet At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 5th 9/4

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Travis (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Mwh Treatment Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 12/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Hey Havana (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 8/1

22 Sep 26 Beverley Mudamer (IRE)J: David Nolan Fango Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 7/1

22 Sep 26 Beverley Mr King (IRE)J: David Nolan Fango Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: Jake Dickson Sir Ian Good Memorial Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 17/2

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Mo Anam Chara (IRE)J: Jake Dickson decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/2J

09 Sep 26 Redcar Hey Havana (IRE)J: P J McDonald Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 8th 5/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Golden Redemption (USA)J: Oisin McSweeney racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 26 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Geoffrey Harker's strike rate?: Geoffrey Harker has won 155 of 1,887 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Geoffrey Harker do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Geoffrey Harker?: Sam James, with 285 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (8.8%).
Is Geoffrey Harker in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Geoffrey Harker's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 1,878 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.