What is George Scott's strike rate?

George Scott has won 324 of 2,331 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does George Scott do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 10 wins from 61 runners (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for George Scott?

Callum Shepherd, with 395 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 60 (15.2%).

Is George Scott in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is George Scott's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 2,314 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

George Scott

2,331 runners in the lifetime window · 354 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.4% of 313 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

324–2,331

Wins / Runs

13.9%

Strike rate

n=2,331

779 (33%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=2,314 · 0.89 incl. margin

−611.29

£1 level stake

n=2,331 at SP · −26.2%

£7.54m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). In Group and Graded company the record reads 15% (130 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,331 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 14.8% 42.3% when favourite Callum Shepherd: 15.2% from 395 Sends off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (30.6%, n=36), Redcar (27.8%, n=36) and Brighton (25.8%, n=31) — all clear of the yard's 13.9% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (2.7% over 74 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.3% (n=285, Fair A/E 0.62). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 15.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +33.81 to a £1 stake over 130 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Callum Shepherd rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.2%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Coronation Cup at Epsom Downs (Jun 2026, £560,200). The stable star of the record: Jack The Truth (IRE) — 10 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.8%+0.9

n=331 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +37.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.9%−1.0

n=70 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −10.00

Debutants · first career start

5.3%−8.6

n=285 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −164.57

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.6%−4.3

n=197 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −24.05

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−7.6

n=79 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −56.12

When favourite

42.3%

n=355 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +29.59

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.1%−1.8

n=331 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −148.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.4%+1.5

n=130 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +33.81

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield 30.6% vs 13.9% · n=36

On last-time-out winners 23.5% vs 13.9% · n=311

At Redcar 27.8% vs 13.9% · n=36

With debutants 5.3% vs 13.9% · n=285

At Ascot 2.7% vs 13.9% · n=74

At Brighton 25.8% vs 13.9% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,324 324 13.9% −604.29

Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 887 115 13% −266.48

Good to Firm 559 82 14.7% −126.65

Good 451 67 14.9% −117.00

Good to Soft 203 31 15.3% −41.46

Soft 176 22 12.5% −32.67

Heavy 33 3 9.1% −16.75

Firm 22 4 18.2% −10.28

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 221 35 15.8% −57.73

Kempton (AW) 166 14 8.4% −73.50

Chelmsford (AW) 164 19 11.6% −31.20

Yarmouth 135 15 11.1% −21.49

Lingfield (AW) 129 14 10.9% −60.04

Southwell (AW) 122 19 15.6% −34.94

Doncaster 109 17 15.6% +1.76

Windsor 97 12 12.4% −49.96

Newmarket 96 8 8.3% −11.12

Newcastle (AW) 83 13 15.7% −11.07

Newmarket 81 6 7.4% −40.63

Ascot 74 2 2.7% −52.50

Leicester 62 9 14.5% −25.30

Nottingham 61 10 16.4% −7.64

Goodwood 58 8 13.8% +5.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 809 127 15.7% −194.26

Class 4 628 82 13.1% −196.56

Class 6 342 59 17.3% −82.36

Class 2 212 18 8.5% −111.91

Class 3 206 17 8.3% −69.01

Class 1 131 20 15.3% +32.81

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 398 159 39.9% 1.22 +26.42

2nd–3rd fav 597 90 15.1% 0.85 −183.71

4th–6th fav 744 59 7.9% 0.96 −152.00

7th+ in betting 592 16 2.7% 0.82 −302.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jack The Truth (IRE) 51 10 20 8 Nov 22

Moulin Booj (IRE) 49 8 22 24 Oct 26

Strawberry Jack (GB) 42 5 14 9 Oct 23

Prydwen (IRE) 41 10 18 19 Aug 26

Captain Kane (GB) 31 8 13 29 Mar 24

Cariad (GB) 28 4 8 24 Oct 24

Mellys Flyer (GB)then Charlie Wallis 27 5 9 18 Aug 23

Shoot To Kill (IRE)then Robyn Brisland 26 3 9 20 Oct 21

Caballo De Mar (IRE) 25 10 15 17 Oct 26

Eight Mile (IRE)then D Donovan 25 3 9 25 Sep 24

Sarvan (GB) 22 3 9 29 Aug 22

Miss Mulligan (IRE) 21 3 9 30 Jun 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 354 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard; 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121217151310201314131216

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCallum Shepherd

17% of all rides
15.2% SR · A/E 1.14

RiderRWSR£1

Callum Shepherd 395 60 15.2% −28.40

Darragh Keenan 274 44 16.1% −49.78

Daniel Muscutt 152 22 14.5% −57.84

Liam Wright 123 15 12.2% −66.28

Harry Bentley 85 8 9.4% −24.21

David Egan 83 11 13.3% −23.69

Ben Curtis 68 16 23.5% +8.26

Benoit De La Sayette 65 12 18.5% −13.43

Oisin Murphy 64 13 20.3% +24.29

Silvestre De Sousa 60 10 16.7% −18.06

Hayley Turner 43 4 9.3% −17.70

Tom Marquand 36 2 5.6% −27.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

324

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.54m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 50 wins

Bay City Roller (IRE) — Coolmore Coronation Cup (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Group 1

£560,200

Caballo De Mar (IRE) — Prix Vicomtesse Vigier (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2026 · Group 1

£198,748

Caballo De Mar (IRE) — Qatar Prix du Cadran (Group 1) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Group 1

£171,419

Notable horses

Jack The Truth (IRE) Prydwen (IRE) Caballo De Mar (IRE) Moulin Booj (IRE) Captain Kane (GB) Strawberry Jack (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 16.5% · 27–164

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Mehmas (IRE) 13% · 10–77

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,199 runs since 2020 (751 horses).

Foxwedge (AUS) 14.1% · 10–71

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2016 (131 horses).

Kodi Bear (IRE) 15.3% · 9–59

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,978 runs since 2020 (389 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 260.

Sioux Nation (USA) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,903 runs since 2022 (360 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 20% · 11–55

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,883 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,331 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,331 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 November 2015 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Starman Waiting (IRE)J: Hector Crouch German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div II)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Pirates Paradise (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Bath Luxury Toilet Hire Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Valor's Call (GB)J: George Wood Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 9/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Forty Years On (IRE)J: H Crouch Prix de Seine-et-Oise (Group 3)1 · 6f · Heavy · 18 ran 18th 9/4F

26 Oct 26 Leicester Cala Vadella (GB)J: Sean Levey British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 9/4F

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Moulin Booj (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 15/2

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Glamorize (IRE)J: David Egan William Hill Extra Places Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Pixie Diva (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 4/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Starship Lily (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Graham & Alison's 15th Wedding Aniversary Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/4

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Harrow On The Hill (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 40/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Emerald Bay (IRE)J: David Egan William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Duty's Call (IRE)J: Liam Wright Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract War Gaming (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Happy 80th Birthday William 'bill' Carr Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Bay City Roller (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 17/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Poatan (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 7th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Caballo De Mar (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Qatar Racing British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 1)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 5/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Phantom Recon (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Tango Hotel (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Vantage Consulting Powered By Requidex Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Lone Warrior (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 13/8F

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Acclaimed Freedom (GB)J: David Egan Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is George Scott's strike rate?: George Scott has won 324 of 2,331 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does George Scott do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 10 wins from 61 runners (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for George Scott?: Callum Shepherd, with 395 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 60 (15.2%).
Is George Scott in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is George Scott's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 2,314 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.