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Trainer profile

Hayley Burton

132 runners in the lifetime window · 23 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
11–132
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=132
35 (27%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=132 · 0.80 incl. margin
−28.42
£1 level stake
n=132 at SP · −21.5%
£116k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 132 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Class 4 (12.1%, n=33) and on Standard (AW) going (11.4%, n=70). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 4.7% over 43 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%−1.2
n=14 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
13.3%+5.0
n=15 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.3%+6.0
n=21 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 4.7% vs 8.3% · n=43
In Class 4 12.1% vs 8.3% · n=33
On Standard (AW) going 11.4% vs 8.3% · n=70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 118 11 9.3% −14.42
Hurdle 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 70 8 11.4% +14.33
Good 26 1 3.8% −22.25
Good to Firm 17 1 5.9% −12.50
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 2 1 50% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 27 6 22.2% +27.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Yarmouth 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Chelmsford (AW) 11 1 9.1% −6.67
Southwell (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Kempton (AW) 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Newmarket 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield 4 0 0% −4.00
Haydock 4 1 25% +7.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Bath 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Windsor 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 64 6 9.4% −16.92
Class 4 33 4 12.1% +13.50
Class 5 24 1 4.2% −14.00
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.27 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 32 4 12.5% 0.70 −14.42
4th–6th fav 42 2 4.8% 0.62 −22.00
7th+ in betting 53 3 5.7% 2.38 +7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Poke The Bear (IRE)from Amy Murphy 18 3 5 5 Nov 26
Rosieisme Darling (GB) 17 2 6 1 Jul 26
Roland Garros (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 16 1 4 18 Aug 26
Fancy Dancer (GB)from Ollie Sangster 13 0 5 3 Nov 26
Yaa Min (GB)from Roger Varian 11 3 4 16 Oct 26
Nicely Curved (USA) 9 0 4 29 Sep 26
Bluebells Boy (GB)from Robert Eddery · then Jim & Suzi Best 7 0 2 21 Jan 26
The Liffey (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 6 1 2 31 Oct 26
Three Non Blondes (GB)from K R Burke 5 1 2 16 Sep 26
Never Seen Again (IRE)from Sarah Humphrey 5 0 1 20 Jul 25
Prada On Parole (GB)from Amy Murphy 4 0 0 10 Aug 25
Cortado Girl (GB)then Simon Pearce 3 0 0 2 Jul 26
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Amy Murphy (2) and Pam Sly (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim & Suzi Best (2) and Micky Fenton (2); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
291013139013080018
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Tyler Heard 19 3 15.8% +16.25
Luke Morris 19 3 15.8% +15.08
Jack Quinlan 12 0 0% −12.00
Marco Ghiani 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Jack Callan 6 2 33.3% +9.00
Frederick Larson 5 0 0% −5.00
Rossa Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Jonny Peate 4 0 0% −4.00
Jason Hart 3 1 33.3% +0.75
Mr Fletcher Yarham 3 0 0% −3.00
Daniel Muscutt 3 0 0% −3.00
Alexandra Egan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
11
Archived wins
£116k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 9 wins
The Liffey (IRE) — Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (Div 2) Kempton (AW) · Jul 2026 · Class 4
£6,281
Yaa Min (GB) — William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Haydock · Sep 2026 · Class 4
£6,185
Three Non Blondes (GB) — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes Yarmouth · Jul 2026 · Class 4
£5,653
Notable horses
Poke The Bear (IRE) Yaa Min (GB) Rosieisme Darling (GB) Roland Garros (GB) The Liffey (IRE) Three Non Blondes (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Land Force (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,473 runs since 2023 (156 horses).
Eqtidaar (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 7.9% of 445 runs since 2023 (51 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.7% from 235.
Nathaniel (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,123 runs since 2016 (642 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Frankel (GB) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 18% of 7,547 runs since 2016 (883 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 271.
Maclean's Music (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 5.3% of 38 runs since 2021 (8 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 132 · newest first

The latest 50 of 132 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 May 2025 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Poke The Bear (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 10/1
03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fancy Dancer (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 6/1
03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Superstorm (GB)J: Luke Morris AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 12/1
31 Oct 26 Newmarket The Liffey (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 50/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fancy Dancer (GB)J: Donagh Murphy All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth My Boy Harry (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 14/1
16 Oct 26 Haydock Yaa Min (GB)J: Toby Moore Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 6/5F
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fancy Dancer (GB)J: Luke Morris Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/2
02 Oct 26 Ascot The Liffey (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 25/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nicely Curved (USA)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 11/2
26 Sep 26 Haydock Yaa Min (GB)J: Toby Moore William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 10/1
16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Three Non Blondes (GB)J: Tom Marquand Sea Deer Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 10/1
13 Sep 26 Doncaster The Liffey (IRE)J: Sean Levey Betfred "the Classic Bookmaker" Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 33/1
05 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) The Liffey (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan William Hill London Mile Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 6th 11/1
02 Sep 26 Bath Fancy Dancer (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Trusted Betting Site Reviews gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/2
31 Aug 26 Epsom Yaa Min (GB)J: Mr Cian Murphy Betfred 'nifty 50' Amateurs' Derby Handicap Stakes (for Gentleman Amateur Jockeys) (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 28/1
26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fancy Dancer (GB)J: Alfie Redman Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 11/2
18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Roland Garros (GB)J: Mr Fletcher Yarham Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 8/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Yaa Min (GB)J: Jack Callan Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 11/2
15 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Fancy Dancer (GB)J: Tyler Heard Betway Grey Horse Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Hayley Burton's strike rate?
Hayley Burton has won 11 of 132 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Hayley Burton in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hayley Burton's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 132 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).