Keiran Burke
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).
The record is strongest at Fontwell (19%, n=58), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). Josephine Gordon rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 1.65) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (17.1%, n=222). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Handicap Chase at Kempton (Dec 2024, £57,218). The stable star of the record: Soul Icon (GB) — 9 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 991 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 991 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 November 2011 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Keiran Burke's strike rate?
- Keiran Burke has won 100 of 991 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Keiran Burke do best at?
- Fontwell by strike rate: 11 wins from 58 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Keiran Burke?
- Josephine Gordon, with 148 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (10.8%).
- Is Keiran Burke in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Keiran Burke's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 989 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.