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Trainer profile

Keiran Burke

991 runners in the lifetime window · 134 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
100–991
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=991
247 (25%)
Placed
1.08
n=989 · 0.93 incl. margin
−172.02
£1 level stake
n=991 at SP · −17.4%
£1.12m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 991 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 36.6% when favourite Josephine Gordon: 10.8% from 148 New recruits: 11% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (19%, n=58), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). Josephine Gordon rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 1.65) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (17.1%, n=222). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Handicap Chase at Kempton (Dec 2024, £57,218). The stable star of the record: Soul Icon (GB) — 9 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.1%−2.0
n=221 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −98.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
11%+0.9
n=73 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −10.50
Debutants · first career start
6.5%−3.6
n=62 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +23.25
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.1
n=51 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −51.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5%−5.1
n=20 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −10.50
When favourite
36.6%
n=82 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +11.65
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%−1.3
n=283 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −47.89
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
13.3%+3.2
n=15 · A/E 2.66 · £1 +9.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 28% vs 10.1% · n=100
With Gavin Sheehan 26% vs 10.1% · n=50
With first-time headgear 0% vs 10.1% · n=51
Over 2m5f – 3m 17.1% vs 10.1% · n=222
At Fontwell 19% vs 10.1% · n=58
With Harry Kimber 18.3% vs 10.1% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 408 38 9.3% −132.70
Flat 269 25 9.3% −15.46
Chase 225 32 14.2% −24.11
NH Flat 89 5 5.6% +0.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 348 54 15.5% +104.67
Standard (AW) 194 19 9.8% −25.59
Soft 161 10 6.2% −74.13
Good to Soft 156 10 6.4% −78.68
Good to Firm 70 4 5.7% −57.12
Heavy 60 3 5% −39.17
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 108 8 7.4% −36.63
Taunton 100 9 9% −33.55
Kempton (AW) 83 14 16.9% +45.33
Exeter 78 6 7.7% −32.25
Newton Abbot 72 11 15.3% −17.92
Fontwell 58 11 19% −10.21
Lingfield (AW) 45 1 2.2% −41.00
Worcester 41 2 4.9% −24.00
Chepstow 30 2 6.7% −22.62
Kempton 29 6 20.7% +45.62
Wolverhampton (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Cheltenham 25 2 8% −13.75
Plumpton 25 2 8% −10.50
Uttoxeter 21 3 14.3% −8.09
Ffos Las 18 3 16.7% −5.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 348 32 9.2% −47.46
Class 4 337 40 11.9% −76.18
Class 6 131 9 6.9% −56.17
Class 3 95 13 13.7% +31.79
Class 2 45 4 8.9% −13.50
Class 1 35 2 5.7% −10.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 96 36 37.5% 1.29 +22.28
2nd–3rd fav 187 26 13.9% 0.84 −67.13
4th–6th fav 309 26 8.4% 1.15 −52.17
7th+ in betting 399 12 3% 1.12 −75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.9% completed · 633 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 225 70.7% 12 11 42 1 0
Hurdle 408 85% 13 6 42 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vitalline (GB)from Ben James 54 5 15 30 Sep 26
Soul Icon (GB) 37 9 18 23 Oct 26
Whitcombe Rockstar (GB)from Ben James 32 9 11 5 Sep 26
The Height Of Fame (GB) 28 7 10 29 Sep 25
Stacey Racey (GB) 27 2 7 11 Aug 26
Danzini (IRE) 26 2 10 20 Nov 25
Maroochi (GB)from Alan King 25 1 9 5 Jul 24
Putdecashonthedash (IRE) 25 3 6 30 Dec 23
Sam's Amour (GB) 24 3 8 13 Jul 26
Whispering Jack (GB)from Charlie Mann · then Ben Lund 23 3 5 23 Jul 14
Stiletto (GB)from Ben James · then Sophie Leech 22 0 4 3 Dec 24
Mr Magill (FR)from Nick Mitchell 20 1 4 2 Dec 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 134 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nick Mitchell (5) and Ben James (3); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard; 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9121210168116151375
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJosephine Gordon
15% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.65
RiderRWSR£1
Josephine Gordon 148 16 10.8% +24.16
Tom Bellamy 136 11 8.1% −62.92
Nick Scholfield 96 6 6.3% −68.38
Harry Kimber 82 15 18.3% −21.51
Gavin Sheehan 50 13 26% +45.79
Ben Godfrey 38 1 2.6% −33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
100
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.12m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 19 wins
Soul Icon (GB) — Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2024 · Grade 2
£57,218
Whitcombe Rockstar (GB) — Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Kempton (AW) · Sep 2024 · Class 2
£36,078
Hunt Ball (IRE) — Pulteney Land Investments Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed) Cheltenham · Mar 2012 · Listed
£28,475

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Due Diligence (USA) 9.6% · 7–73
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,564 runs since 2019 (194 horses).
Sixties Icon (GB) 20% · 9–45
Progeny have won 10% of 5,685 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,338.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,688 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Bated Breath (GB) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,180 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.
Shirocco (GER) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,206 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 28.1% · 9–32
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,816 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 991 · newest first

The latest 50 of 991 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 November 2011 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Sep 26 Salisbury Zoffandia (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Madar Corporation Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Keiran Burke's strike rate?
Keiran Burke has won 100 of 991 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keiran Burke do best at?
Fontwell by strike rate: 11 wins from 58 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Keiran Burke?
Josephine Gordon, with 148 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (10.8%).
Is Keiran Burke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Keiran Burke's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 989 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).