What is Kevin Thomas Coleman's strike rate?

Kevin Thomas Coleman has won 71 of 997 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Thomas Coleman do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kevin Thomas Coleman?

Seamie Heffernan, with 89 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.9%).

What is Kevin Thomas Coleman's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 996 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kevin Thomas Coleman

997 runners in the lifetime window · 125 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 12.5% of 216 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 12 Nov 2026.

Last runner 15 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

71–997

Wins / Runs

7.1%

Strike rate

n=997

234 (24%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=996 · 0.79 incl. margin

−240.76

£1 level stake

n=997 at SP · −24.1%

£1.19m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 997 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 23.8% when favourite Seamie Heffernan: 7.9% from 89 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Naas (0% over 68 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.8% (n=105, Fair A/E 1.45). Seamie Heffernan rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.9%, A/E 0.85). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 43 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Only Spoofing (IRE) — 6 wins from 69 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.2%−0.9

n=129 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −34.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.1

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Debutants · first career start

3.8%−3.3

n=105 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +80.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.3%+0.2

n=41 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +0.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.5%−0.6

n=31 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −21.00

When favourite

23.8%

n=63 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −15.65

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−0.1

n=285 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −123.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.1

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Naas 0% vs 7.1% · n=68

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 7.1% · n=43

With Chris Hayes 0% vs 7.1% · n=40

On last-time-out winners 13% vs 7.1% · n=54

With Robbie Colgan 1.5% vs 7.1% · n=66

At Curragh 2.8% vs 7.1% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 958 69 7.2% −207.96

Hurdle 37 1 2.7% −34.80

Chase 2 1 50% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 305 21 6.9% −127.11

Soft 288 17 5.9% −86.88

Standard (AW) 180 16 8.9% −70.20

Heavy 100 6 6% +13.35

Good to Soft 92 7 7.6% +36.88

Good to Firm 32 4 12.5% −6.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 167 13 7.8% −74.53

Curragh 108 3 2.8% −68.50

Cork 103 3 2.9% −40.00

Navan 76 6 7.9% −13.50

Naas 68 0 0% −68.00

Gowran Park 62 6 9.7% +2.25

Leopardstown 57 3 5.3% +32.00

Tipperary 42 1 2.4% −1.00

Fairyhouse 40 4 10% +5.10

Bellewstown 33 1 3% −27.00

Killarney 30 2 6.7% −9.00

Roscommon 28 3 10.7% −3.00

Listowel 26 2 7.7% −18.75

Limerick 19 1 5.3% +32.00

Down Royal 16 1 6.3% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 18 7 38.9% +16.21

Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 3 9 3 33.3% +15.00

Class 6 6 2 33.3% +7.20

Class 5 5 3 60% +8.94

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 81 18 22.2% 0.97 −21.65

2nd–3rd fav 145 19 13.1% 0.87 −39.11

4th–6th fav 248 17 6.9% 0.93 −79.50

7th+ in betting 523 17 3.3% 1.25 −100.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Only Spoofing (IRE)from Jedd O'Keeffe 69 6 16 19 May 26

Swiss Army Officer (IRE) 65 3 17 12 May 26

Derry Lad (IRE) 40 4 14 18 Sep 26

Shoebox King (IRE) 39 2 10 22 Oct 25

Coumshingaun (IRE) 31 4 11 20 Jul 24

Benavente (GB)from Richard John O'Brien · then Denis Gerard Hogan 25 3 8 17 Oct 25

Akecheta (IRE) 24 2 10 23 Aug 26

Queens Carriage (IRE) 23 3 6 21 Apr 22

Thatwilldoso (IRE) 22 5 11 18 Oct 26

Red Vermillion (IRE) 22 3 6 27 Jul 23

Devil's Angel (GB)from Jedd O'Keeffe · then Raymond Hurley 20 1 4 13 Jul 25

Kasper Hauser (GB) 16 2 5 28 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jedd O'Keeffe (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

058411108745118

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSeamie Heffernan

9% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

Seamie Heffernan 89 7 7.9% −24.96

Robbie Colgan 66 1 1.5% −58.00

R. P. Cleary 52 5 9.6% −8.38

Emmet McNamara 50 3 6% +22.00

Chris Hayes 40 0 0% −40.00

Nathan Crosse 37 4 10.8% −10.00

Julian Pietropaolo 36 4 11.1% −0.40

Wayne Lordan 33 2 6.1% −6.50

Colin Keane 33 3 9.1% −6.50

Sean Davis 31 1 3.2% −8.00

Benjamin P Kennedy 31 1 3.2% −16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£1.19m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 14 wins

Thatwilldoso (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap Sligo (IRE) · Aug 2026

£18,000

With Love (GB) — Irish EBF Auction Series Race Leopardstown · Jun 2022

£17,700

Derry Lad (IRE) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Middle-Distance Handicap Pontefract · Jun 2023 · Class 3

£16,493

Notable horses

Only Spoofing (IRE) Thatwilldoso (IRE) Derry Lad (IRE) Coumshingaun (IRE) Swiss Army Officer (IRE) Benavente (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Approve (IRE) 8.7% · 6–69

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,687 runs since 2014 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 554.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 4.6% · 3–65

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,650 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 245. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Epaulette (AUS) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.

Aclaim (IRE) 5.1% · 2–39

Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,552 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.

U S Navy Flag (USA) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,419 runs since 2022 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 184.

Sioux Nation (USA) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 12.3% of 2,919 runs since 2022 (363 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 583. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 997 · newest first

The latest 50 of 997 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2018 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cafe Oh Lait (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Violet Dove (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 80/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) The Drambling Man (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 10/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Palina (GER)J: Seamie Heffernan Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 12/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Sand Art (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 8th 13/2

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Roaming Coyote (IRE)J: Colin Keane Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 9th 8/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lamar Valley (GB)J: Colin Keane 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 7th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Kingcharles (FR)J: Conor Cusack Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 12/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Green Kite (IRE)J: Colin Keane Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 12th 9/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Thatwilldoso (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 12/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Hypiradon (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Brewing (GB)J: Robbie Colgan BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Matavai Bay (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Ocean Phoenix (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 8/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Griselinia (IRE)J: J M Sheridan M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 200/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Tax Me Later (IRE)J: Reese Holohan M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 3/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kingcharles (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 5/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) The Drambling Man (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap6f · Yielding · 10 ran 4th 11/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Violet Dove (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 12th 200/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rosiliane (IRE)J: Shane Gray bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 100/30

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Kevin Thomas Coleman's strike rate?: Kevin Thomas Coleman has won 71 of 997 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Thomas Coleman do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 40 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Thomas Coleman?: Seamie Heffernan, with 89 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.9%).
What is Kevin Thomas Coleman's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 996 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.