What is Mark Usher's strike rate?

Mark Usher has won 359 of 4,737 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark Usher do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 41 wins from 343 runners (12%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mark Usher?

David Probert, with 390 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (9.5%).

Is Mark Usher in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mark Usher's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 4,713 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mark Usher

4,737 runners in the lifetime window · 317 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 12.6% of 269 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 94% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

359–4,737

Wins / Runs

7.6%

Strike rate

n=4,737

1,114 (24%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=4,713 · 0.85 incl. margin

−1,102.49

£1 level stake

n=4,737 at SP · −23.3%

£2.37m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (153 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,737 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 30.1% when favourite David Probert: 9.5% from 390 Headgear returns: 11.1% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (23.7%, n=38), clear of the yard's 7.6% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 11.1% (n=153, Fair A/E 1.56), but debutants struggle at 0.9% (n=227, Fair A/E 0.46). David Probert rides 8% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.9%, n=280). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Somerville Tattersall Stakes at Newmarket (Sep 2013, £22,684). The stable star of the record: Bird For Life (GB) — 11 wins from 84 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.3%−2.3

n=489 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −155.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.7%−4.9

n=75 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −37.00

Debutants · first career start

0.9%−6.7

n=227 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −109.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4%−3.6

n=177 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −64.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+3.5

n=153 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +19.08

When favourite

30.1%

n=173 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −0.74

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.5%−0.1

n=1,750 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −54.19

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+3.5

n=18 · A/E 2.93 · £1 +42.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 23.7% vs 7.6% · n=38

With Rose Dawes 18.9% vs 7.6% · n=37

With debutants 0.9% vs 7.6% · n=227

With Dane O'Neill 14.5% vs 7.6% · n=83

Off a 0-7-day break 12.9% vs 7.6% · n=280

With Fergus Sweeney 0% vs 7.6% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,472 344 7.7% −937.99

Hurdle 225 15 6.7% −124.50

NH Flat 31 0 0% −31.00

Chase 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,857 230 8.1% −819.45

Good 576 47 8.2% −53.62

Good to Firm 540 27 5% −5.88

Good to Soft 307 24 7.8% −13.04

Soft 282 17 6% −141.38

Heavy 90 7 7.8% −42.12

Firm 85 7 8.2% −27.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 907 78 8.6% −275.49

Kempton 800 43 5.4% −367.26

Lingfield (AW) 516 41 7.9% −68.88

Chelmsford (AW) 343 41 12% +11.55

Southwell (AW) 252 17 6.7% −140.07

Bath 211 9 4.3% −117.75

Windsor 189 11 5.8% −46.00

Newbury 156 6 3.8% −79.12

Chepstow 132 11 8.3% −22.88

Leicester 122 6 4.9% −5.00

Salisbury 114 8 7% −28.00

Lingfield 109 7 6.4% +111.50

Nottingham 105 9 8.6% −7.00

Brighton 94 8 8.5% −53.42

Sandown 73 6 8.2% +48.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 2,524 215 8.5% −373.20

Class 5 1,450 97 6.7% −505.87

Class 4 519 30 5.8% −163.75

Class 3 108 5 4.6% −54.00

Class 7 60 5 8.3% −24.75

Class 2 56 4 7.1% −36.42

Class 1 19 2 10.5% +41.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 241 66 27.4% 1.12 −7.04

2nd–3rd fav 768 118 15.4% 1.01 −118.95

4th–6th fav 1,530 124 8.1% 1.05 −218.50

7th+ in betting 2,198 51 2.3% 0.78 −758.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,982 154 7.8% −243.17

1m – 1m1f 811 53 6.5% −259.10

1m2f – 1m4f 782 74 9.5% −46.20

1m5f – 2m 616 49 8% −247.73

Under 6f 443 22 5% −244.04

2m1f – 2m4f 85 7 8.2% −44.25

2m5f – 3m 17 0 0% −17.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 290 25 8.6% +39.52

2009 209 16 7.7% +4.99

2010 180 8 4.4% −116.00

2011 288 29 10.1% +6.21

2012 278 22 7.9% −132.25

2013 273 20 7.3% −71.05

2014 251 19 7.6% −24.37

2015 227 16 7% −67.25

2016 176 10 5.7% −87.00

2017 222 14 6.3% −98.92

2018 266 20 7.5% −69.50

2019 281 16 5.7% −125.75

2020 252 22 8.7% −33.87

2021 229 20 8.7% −44.59

2022 248 18 7.3% −56.09

2023 270 18 6.7% +3.85

2024 316 31 9.8% −56.03

2025 285 18 6.3% −158.34

2026 196 17 8.7% −16.05

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,675 312 8.5% −653.16

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 1,774 117 6.6% −452.51

8-10 runners 1,746 142 8.1% −451.80

5-7 runners 731 75 10.3% −30.05

14-16 runners 408 18 4.4% −123.00

17+ runners 47 2 4.3% −31.00

2-4 runners 31 5 16.1% −14.13

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Black Truffle (FR)from Michael Bell 105 9 41 13 Aug 19

Katmai River (IRE) 89 8 30 29 Apr 15

Misu Pete (GB) 87 10 26 29 Jun 21

Calculating (IRE)from John Gosden 87 10 35 8 May 13

Bird For Life (GB) 84 11 34 19 Jun 23

Reginald Claude (GB) 83 9 21 23 Feb 16

Spice Fair (GB) 81 9 30 15 Oct 17

Bayston Hill (GB) 74 10 31 9 Aug 22

Q Twenty Boy (IRE) 73 7 32 30 Jan 25

Born To Please (GB) 67 5 22 23 Jul 23

The Bay Warrior (IRE) 65 7 23 23 Sep 26

Arlecchino's Gift (GB) 65 9 20 1 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 317 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 22 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8810976977797

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Probert

8% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

David Probert 390 37 9.5% −89.98

Liam Keniry 256 18 7% +1.13

Tyler Heard 226 19 8.4% −62.09

Racheal Kneller 184 16 8.7% −68.92

Hayley Turner 177 11 6.2% −96.94

Lee Newnes 154 8 5.2% +48.00

Charlie Bennett 146 8 5.5% −51.90

Charlotte Jenner 128 9 7% −48.75

Isobel Francis 128 10 7.8% +16.20

George Bass 114 8 7% −60.17

Nicola Currie 113 7 6.2% −57.50

Steve Drowne 112 11 9.8% −8.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

403

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.68m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 31 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Miracle of Medinah (GB) — Somerville Tattersall Stakes (Group 3) Newmarket · Sep 2013 · Group 3

£22,684

Royal Alchemist (GB) — Sportsman Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Kempton (AW) · Apr 2006 · Listed

£15,898

Fahrenheit Seven (GB) — Weatherbys Digital Solutions Clyde Handicap Hamilton · Jun 2025 · Class 2

£15,462

Notable horses

Bird For Life (GB) Calculating (IRE) Misu Pete (GB) Bayston Hill (GB) Black Truffle (FR) Reginald Claude (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kyllachy (GB) 6.6% · 9–136

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 10.1% · 12–119

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Delegator (GB) 12.7% · 15–118

Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,871 runs since 2008 (109 horses). Weakest on Good going: 7.7% from 260. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.4% from 180.

Choisir (AUS) 8.2% · 8–98

Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).

Trade Fair (GB) 9.4% · 9–96

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,230 runs since 2008 (113 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.6% · 7–92

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,446 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,446 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ten Cuidado (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 28/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood From The Hip (GB)J: Tyler Heard Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 20/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arlecchino's Moon (GB)J: Clifford Lee Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 12/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Vilaine Verlaine (GB)J: Dougie Costello Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 25/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Hatta Romance (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 7th 33/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Ken Brulee (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Monks Mead (GB)J: Alicia Perkins Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Hands And Heels Race) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 13/2

06 Oct 26 Leicester Searchingtheblues (GB)J: Rose Dawes Willpower Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 10/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ten Cuidado (IRE)J: Rose Dawes Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 40/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) From The Hip (GB)J: Tyler Heard Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Defiant Dream (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 28/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Victory Sound (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Armah Switchgear Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 4/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arlecchino's Rex (GB)J: Rose Dawes bet365 Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 13/8F

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Distillation (FR)J: Rose Dawes Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/4

27 Sep 26 Epsom Seeking Charles (FR)J: James Davies Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 13 ran 7th 3/1F

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Defiant Dream (GB)J: Tyler Heard Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 28/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Shades Of May (GB)J: Rose Dawes Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) The Bay Warrior (IRE)J: Rose Dawes Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)Class 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 10th 18/1

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Searchingtheblues (GB)J: Rose Dawes Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 9th 9/2

23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Victory Sound (IRE)J: Harry Burns Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Usher's strike rate?: Mark Usher has won 359 of 4,737 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Usher do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 41 wins from 343 runners (12%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mark Usher?: David Probert, with 390 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (9.5%).
Is Mark Usher in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark Usher's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 4,713 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.