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Trainer profile

Mrs A M O'Shea

262 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–262
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=262
20 (8%)
Placed
0.37
Fair A/E
n=262 · 0.29 incl. margin
−246.25
£1 level stake
n=262 at SP · −94.0%
£71,558
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.37).

Deterministic profile computed from 262 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Adrian O'Shea: 1.3% from 153 Claiming riders: 1.4%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.46 and −203.25 to a £1 stake over 219 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adrian O'Shea rides 58% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.3%, A/E 0.44). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (4.9%, n=41). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 65 runners (0% strike, −65.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.1
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.4%+0.3
n=219 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −203.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 4.9% vs 1.1% · n=41
Off a 8-14-day break 3.8% vs 1.1% · n=79
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 1.1% · n=97 · A/E 0.00
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 1.1% · n=65 · A/E 0.00
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 1.1% · n=51 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 219 3 1.4% −203.25
Hurdle 26 0 0% −26.00
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 64 1 1.6% −60.75
Soft 53 1 1.9% −48.50
Standard (AW) 51 0 0% −51.00
Heavy 42 1 2.4% −34.00
Good to Firm 27 0 0% −27.00
Good to Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 50 0 0% −50.00
Curragh 42 0 0% −42.00
Gowran Park 24 0 0% −24.00
Naas 20 0 0% −20.00
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Navan 14 0 0% −14.00
Tipperary 11 2 18.2% +0.25
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Down Royal 10 0 0% −10.00
Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 8 0 0% −8.00
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 1.06 −5.25
4th–6th fav 40 1 2.5% 0.55 −32.00
7th+ in betting 209 0 0% 0.00 −209.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Contrapposto (IRE)from David Menuisier · then R Donohoe 21 0 2 19 Sep 20
Surviving Murmansk (IRE)from Andrew Hughes · then James M Barcoe 20 0 0 5 Jul 23
Mister Castlefield (IRE)from M Halford 18 0 2 2 Jul 11
Fainleog (IRE)from Patrick Tallis 15 1 3 27 Sep 16
Ustinov (GB)from David O'Meara · then R Donohoe 14 0 0 4 Dec 20
Writewhenyouland (IRE)then John Joseph Murphy 12 0 0 1 Sep 21
My Lucky Penny (IRE)then R Donohoe 11 0 0 10 Sep 20
Hittin'the Skids (IRE)then Kevin Ryan 11 0 0 14 Oct 12
Diamondsinthesand (IRE)then John O'Shea 10 0 2 1 Feb 23
Secret Secret (IRE)then David Harry Kelly 7 0 0 9 Aug 19
Diamond Avalanche (IRE)then Patrick Holmes 7 0 1 10 Oct 15
Dudes And Diamonds (GB) 7 0 2 17 Sep 14
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive; 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for R Donohoe (3) and Shane Joseph Kelly (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000050022000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAdrian O'Shea
58% of all rides
1.3% SR · A/E 0.44
RiderRWSR£1
Adrian O'Shea 153 2 1.3% −140.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
4
Archived wins
£84,338
Prize money
2016
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Invincible Diamond (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden Sligo · Aug 2014
£8,970
Diamond Stilettos (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Tipperary · Sep 2013
£8,625
Fainleog (IRE) — Book Online At TipperaryRaces.ie Maiden Tipperary · May 2016
£6,765
Notable horses
Fainleog (IRE) Armanatta (IRE) Invincible Diamond (IRE) Diamond Stilettos (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cacique (IRE) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,500 runs since 2010 (107 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 17% from 135. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 173.
The Carbon Unit (USA) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 8.2% of 683 runs since 2013 (44 horses).
Mujahid (USA) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,388 runs since 2020 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 366 · newest first

The latest 50 of 366 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 9 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 24 Navan Easyshineadiamond (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Simonstown Maiden6f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 250/1
02 Oct 24 Bellewstown Easyshineadiamond (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Seamus Murphy Memorial Optional Claiming Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 9th 150/1
23 Sep 23 Curragh Easyshineadiamond (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Bermingham Cameras Photo Finish Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 11th 150/1
05 Jul 23 Tipperary Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 66/1
22 Jun 23 Leopardstown Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Mr S A O'Shea Leopardstown Annual Members (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good · 17 ran 12th 300/1
14 Jun 23 Limerick Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote Claiming Race11.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 33/1
04 Jun 23 Listowel Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Lane Family Memorial Handicap16f · Good · 14 ran 11th 125/1
23 May 23 Gowran Park Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Racing Again June 5th Handicap (47-70)13.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 80/1
07 May 23 Leopardstown Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea John R Fitzpatrick Agricultural Contractor Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 10th 150/1
16 Apr 23 Curragh Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Holden Plant Rentals Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 150/1
24 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Alan Persse SKY BET Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 40/1
10 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Alan Persse Racing Thursday March 16th At Dundalk Handicap (47-70)6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 25/1
24 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Alan Persse View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1
10 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Alan Persse Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Race6f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 125/1
01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Diamondsinthesand (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 9/2
18 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1
06 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Diamondsinthesand (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Maiden6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 5/1
06 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Alan Persse Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Maiden6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 150/1
20 Dec 22 Naas Surviving Murmansk (IRE)J: Ian Power Jack Carter Naas Member Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 24 ran 22nd 200/1
02 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Diamondsinthesand (IRE)J: Adrian O'Shea Irishinjuredjockeys.com Maiden6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs A M O'Shea's strike rate?
Mrs A M O'Shea has won 3 of 262 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs A M O'Shea do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 50 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mrs A M O'Shea?
Adrian O'Shea, with 153 runners since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (1.3%).
What is Mrs A M O'Shea's Fair A/E?
0.37, from 262 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).