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Trainer profile

Ms Claire O'Connell

552 runners in the lifetime window · 78 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–552
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=552
65 (12%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=551 · 0.82 incl. margin
−228.50
£1 level stake
n=552 at SP · −41.4%
£269k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 552 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr A E Lynch: 3.4% from 59 Claiming riders: 4.8%
The read

A E Lynch rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.4%, A/E 0.67). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (7.3%, n=41). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 46 runners, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.47 across 163 runners (1.2% strike, −135.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%−1.0
n=99 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −56.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.7%−0.3
n=27 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
3.5%−0.5
n=57 · A/E 2.00 · £1 −29.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
2.6%−1.4
n=39 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.5%+5.5
n=21 · A/E 2.24 · £1 −5.50
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%+0.8
n=207 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −75.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4% · n=46
With James Smith 8.1% vs 4% · n=37
In Hurdle races 1.2% vs 4% · n=163
With James Ryan 0% vs 4% · n=33
At trips under 6f 7.3% vs 4% · n=41
In Chase races 6.1% vs 4% · n=114
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 253 10 4% −70.00
Hurdle 163 2 1.2% −135.00
Chase 114 7 6.1% −36.50
NH Flat 22 3 13.6% +13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 189 8 4.2% −86.00
Good 136 6 4.4% −81.75
Heavy 104 3 2.9% −81.50
Standard (AW) 64 2 3.1% +0.00
Good to Soft 50 3 6% +29.75
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 77 2 2.6% −57.25
Navan 63 2 3.2% −47.50
Dundalk (AW) 61 1 1.6% −10.00
Punchestown 34 1 2.9% +17.00
Naas 28 0 0% −28.00
Bellewstown 26 1 3.8% −19.50
Curragh 26 1 3.8% +15.00
Downpatrick 24 1 4.2% −15.00
Cork 23 2 8.7% −11.00
Sligo 22 1 4.5% −15.00
Gowran Park 21 0 0% −21.00
Leopardstown 19 0 0% −19.00
Down Royal 16 0 0% −16.00
Roscommon 15 1 6.7% −5.00
Thurles 13 1 7.7% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 5 6 2 33.3% +19.50
Class 4 2 2 100% +8.25
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 1.05 −3.75
2nd–3rd fav 37 5 13.5% 1.03 −10.25
4th–6th fav 105 9 8.6% 1.45 −22.50
7th+ in betting 401 6 1.5% 0.73 −192.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Catherine Chroi (IRE)from Mrs Denise Foster · then Iain Jardine 47 0 6 22 Sep 25
Roman Harry (IRE)from James McAuley · then S M Duffy 30 2 7 3 Dec 25
Kennoway (IRE) 25 2 6 27 Sep 17
Killeen Elegance (IRE) 24 1 3 12 Aug 18
Born Bright (IRE) 23 4 5 3 Oct 26
Star Allure (IRE)from George Scott 21 0 2 4 Nov 26
Easy Vic (IRE)then A J Martin 18 0 0 8 Mar 12
She's Too Kool (IRE) 14 1 3 1 Nov 26
Dervo Annie (IRE) 14 1 3 23 Oct 26
Lottolove (IRE) 14 0 1 29 Jun 18
Noble Way (IRE) 13 0 0 1 Feb 12
Alnofoor (GB)from Miss Natalia Lupini 12 4 6 4 Nov 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive; 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Iain Jardine (3); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 14
Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
009942528243
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderA E Lynch
11% of all rides
3.4% SR · A/E 0.67
RiderRWSR£1
A E Lynch 59 2 3.4% −43.00
James Smith 37 3 8.1% −10.50
James Ryan 33 0 0% −33.00
Robbie Colgan 30 1 3.3% −20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
22
Archived wins
£269k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 7 wins
Alnofoor (GB) — Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Nov 2026
£15,601
Kennoway (IRE) — Frank Hannon Memorial Handicap Chase (0-123) Roscommon · May 2013
£10,695
Dara Whyte (IRE) — Irish Day At Navan Racecourse Beginners Chase Navan · Mar 2009
£9,329
Notable horses
Born Bright (IRE) Alnofoor (GB) Roman Harry (IRE) Kennoway (IRE) Killeen Elegance (IRE) Dervo Annie (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 5.6% · 5–90
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,954 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Camacho (GB) 0% · 0–47
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Kalanisi (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,749 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Old Vic (GB) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Harry Angel (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,792 runs since 2022 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 552 · newest first

The latest 50 of 552 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2009 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dandyville (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 12/1
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Aughlish (IRE)J: Alan Casey Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 66/1
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Star Allure (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 40/1
04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Alnofoor (GB)J: Shane Gray Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/4F
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) She's Too Kool (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 12th 16/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Alnofoor (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 1st 40/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Aughlish (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 66/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Star Allure (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 50/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Amazing Force (IRE)J: J M Sheridan See You At The GR1 Double Header – 21 & 22 November Handicap (Div II)7f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 66/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Essential Comedy (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Happy Halloween Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 50/1
28 Oct 26 Nottingham Alnofoor (GB)J: Ray Dawson Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/4
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sassy Boom (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Braham Electrical Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dandyville (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Braham Electrical Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 33/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dervo Annie (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 25/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) She's Too Kool (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 8/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Dreaminthejungle (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 2/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Amazing Force (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 16th 125/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Alnofoor (GB)J: Colin Keane Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 4th 10/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Gloriously Glam (IRE)J: Shay Wallace Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 28/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dervo Annie (IRE)J: Colin Keane Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ms Claire O'Connell's strike rate?
Ms Claire O'Connell has won 22 of 552 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ms Claire O'Connell do best at?
Navan by strike rate: 2 wins from 63 runners (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ms Claire O'Connell?
A E Lynch, with 59 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.4%).
Is Ms Claire O'Connell in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ms Claire O'Connell's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 551 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).