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Trainer profile

Nick Scholfield

271 runners in the lifetime window · 59 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 9.7% of 300 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 6 Nov 2026.
Last runner yesterday 90% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
36–271
Wins / Runs
13.3%
Strike rate
n=271
76 (28%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=270 · 0.81 incl. margin
−47.31
£1 level stake
n=271 at SP · −17.5%
£509k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 271 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 36.8% when favourite Harry Reed: 13.2% from 53 Sends off the favourite in 14% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.43). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 13.3pts below the 13.3% baseline). Harry Reed rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.2%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (18.2%, n=99) and beyond 3m (18.9%, n=37). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 6.8% over 44 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle at Kelso (Mar 2026, £51,440). The stable star of the record: Morning Mayhem (GB) — 5 wins from 19 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.4%−7.9
n=37 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.5%−3.8
n=42 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −10.38
Debutants · first career start
5.9%−7.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.1%−6.2
n=14 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −11.38
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
26.3%+13.0
n=19 · A/E 2.59 · £1 +26.50
When favourite
36.8%
n=38 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −5.81
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%−4.5
n=34 · A/E 0.56 · £1 +13.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+1.0
n=7 · A/E 1.67 · £1 −4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22% vs 13.3% · n=41
Off a 31-60-day break 6.8% vs 13.3% · n=44
Off a 15-30-day break 18.2% vs 13.3% · n=99
Beyond 3m 18.9% vs 13.3% · n=37
With horses switching code 8.1% vs 13.3% · n=37
With claiming riders up 8.8% vs 13.3% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 173 25 14.5% −14.43
Chase 55 7 12.7% −2.00
Flat 26 2 7.7% −18.50
NH Flat 17 2 11.8% −12.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 122 14 11.5% −33.81
Good to Soft 59 7 11.9% −4.26
Good to Firm 39 4 10.3% −20.37
Soft 22 5 22.7% −7.25
Heavy 19 4 21.1% +20.88
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% −4.50
Firm 1 1 100% +2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 24 5 20.8% +8.00
Fontwell 18 2 11.1% −9.62
Stratford 17 1 5.9% −14.62
Chepstow 13 1 7.7% −5.00
Hereford 13 3 23.1% +3.00
Market Rasen 12 0 0% −12.00
Worcester 11 2 18.2% +6.50
Taunton 11 1 9.1% −8.50
Huntingdon 10 1 10% −8.00
Ascot 9 0 0% −9.00
Fakenham 9 3 33.3% +3.92
Lingfield 9 1 11.1% −7.67
Wincanton 9 2 22.2% +5.44
Uttoxeter 8 2 25% +24.75
Sandown 7 1 14.3% −4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 111 17 15.3% −2.50
Class 4 94 10 10.6% −41.56
Class 2 29 1 3.4% −8.00
Class 3 18 6 33.3% +16.75
Class 1 11 1 9.1% −8.50
Class 6 8 1 12.5% −3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 45 15 33.3% 0.87 −10.31
2nd–3rd fav 67 8 11.9% 0.61 −34.50
4th–6th fav 95 9 9.5% 1.25 +4.50
7th+ in betting 64 4 6.3% 2.04 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.4% completed · 228 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 55 83.6% 2 0 7 0 0
Hurdle 173 87.3% 1 1 19 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Raffles Nobu (FR)from Nicky Henderson 20 1 4 26 Oct 26
Morning Mayhem (GB)from Peter John Flood 19 5 9 31 Oct 26
Edgewell (IRE)from Rebecca Menzies 18 4 5 6 Sep 26
Alan Bresil (GB) 14 0 2 1 Nov 26
Theheatison (GB) 11 1 4 31 Oct 26
Limerick Leader (FR)from Alison Thorpe 9 3 4 13 Oct 26
Queenie St Clair (IRE)from E Sheehy 8 3 3 9 Oct 26
Devon Red (GB) 7 0 1 13 Oct 26
Premier Fantasy (IRE)from Bradley Gibbs 7 0 4 5 Oct 26
Lacrima (FR)from Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm 7 1 1 22 Sep 26
Slaney Opera (IRE)from Ruth Jefferson · then John Wainwright 7 0 1 24 Jul 26
Gabbys Cross (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead · then Georgina Nicholls 7 0 2 25 Apr 26
All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 42 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Seamus Mullins (4) and Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (3); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
0 from 17 0% · −13.3pts vs baseline
Last 14 days0%
Lifetime base13.3%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
20261611582616190424
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Reed
20% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 1.17
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Reed 53 7 13.2% −7.62
Jack Quinlan 46 7 15.2% −13.31
Kielan Woods 31 5 16.1% +18.29
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
36
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£509k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 31 wins
Queenie St Clair (IRE) — BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2026 · Class 2
£51,440
St Irene (IRE) — Byerley Stud Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Taunton · Dec 2025 · Listed
£25,628
Morning Mayhem (GB) — Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle Race Cartmel · Aug 2026 · Class 3
£11,004
Notable horses
Morning Mayhem (GB) Bollin Thou (GB) Edgewell (IRE) Limerick Leader (FR) Queenie St Clair (IRE) St Irene (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Authorized (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,032 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Blue Bresil (FR) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,539 runs since 2013 (463 horses).
Dragon Dancer (GB) 26.3% · 5–19
Progeny have won 9% of 576 runs since 2013 (80 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.4% from 161.
Well Chosen (GB) 22.2% · 4–18
Progeny have won 12.6% of 1,923 runs since 2008 (156 horses).
Too Darn Hot (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 14% of 2,364 runs since 2023 (325 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
Joshua Tree (IRE) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 12% of 842 runs since 2018 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 22.2% from 162. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.6% from 125.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 271 · newest first

The latest 50 of 271 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 November 2025 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Newbury Spare The Voice (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 11/1
02 Nov 26 Plumpton Kandor (FR)J: Mr Daniel Williams Final Fence Open 30th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 28/1
01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Alan Bresil (GB)J: Nathan Andrews Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Little Lady Rock (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan CopyBet Follow Us On X Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 2/5F
31 Oct 26 Ascot Jack's Succes (GB)J: Harry Reed Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 11/1
31 Oct 26 Ascot Lord Churchill (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 9/4
31 Oct 26 Ascot Morning Mayhem (GB)J: Harry Reed Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 7th 12/1
31 Oct 26 Wetherby Race To Base (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Each Way Extra At Bet365 Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 2/1
31 Oct 26 Wetherby St Irene (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Bet365 Montagu Mares' Hurdle Race (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 4th 10/1
31 Oct 26 Newmarket Theheatison (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Hurworth Blooodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 150/1
31 Oct 26 Ascot Handmedownastar (IRE)J: Nathan Andrews Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 15/2
29 Oct 26 Stratford Finjimk (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 33/1
29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Elusive Pb (GB)J: Harry Reed Dandara Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 9/2
28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Seamy Appletart (IRE)J: Harry Reed Peterborough Chase 6 December 2026 Book Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 50/1
26 Oct 26 Hereford Alan Bresil (GB)J: Nathan Andrews Halo Leisure More Than Just A Gym Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 11/1
26 Oct 26 Hereford Raffles Nobu (FR)J: Nathan Andrews BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips 'hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle Race(conditional & Amateur Jockeys') (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 12/1
25 Oct 26 Market Rasen The Doyen Chief (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Christmas Jumper & Student Raceday 3rd December Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 5/1
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Otie's Friend (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Mccoy Contractors Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 16/1
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Glen To Glen (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Catesby Estates 'chasing Excellence' Novices' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 28/1
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Morning Mayhem (GB)J: Kielan Woods William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nick Scholfield's strike rate?
Nick Scholfield has won 36 of 271 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Nick Scholfield?
Harry Reed, with 53 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (13.2%).
Is Nick Scholfield in form?
In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 13.3% since 2008.
What is Nick Scholfield's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 270 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).