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Trainer profile

Oliver Cole

230 runners in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 15.9% of 214 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 25 Oct 2026.
Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
25–230
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=230
70 (30%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=229 · 0.79 incl. margin
−10.94
£1 level stake
n=230 at SP · −4.8%
£606k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 230 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 25 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.41). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (17.1%, n=41) and in Class 5 (15.3%, n=59). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.8% over 36 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.53 across 61 runners (6.6% strike, −21.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Vintage Stakes at Goodwood (Jul 2026, £113,420).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.4%−5.5
n=37 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−5.6
n=19 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
13.8%+2.9
n=29 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +7.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
18.8%+7.9
n=16 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +21.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+1.6
n=16 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +20.62
When favourite
35.3%
n=17 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −3.16
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
23.8%+12.9
n=21 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +29.83
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.1%−1.8
n=11 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −3.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 2.8% vs 10.9% · n=36
Off a 8-14-day break 17.1% vs 10.9% · n=41
In Class 5 15.3% vs 10.9% · n=59
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.6% vs 10.9% · n=61
On Good going 14.9% vs 10.9% · n=47
In Class 4 9.3% vs 10.9% · n=86 · A/E 0.75
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 77 8 10.4% +22.45
Good to Firm 62 6 9.7% −39.55
Good 47 7 14.9% +26.00
Good to Soft 20 3 15% +2.33
Soft 19 0 0% −19.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 2 1 50% −0.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 28 3 10.7% +26.25
Newbury 20 2 10% +10.00
Goodwood 18 2 11.1% −8.67
Windsor 18 2 11.1% −8.00
Newmarket 16 3 18.8% −3.50
Southwell (AW) 15 1 6.7% +14.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Salisbury 10 2 20% +21.50
Lingfield (AW) 10 2 20% −2.00
Leicester 10 2 20% +4.62
Ascot 8 1 12.5% −3.00
Sandown 6 0 0% −6.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 6 1 16.7% −3.90
Chepstow 6 1 16.7% −3.00
Bath 5 1 20% −3.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 86 8 9.3% +10.53
Class 5 59 9 15.3% +12.93
Class 2 28 3 10.7% −13.50
Class 3 23 3 13% −0.50
Class 6 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 1 11 1 9.1% −3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 19 6 31.6% 0.97 −5.16
2nd–3rd fav 65 11 16.9% 0.95 −15.28
4th–6th fav 94 3 3.2% 0.41 −57.50
7th+ in betting 52 5 9.6% 2.95 +67.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Post Rider (GB)from Paul & Oliver Cole 12 1 4 10 Sep 26
Dr Strangelove (GB)from Paul & Oliver Cole 11 1 4 19 Oct 26
Sydney Rock (GB) 10 0 6 16 Sep 26
Areti (GB) 10 1 5 7 Aug 26
Insuspense (GB)from Paul & Oliver Cole · then Ross Burdon 10 0 6 5 Jun 26
Aigeas (FR) 8 3 3 14 Oct 26
Princess Rascal (GB)from Paul & Oliver Cole 8 1 2 7 Oct 26
Honky Tonk Girl (GB) 8 1 2 5 Oct 26
Ray Mon Dough (GB) 8 2 4 2 Oct 26
Champagne Powder (FR)from Paul & Oliver Cole · then James Moffatt 8 1 3 23 May 26
Agitator (GB) 7 1 2 19 Oct 26
Great Chieftain (IRE)from Paul & Oliver Cole 7 0 0 7 Sep 26
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul & Oliver Cole (17); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for James Moffatt (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00001311193522914
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Hector Crouch 20 3 15% +0.87
Tom Marquand 18 0 0% −18.00
Mason Paetel 13 4 30.8% +32.33
Kieran Shoemark 11 2 18.2% −5.90
Oisin Murphy 9 1 11.1% −7.17
Jamie Spencer 9 1 11.1% −6.00
Billy Loughnane 9 0 0% −9.00
Kaiya Fraser 9 3 33.3% +15.50
Daniel Muscutt 9 2 22.2% +20.00
Edward Greatrex 8 0 0% −8.00
Benoit De La Sayette 6 0 0% −6.00
Cieren Fallon 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
25
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£606k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 16 wins
Dr Rascal (GB) — Coral Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2026 · Group 2
£113,420
Jel Pepper (IRE) — 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) Newmarket · Oct 2025 · Class 2
£96,551
Princess Rascal (GB) — British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Newmarket · Oct 2025 · Class 2
£25,770
Notable horses
Aigeas (FR) Dr Rascal (GB) Ray Mon Dough (GB) A La Noche (IRE) Post Rider (GB) Dr Strangelove (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gleneagles (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,555 runs since 2008 (445 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.1% from 280.
Pinatubo (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 13.8% of 1,084 runs since 2008 (181 horses).
Hello Youmzain (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,001 runs since 2008 (163 horses).
Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 699 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.6% from 167. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.7% from 129.
Postponed (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,568 runs since 2008 (164 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.1% from 451. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.9% from 138. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.5% from 200.
Mohaather (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10% of 1,273 runs since 2008 (159 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 230 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 July 2025 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) A La Noche (IRE)J: Luke Morris AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 28/1
21 Oct 26 Newmarket Fear The Dark (GB)J: Tom Marquand Copybet Back Again At Newmarket Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Dr Strangelove (GB)J: Jack Callan Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 25/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Agitator (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 13/2
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Aigeas (FR)J: Mason Paetel Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 33/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Rupert The Brave (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gut Reaction (FR)J: Finley Marsh Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Racecourse Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 22/1
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Fear The Dark (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 5th 11/2
11 Oct 26 Goodwood Brynmair Gold (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Virgin Bet / British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/6F
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) A La Noche (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 12/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Aquila D'oro (GB)J: Luke Morris Unibet Interactive Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 5th 150/1
07 Oct 26 Nottingham Princess Rascal (GB)J: Tom Marquand Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 12/1
05 Oct 26 Pontefract American Gulf (GB)J: Rowan Scott Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 10th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Honky Tonk Girl (GB)J: Jack Dace White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 17/2
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Agitator (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 12/1
02 Oct 26 Ascot Ray Mon Dough (GB)J: Hector Crouch BetMGM Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 4th 28/1
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Brynmair Gold (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 16/1
28 Sep 26 Brighton Blue Skies Above (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Follow Matchbook On X Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 11/2
27 Sep 26 Epsom Dr Strangelove (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 12/1
26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Pepperazzi (FR)J: Jack Callan 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Oliver Cole's strike rate?
Oliver Cole has won 25 of 230 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Oliver Cole in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Oliver Cole's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 229 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).