What is Olly Murphy's strike rate?

Olly Murphy has won 909 of 4,820 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Olly Murphy do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 65 wins from 222 runners (29.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Olly Murphy?

Sean Bowen, with 1,431 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 354 (24.7%).

Is Olly Murphy in form?

In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is in line with the baseline of 18.9% since 2008.

What is Olly Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 4,805 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Olly Murphy

4,820 runners in the lifetime window · 653 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.3% of 773 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 29 Oct 2026.

Runners today 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

909–4,820

Wins / Runs

18.9%

Strike rate

n=4,820

1,925 (40%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=4,805 · 0.88 incl. margin

−1,015.64

£1 level stake

n=4,817 at SP · −21.1%

£9.86m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 19% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). New recruits from other yards win at 21% first time out (326 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,820 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 19.9% 40.9% when favourite Sean Bowen: 24.7% from 1,431 New recruits: 20.9% Sends off the favourite in 22% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Perth (29.3%, n=222), clear of the yard's 18.9% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (6.5% over 139 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.8% (n=217, Fair A/E 0.73). Sean Bowen rides 30% of the entries and beats the yard's average (24.7% vs 18.9%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 9.5% over 274 runners, 9.4pts below the baseline. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2024, £140,419). The stable star of the record: Thunder Rock (IRE) — 12 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19.9%+1.0

n=1,287 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −64.53

New recruits · first run for the yard

20.9%+2.0

n=326 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −28.37

Debutants · first career start

17.1%−1.8

n=328 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −75.76

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19%+0.1

n=247 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −21.30

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.1%−2.8

n=168 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −15.62

When favourite

40.9%

n=1,058 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −118.27

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16%−2.9

n=1,101 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −219.97

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.8%−10.1

n=217 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −112.34

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Cheltenham 6.5% vs 18.9% · n=139

With David England 7.8% vs 18.9% · n=232

At Perth 29.3% vs 18.9% · n=222

At Newbury 6.7% vs 18.9% · n=89

In Group / Graded races 8.8% vs 18.9% · n=217

In Class 1 9.5% vs 18.9% · n=274

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 3,192 621 19.5% −572.19

Chase 959 171 17.8% −252.62

NH Flat 379 87 23% −38.76

Flat 290 30 10.3% −152.07

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,710 328 19.2% −384.66

Good to Soft 1,267 244 19.3% −238.84

Soft 1,155 217 18.8% −255.19

Heavy 362 74 20.4% −29.11

Standard (AW) 226 29 12.8% −77.67

Good to Firm 97 15 15.5% −42.67

Firm 3 2 66.7% +12.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 397 83 20.9% −35.66

Market Rasen 393 88 22.4% −65.96

Southwell 253 57 22.5% −46.87

Perth 222 65 29.3% +42.01

Fakenham 195 49 25.1% −27.31

Warwick 194 26 13.4% −19.21

Huntingdon 185 40 21.6% −27.32

Stratford 180 29 16.1% −78.85

Worcester 174 39 22.4% −1.79

Wetherby 163 36 22.1% +16.78

Cheltenham 139 9 6.5% −101.25

Aintree 137 15 10.9% −48.45

Bangor-on-Dee 131 20 15.3% −73.13

Leicester 121 32 26.4% +14.59

Fontwell 117 23 19.7% −41.66

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 2,174 472 21.7% −409.10

Class 5 1,151 225 19.5% −174.37

Class 3 669 117 17.5% −171.70

Class 2 382 44 11.5% −120.99

Class 1 274 26 9.5% −79.34

Class 6 167 24 14.4% −59.52

Class 7 1 1 100% +1.38

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,178 467 39.6% 1.05 −121.33

2nd–3rd fav 1,618 322 19.9% 1.03 −215.81

4th–6th fav 1,292 100 7.7% 0.92 −282.00

7th+ in betting 729 17 2.3% 0.67 −396.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.1% completed · 4,151 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 959 80.7% 26 30 123 1 5

Hurdle 3,192 91.6% 42 20 198 7 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rock On Tommy (GB) 42 5 11 24 Jan 26

Secret Trix (GB) 38 7 17 25 Sep 26

The Wolf (FR)from Warren Greatrex 38 6 15 16 May 25

Brewin'upastorm (IRE) 36 10 15 15 May 26

Krazy Paving (GB)from Anabel K Murphy 34 6 12 19 Apr 22

Itchy Feet (FR) 33 7 13 21 Mar 25

Made For You (GB)from John Joseph Murphy · then John & Rhys Flint 33 5 15 28 Mar 24

Sure Touch (GB) 32 10 13 25 Oct 26

Thunder Rock (IRE) 30 12 17 15 Oct 26

Rambo T (IRE) 29 8 14 10 Oct 26

What Will Be (IRE) 29 3 9 2 Aug 23

Fresh New Dawn (IRE) 28 2 11 17 Jul 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 653 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Anabel K Murphy (3) and Eoin Doyle (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Jake Thomas Coulson (2) and Mike Sowersby (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 25 20% · +1.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days20%

Lifetime base18.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

221919212315211619191717

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Bowen

30% of all rides
24.7% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Bowen 1,431 354 24.7% −107.40

Aidan Coleman 602 122 20.3% −141.44

Fergus Gregory 472 78 16.5% −74.09

Richard Johnson 326 70 21.5% −67.82

Lewis Stones 295 42 14.2% −89.86

David England 232 18 7.8% −140.79

A P Heskin 153 39 25.5% −32.79

Lewis Saunders 124 27 21.8% +48.70

Gavin Sheehan 98 21 21.4% +7.66

Kevin Brogan 85 7 8.2% −56.49

Mr James King 57 12 21.1% −7.83

Dylan Johnston 50 13 26% +20.92

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

909

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£9.86m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 148 wins

Strong Leader (GB) — JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Grade 1

£140,419

Resplendent Grey (IRE) — bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2025 · Class 1

£98,473

Hunters Call (IRE) — Racing Welfare Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Ascot · Dec 2017 · Grade 3

£85,425

Notable horses

Thunder Rock (IRE) Brewin'upastorm (IRE) Sure Touch (GB) Rambo T (IRE) Secret Trix (GB) Itchy Feet (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 22.2% · 50–225

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,746 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Flemensfirth (USA) 17.5% · 27–154

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 20.4% · 31–152

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,827 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Shirocco (GER) 20.2% · 25–124

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,174 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Getaway (GER) 19.7% · 23–117

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,943 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Ocovango (GB) 22.7% · 22–97

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,996 runs since 2008 (305 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.9% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,820 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,820 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 July 2017 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Stratford Rock On Ronnie (IRE)J: Robert Dunne EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/2

29 Oct 26 Stratford Mr Maximillian (IRE)J: Lewis Stones EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 40/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot De Inovator (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Thankyou & Farewell Dr. Tim Tilsley Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 7/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot All Well And Good (GB)J: Sean Bowen Passage House Hotel South Devon Gateway Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Rock On Pedro (IRE)J: H. J. Horgan Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 13/2

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Clos Du Mouche (FR)J: Sean Bowen Tractor Drivers Go Free On Agriculture Raceday 'newcomers' National Hunt Flat Race (gbb Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 1/1F

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Gambie Tiep (FR)J: Sean Bowen Summer Plate Ladies Day On Sale Now Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 11/4

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Sure Touch (GB)J: Sean Bowen Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 2 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 9/4

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Don Dandy (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Book Boxing Day At Market Rasen Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 1/2F

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Moore Brion (FR)J: Sean Bowen Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Site Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 4/6F

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Road To Wembley (GB)J: Sean Bowen William Hill Extra Places Every Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/4F

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Little Ledgend (IRE)J: Mr James King Chapel Down Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 3/1F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Roaring Legend (FR)J: H. J. Horgan Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 14th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Mister Des Places (FR)J: Sean Bowen Squarcle Sprint Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

21 Oct 26 Worcester Maxi Twist (IRE)J: Lewis Saunders Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts National Hunt Flat Race (conditional & Amateur Jockey's Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 13/8F

21 Oct 26 Worcester Ballydine Boy (IRE)J: Mr James King Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts National Hunt Flat Race (conditional & Amateur Jockey's Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/2

21 Oct 26 Worcester Scorpio Rising (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Fbc Manby Bowdler 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 6/4F

21 Oct 26 Worcester Jamada (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Fred & Mercy Rimell Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) The Pug (IRE)J: Luke Morris bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Latin (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Olly Murphy's strike rate?: Olly Murphy has won 909 of 4,820 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Olly Murphy do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 65 wins from 222 runners (29.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Olly Murphy?: Sean Bowen, with 1,431 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 354 (24.7%).
Is Olly Murphy in form?: In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is in line with the baseline of 18.9% since 2008.
What is Olly Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 4,805 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.